4675 Mill Valley Dr · Paradise, NV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $490 – $910
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.9/30.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$118,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this inviting two-story townhouse at 4675 Mill Valley Dr, offering 2 spacious bedrooms, a 2-car garage, and a private interior courtyard perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The entry opens to a bright living room that flows seamlessly into the kitchen and dining areas, creating an ideal space for gatherings. Upstairs, you’ll find three comfortable bedrooms and a full bath, designed for both convenience and privacy. The home’s thoughtful layout balances charm with functionality, while the courtyard adds a touch of outdoor tranquility. Residents enjoy access to a sparkling community pool, enhancing the lifestyle with leisure and recreation just steps away. With its prime location near major freeways, shopping, dining, and everyday conveniences, this property combines comfort, accessibility, and community living. Whether you’re a first-time buyer or looking to downsize, this townhouse offers a wonderful opportunity to own a stylish and well-situated home.
Key facts
- Community pool
- Prime location
- $175 HOA
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $118k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $290 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $118k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#10 in NV, #3,494 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A-, cost of living B; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime D-.
- Clark County School District (urban): math 21% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #11 of 17 in NV (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 184 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 14,754 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (2,301 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $816 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clark County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $58k; list at $118k implies a 105% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.52%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.47% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-4,299
- Equity at exit
- $17,594
- IRR
- 2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $5,891
- Equity at exit
- $10,202
Cash invested: $33,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 71 Landlord-Friendly
- State Nevada
- 71 Landlord-Friendly · R+1
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 89120
- Rents YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 184
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,484 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$619
- Tax from tax record
- −$40 /mo · $479/yr
- Insurance
- −$49
- HOA
- −$175
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$312
- Net cashflow
- $290
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,500
- Closing costs
- $3,540
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4653 Mill Valley Dr Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.5 | 880 | $1,450 | $1.65 | 8d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 4653 Mill Valley Dr Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.5 | 880 | $1,595 | $1.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 4703 Mill Valley Dr Las Vegas, NV | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1010 | $1,545 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 4621 Mill Valley Dr Las Vegas, NV | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1010 | $1,450 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 4751 Terra Linda Ave Las Vegas, NV | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,410 | $1.40 | 15d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 5092 Mountain Vista St Las Vegas, NV | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1010 | $1,401 | $1.39 | 16d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 4800 E Tropicana Ave Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 976 | $1,495 | $1.53 | 24d | 5 | 0.21mi |
| 4800 E Tropicana Ave Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 976 | $1,495 | $1.53 | 2d | 31 | 0.21mi |
| 4316 E Tropicana Ave Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 777 | $1,425 | $1.83 | 2d | 3 | 0.41mi |
| 4952 E Harmon Ave Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,900 | $2.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 5500 Mountain Vista St Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 898 | $1,561 | $1.74 | 2d | 18 | 0.75mi |
| 5533 Wheatfield Dr Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 840 | $1,500 | $1.79 | 22d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 4655 Gold Dust Ave Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1017 | $1,400 | $1.38 | 3d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 5325 E Tropicana Ave Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 943 | $1,707 | $1.81 | 2d | 22 | 0.85mi |
| 5145 Rawhide St Las Vegas, NV | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 975 | $1,099 | $1.13 | 2d | 32 | 0.90mi |
| 5145 Rawhide St Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $1,655 | $2.07 | 44d | 6 | 0.90mi |
| 4895 E Russell Rd Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 775 | $1,602 | $2.07 | 2d | 8 | 0.91mi |
| 5425 E Tropicana Ave Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $1,381 | $1.73 | 2d | 2 | 0.98mi |
| 5035 E Russell Rd Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1022 | $2,144 | $2.10 | 3d | 14 | 1.03mi |
| 5465 E Jackpot Winner Ln Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1069 | $1,395 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 5465 Jackpot Winner Ln #101 Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1069 | $1,440 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 5421 E Harmon Ave Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 523 | $1,195 | $2.28 | 2d | 17 | 1.14mi |
| 7885 W Flamingo Rd Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 934 | $1,395 | $1.49 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 5046 Ada Dr Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,246 | $1.44 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 4032 Village Sq Las Vegas, NV | 1.0 | 1.5 | 924 | $1,800 | $1.95 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 6800 E Lake Mead Blvd Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 880 | $1,202 | $1.37 | 15d | 6 | 1.33mi |
| 6800 E Lake Mead Blvd Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 880 | $1,202 | $1.37 | 3d | 6 | 1.33mi |
| 5710 E Tropicana Ave Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 862 | $1,395 | $1.62 | 44d | 7 | 1.38mi |
| 5710 E Tropicana Ave Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 871 | $1,295 | $1.49 | 8d | 6 | 1.38mi |
| 3850 Mountain Vista St Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 802 | $1,206 | $1.50 | 15d | 9 | 1.43mi |
| 5600 E Russell Rd Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 957 | $1,884 | $1.97 | 2d | 35 | 1.46mi |
| 6151 Mountain Vista St Henderson, NV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $1,608 | $2.01 | 2d | 17 | 1.48mi |
| 3518 Villa Knolls North Dr Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1026 | $1,350 | $1.32 | 11d | 1 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $175 · $2,100/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-04status Pending 997-char remark
Show marketing remark (997 chars)
Welcome to this inviting two-story townhouse at 4675 Mill Valley Dr, offering 2 spacious bedrooms, a 2-car garage, and a private interior courtyard perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The entry opens to a bright living room that flows seamlessly into the kitchen and dining areas, creating an ideal space for gatherings. Upstairs, you’ll find three comfortable bedrooms and a full bath, designed for both convenience and privacy. The home’s thoughtful layout balances charm with functionality, while the courtyard adds a touch of outdoor tranquility. Residents enjoy access to a sparkling community pool, enhancing the lifestyle with leisure and recreation just steps away. With its prime location near major freeways, shopping, dining, and everyday conveniences, this property combines comfort, accessibility, and community living. Whether you’re a first-time buyer or looking to downsize, this townhouse offers a wonderful opportunity to own a stylish and well-situated home.
