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16807 Wood St
B Composite 74.44
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

16807 Wood St · Hazel Crest, IL 60429
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 985 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1925 4,250 sqft lot Est $144k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This charming and affordable single-family home offers incredible value for both first-time buyers and savvy investors looking to expand their portfolio. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom, this home provides a functional layout with great potential to customize and add value. The property includes an unfinished basement, offering additional space for storage or future finishing to increase the living area. A rear addition expands the footprint, creating a more spacious eat-in kitchen and enhancing everyday living and entertaining possibilities. Situated on a generously sized lot, the home provides ample outdoor space for relaxation, gardening, or future improvements. This property co

Key facts

  • 4,250 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1925

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Parcel number 29302100010000; Directions: From I-80, take Exit 152 for Kedzie Ave south, turn left (east) on 167th St, then right (south) on Wood St to 16807 Wood St on your right.
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1 garage space; 1 total parking space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story; Fee simple ownership; Estimated living area; Property is over 100 years old; Built before 1978
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions about 25 x 170; Lot smaller than 0.25 acre

Interior

  • Kitchen: Main-level kitchen (approx. 15 x 15)
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the main level (approx. 15 x 12); Bedroom on the main level (approx. 12 x 12); Bedroom on the main level (approx. 12 x 10)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Six total rooms; Unfinished, partial basement
  • Laundry & utility: Basement laundry room (approx. 10 x 10)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
  • Cap rate 18.9% vs local median 9.0% in Hazel Crest — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#229 in IL, #4,242 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D-, crime F.
  • Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $110k implies a 144% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $110,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.21%
Cap rate
18.94%
Cash-on-cash
45.17%
DSCR
3.01
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$143,810
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16807 Wood St 0.00mi 3/1.0 (+1) 985 (0%) 0mo $90,000 $91 95
16735 Dixie Hwy 0.25mi 2/1.0 965 (-2%) 1mo $153,000 $159 84
16768 Bulger Ave 0.40mi 2/1.0 954 (-3%) 4mo $125,000 $131 73
16784 Trapet Ave 0.47mi 3/1.0 (+1) 970 (-2%) 1mo $96,000 $99 70
1924 169th St 0.23mi 2/1.0 1,086 (+10%) 3mo $189,900 $175 70
16607 Winchester Ave 0.31mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,053 (+7%) 5mo $226,000 $215 61
16300 Winchester Ave 0.66mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,012 (+3%) 2mo $97,500 $96 58
16444 Wolcott Ave 0.45mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,080 (+10%) 3mo $112,500 $104 53
16738 Crane Ave 0.59mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,059 (+8%) 2mo $147,000 $139 53
16784 Crane Ave 0.59mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,059 (+8%) 2mo $155,000 $146 53
1514 173rd St 0.67mi 3/1.0 (+1) 924 (-6%) 3mo $137,000 $148 51
16221 Hermitage Ave 0.73mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,044 (+6%) 1mo $192,000 $184 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
42.3%
Equity multiple
2.82×
Total profit
$56,047
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
48.4%
Equity multiple
5.68×
Total profit
$144,029
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60429

Home prices YoY
-14.0%
Active inventory
79
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,430 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax est. 1.5%
$138 /mo · $1,650/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$510
Net cashflow
$1,159

Break-even live

Break-even rent $962
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 47%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,235 -5% $1,197 +0% $1,159 +5% $1,121 +10% $1,083
Rent -10% $967 -5% $1,063 +0% $1,159 +5% $1,255 +10% $1,351
Rate -1.0pp $1,215 -0.5pp $1,187 base $1,159 +0.5pp $1,131 +1.0pp $1,102

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2308 170th St Hazel Crest, IL 3.0 2.0 1020 $2,400 $2.35 0d 1 0.71mi
16752 Artesian Ave Hazel Crest, IL 3.0 1.0 867 $2,500 $2.88 0d 1 0.86mi
16125 Marshfield Ave Markham, IL 3.0 1.0 1043 $2,400 $2.30 0d 1 0.88mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-04-30
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-22
    listed $110,000 Active
  3. 1995-10-20
    soldstatus $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,157
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$1,650
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,333
− Management
−$2,333
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$12,930
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,103
After-tax cash flow
$10,808/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Thornton Twp Hsd 205
NCES district ID
1738970
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
8% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$43,392
Composite
6.92/100
National rank
#9976
State rank
#594 of 620 in IL

Livability — Hazel Crest

Score
75/100
State rank
#229
US rank
#4242

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hazel Crest, IL
City population
14,602
Population (ZIP)
14,602

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (83%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 83% White 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -46.04%
Current HPI
282.3552
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+144.4% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $110,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1995-10-20 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2023): $5,764 · -6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…