16807 Wood St · Hazel Crest, IL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This charming and affordable single-family home offers incredible value for both first-time buyers and savvy investors looking to expand their portfolio. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom, this home provides a functional layout with great potential to customize and add value. The property includes an unfinished basement, offering additional space for storage or future finishing to increase the living area. A rear addition expands the footprint, creating a more spacious eat-in kitchen and enhancing everyday living and entertaining possibilities. Situated on a generously sized lot, the home provides ample outdoor space for relaxation, gardening, or future improvements. This property co
Key facts
- 4,250 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1925
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Parcel number 29302100010000; Directions: From I-80, take Exit 152 for Kedzie Ave south, turn left (east) on 167th St, then right (south) on Wood St to 16807 Wood St on your right.
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 garage space; 1 total parking space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story; Fee simple ownership; Estimated living area; Property is over 100 years old; Built before 1978
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions about 25 x 170; Lot smaller than 0.25 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Main-level kitchen (approx. 15 x 15)
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the main level (approx. 15 x 12); Bedroom on the main level (approx. 12 x 12); Bedroom on the main level (approx. 12 x 10)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Six total rooms; Unfinished, partial basement
- Laundry & utility: Basement laundry room (approx. 10 x 10)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Cap rate 18.9% vs local median 9.0% in Hazel Crest — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#229 in IL, #4,242 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D-, crime F.
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $110k implies a 144% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 45.17%
- DSCR
- 3.01
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $143,810
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16807 Wood St | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 985 (0%) | 0mo | $90,000 | $91 | 95 |
| 16735 Dixie Hwy | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 965 (-2%) | 1mo | $153,000 | $159 | 84 |
| 16768 Bulger Ave | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 | 954 (-3%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $131 | 73 |
| 16784 Trapet Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 970 (-2%) | 1mo | $96,000 | $99 | 70 |
| 1924 169th St | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 | 1,086 (+10%) | 3mo | $189,900 | $175 | 70 |
| 16607 Winchester Ave | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,053 (+7%) | 5mo | $226,000 | $215 | 61 |
| 16300 Winchester Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,012 (+3%) | 2mo | $97,500 | $96 | 58 |
| 16444 Wolcott Ave | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,080 (+10%) | 3mo | $112,500 | $104 | 53 |
| 16738 Crane Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,059 (+8%) | 2mo | $147,000 | $139 | 53 |
| 16784 Crane Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,059 (+8%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $146 | 53 |
| 1514 173rd St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 924 (-6%) | 3mo | $137,000 | $148 | 51 |
| 16221 Hermitage Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,044 (+6%) | 1mo | $192,000 | $184 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 42.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.82×
- Total profit
- $56,047
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 48.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.68×
- Total profit
- $144,029
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60429
- Home prices YoY
- -14.0%
- Active inventory
- 79
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,430 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$138 /mo · $1,650/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$510
- Net cashflow
- $1,159
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,235 | -5% $1,197 | +0% $1,159 | +5% $1,121 | +10% $1,083 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $967 | -5% $1,063 | +0% $1,159 | +5% $1,255 | +10% $1,351 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,215 | -0.5pp $1,187 | base $1,159 | +0.5pp $1,131 | +1.0pp $1,102 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2308 170th St Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $2,400 | $2.35 | 0d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 16752 Artesian Ave Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 867 | $2,500 | $2.88 | 0d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 16125 Marshfield Ave Markham, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1043 | $2,400 | $2.30 | 0d | 1 | 0.88mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-30status Pending
-
2026-04-22$110,000 Active
-
1995-10-20soldstatus $45,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,157
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,650
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,333
- − Management
- −$2,333
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $12,930
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,103
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,808/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205
- NCES district ID
- 1738970
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,392
- Composite
- 6.92/100
- National rank
- #9976
- State rank
- #594 of 620 in IL
Livability — Hazel Crest
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #229
- US rank
- #4242
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hazel Crest, IL
- City population
- 14,602
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,602
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 83% White 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -46.04%
- Current HPI
- 282.3552
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+144.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-22 Listed $110,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1995-10-20 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2023): $5,764 · -6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…