1024 S 24th St · Buena Vista, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- ARV discount +0.7/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$48,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cozy 3-bedroom ranch in Buena Vista Twp with a detached 2-car garage and a nice-sized 0.15-acre lot (60x114). 888 sq ft with a functional layout and 1 full bath. Great opportunity for an owner-occupant looking to build sweat equity or an investor seeking their next project. Convenient location with easy access to local amenities.
Key facts
- 6,970 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1955
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property listed as residential — single family
- Financial info: Financial details not specified
- HOA & community: HOA details not specified
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Security: Security details not specified
- Utilities: Public sewer; Other water source
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry with steps; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Above-grade finished area approximately 888 square feet
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 60 x 114.12; Lot size about 0.16 acres; No pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen details not specified
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms not specified
- Flooring: Flooring details not specified
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No central air
- Interior features: Crawl space basement; Total of 3 rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry details not specified
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $48k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $665 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $48k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 22.9% vs local median 11.7% in Buena Vista — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#615 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
- Saginaw School District (urban): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #444 of 540 in MI (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 199 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $332 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 13 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $24k; list at $48k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 59.37%
- DSCR
- 3.64
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $41,736
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 945 S 27th St | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 884 (-0%) | 2mo | $13,000 | $15 | 91 |
| 812 25th St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (-3%) | 12mo | $59,900 | $69 | 75 |
| 2420 Bancroft St | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 845 (-5%) | 4mo | $60,000 | $71 | 64 |
| 2143 Whittier St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 845 (-5%) | 8mo | $50,000 | $59 | 60 |
| 3015 Perkins St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (+8%) | 12mo | $63,500 | $66 | 59 |
| 2316 Whittier St | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 932 (+5%) | 11mo | $11,250 | $12 | 59 |
| 523 S 29th St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (-3%) | 10mo | $75,000 | $87 | 58 |
| 2021 Cumberland St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 874 (-2%) | 5mo | $14,500 | $17 | 57 |
| 645 S 23rd | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 780 (-12%) | 6mo | $37,000 | $47 | 50 |
| 455 S 24th St | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 840 (-5%) | 9mo | $30,000 | $36 | 49 |
| 415 S 27th St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (-3%) | 11mo | $33,000 | $38 | 48 |
| 2523 E Holland Ave | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 987 (+11%) | 8mo | $18,100 | $18 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 58.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.57×
- Total profit
- $34,586
- Equity at exit
- $7,157
- IRR
- 62.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.30×
- Total profit
- $84,705
- Equity at exit
- $4,150
Cash invested: $13,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48601
- Home prices YoY
- -32.1%
- Active inventory
- 199
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,250 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$252
- Tax from tax record
- −$51 /mo · $610/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$262
- Net cashflow
- $665
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,000
- Closing costs
- $1,440
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3328 Webber St Saginaw, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 878 | $1,250 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
Listing history 45 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $48,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $48,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $48,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $48,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $48,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $48,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $48,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $48,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $48,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $48,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $48,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $48,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $48,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $48,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $48,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $48,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-02-23$48,000 Active
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Cozy 3-bedroom ranch in Buena Vista Twp with a detached 2-car garage and a nice-sized 0.15-acre lot (60x114). 888 sq ft with a functional layout and 1 full bath. Great opportunity for an owner-occupant looking to build sweat equity or an investor seeking their next project. Convenient location with easy access to local amenities.
-
2026-02-23$48,000 Active 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Cozy 3-bedroom ranch in Buena Vista Twp with a detached 2-car garage and a nice-sized 0.15-acre lot (60x114). 888 sq ft with a functional layout and 1 full bath. Great opportunity for an owner-occupant looking to build sweat equity or an investor seeking their next project. Convenient location with easy access to local amenities.
-
2022-01-05soldstatus $24,000 Sold 96-char remark
Show marketing remark (96 chars)
Home features 3 bedrooms & 1 bath. Updated windows, wood floors through out, updated bath.
-
2022-01-05soldstatus $24,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (96 chars)
Home features 3 bedrooms & 1 bath. Updated windows, wood floors through out, updated bath.
-
2021-12-29status Pending 96-char remark
Show marketing remark (96 chars)
Home features 3 bedrooms & 1 bath. Updated windows, wood floors through out, updated bath.
-
2021-12-29status Pending
Show marketing remark (96 chars)
Home features 3 bedrooms & 1 bath. Updated windows, wood floors through out, updated bath.
-
2021-12-27status Active 96-char remark
Show marketing remark (96 chars)
Home features 3 bedrooms & 1 bath. Updated windows, wood floors through out, updated bath.
-
2021-12-27status Active
Show marketing remark (96 chars)
Home features 3 bedrooms & 1 bath. Updated windows, wood floors through out, updated bath.
-
2021-12-20status Pending 96-char remark
Show marketing remark (96 chars)
Home features 3 bedrooms & 1 bath. Updated windows, wood floors through out, updated bath.
-
2021-12-20status Pending
Show marketing remark (96 chars)
Home features 3 bedrooms & 1 bath. Updated windows, wood floors through out, updated bath.
-
2021-12-14$29,900 Active 96-char remark
Show marketing remark (96 chars)
Home features 3 bedrooms & 1 bath. Updated windows, wood floors through out, updated bath.
-
2021-12-14$29,900 Active
Show marketing remark (96 chars)
Home features 3 bedrooms & 1 bath. Updated windows, wood floors through out, updated bath.
-
2019-04-25soldstatus $15,000 Sold
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2019-04-25soldstatus $15,000 Closed
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2019-04-18$22,000 Active
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2019-04-18$22,000 Active
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2019-04-17status Pending
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2019-04-17historical
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2019-04-17status Pending
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2019-04-17historical
-
2019-02-14status Active
-
2019-02-11status Pending
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2019-01-14$22,000 Active
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2019-01-14$22,000 Active
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2014-08-14soldstatus $9,000
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2014-08-14soldstatus $9,000
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2014-07-25$11,900
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2014-07-25historical
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2014-07-25$11,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $610 · $51/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $675 · $56/mo
- Expected delta
- +$65/yr (+$5/mo · 10.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,689
- − Property taxes
- −$610
- − Insurance
- −$240
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,200
- − Management
- −$1,200
- − Depreciation
- −$1,396
- Taxable income
- $7,665
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,840
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,140/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Saginaw School District
- NCES district ID
- 2630390
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,940
- Composite
- 19.6/100
- National rank
- #8755
- State rank
- #444 of 540 in MI
Livability — Buena Vista
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #615
- US rank
- #20603
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buena Vista, MI
- City population
- 32,069
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,069
Population outlook (Saginaw County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 180,568 people
- By 2030
- 172,302 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 153,919 · -14.8%
- By 2050
- 135,519 · -24.9%
- By 2075
- 97,199 · -46.2%
- By 2100
- 65,037 · -64.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Saginaw
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -3.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.3 2020: D+0.3 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+17.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -93.46%
- Current HPI
- 197.3359
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+303.4% since first listed29 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-23 Listed $48,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-23 Listed $48,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-01-05 Sold (MLS) $24,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-01-05 Sold (MLS) $24,000 REALCOMP
- 2021-12-29 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2021-12-29 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-12-27 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2021-12-27 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-12-20 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2021-12-20 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-12-14 Listed $29,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-12-14 Listed $29,900 REALCOMP
- 2019-04-25 Sold (MLS) $15,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-04-25 Sold (MLS) $15,000 REALCOMP
- 2019-04-18 Listed $22,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-04-18 Listed $22,000 REALCOMP
- 2019-04-17 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2019-04-17 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2019-04-17 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-04-17 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-02-14 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-02-11 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-01-14 Listed $22,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-01-14 Listed $22,000 REALCOMP
- 2014-08-14 Sold (MLS) $9,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-08-14 Sold (MLS) $9,000 REALCOMP
- 2014-07-25 Listed $11,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-07-25 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-07-25 Listed $11,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $610 · -50.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…