-
2026-05-03status Active 997-char remark
Show marketing remark (997 chars)
Welcome to this inviting two-story townhouse at 4675 Mill Valley Dr, offering 2 spacious bedrooms, a 2-car garage, and a private interior courtyard perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The entry opens to a bright living room that flows seamlessly into the kitchen and dining areas, creating an ideal space for gatherings. Upstairs, you’ll find three comfortable bedrooms and a full bath, designed for both convenience and privacy. The home’s thoughtful layout balances charm with functionality, while the courtyard adds a touch of outdoor tranquility. Residents enjoy access to a sparkling community pool, enhancing the lifestyle with leisure and recreation just steps away. With its prime location near major freeways, shopping, dining, and everyday conveniences, this property combines comfort, accessibility, and community living. Whether you’re a first-time buyer or looking to downsize, this townhouse offers a wonderful opportunity to own a stylish and well-situated home.
-
2026-04-27status Pending 997-char remark
Show marketing remark (997 chars)
Welcome to this inviting two-story townhouse at 4675 Mill Valley Dr, offering 2 spacious bedrooms, a 2-car garage, and a private interior courtyard perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The entry opens to a bright living room that flows seamlessly into the kitchen and dining areas, creating an ideal space for gatherings. Upstairs, you’ll find three comfortable bedrooms and a full bath, designed for both convenience and privacy. The home’s thoughtful layout balances charm with functionality, while the courtyard adds a touch of outdoor tranquility. Residents enjoy access to a sparkling community pool, enhancing the lifestyle with leisure and recreation just steps away. With its prime location near major freeways, shopping, dining, and everyday conveniences, this property combines comfort, accessibility, and community living. Whether you’re a first-time buyer or looking to downsize, this townhouse offers a wonderful opportunity to own a stylish and well-situated home.
-
2026-04-22$118,000 Active 997-char remark
Show marketing remark (997 chars)
Welcome to this inviting two-story townhouse at 4675 Mill Valley Dr, offering 2 spacious bedrooms, a 2-car garage, and a private interior courtyard perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The entry opens to a bright living room that flows seamlessly into the kitchen and dining areas, creating an ideal space for gatherings. Upstairs, you’ll find three comfortable bedrooms and a full bath, designed for both convenience and privacy. The home’s thoughtful layout balances charm with functionality, while the courtyard adds a touch of outdoor tranquility. Residents enjoy access to a sparkling community pool, enhancing the lifestyle with leisure and recreation just steps away. With its prime location near major freeways, shopping, dining, and everyday conveniences, this property combines comfort, accessibility, and community living. Whether you’re a first-time buyer or looking to downsize, this townhouse offers a wonderful opportunity to own a stylish and well-situated home.
-
1999-02-26soldstatus $57,500
-
1992-09-30soldstatus $52,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $479 · $40/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $696 · $58/mo
- Expected delta
- +$217/yr (+$18/mo · 45.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,810
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,610
- − Property taxes
- −$479
- − Insurance
- −$590
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,425
- − Management
- −$1,425
- − HOA
- −$2,100
- − Depreciation
- −$3,433
- Taxable income
- $1,749
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$420
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,055/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clark County School District
- NCES district ID
- 3200060
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,611
- Composite
- 26.48/100
- National rank
- #7211
- State rank
- #11 of 17 in NV
Livability — Paradise
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #10
- US rank
- #3494
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Paradise, NV
- County
- Clark County · 2,306,105 people
- City population
- 227,885
- Metro
- Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, NV
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,389
- Household income
- $74,688
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 949.0
Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,504,101 people
- By 2030
- 2,693,770 · +7.6%
- By 2040
- 3,061,208 · +22.2%
- By 2050
- 3,400,072 · +35.8%
- By 2075
- 4,139,522 · +65.3%
- By 2100
- 4,596,916 · +83.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 39% White 38% Two or more races 16% Asian 9% Black 5% Native American 2% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 26% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 61% English-only · Spanish 30% Tagalog/Filipino 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Clark
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.4% · R 47.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: 19.1pp · 2024: 2.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+10.7 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+19.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -284.89%
- Current HPI
- 302.8363
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.47%
- Metro
- Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, NV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.08%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NV)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Hotels / Casinos | 3 | $36B |
|
||
Price history
+126.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — GLVAR
- 2026-05-03 Relisted — GLVAR
- 2026-04-27 Pending — GLVAR
- 2026-04-22 Listed $118,000 GLVAR
- 1999-02-26 Sold (Public Records) $57,500 Public Records
- 1992-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $479 · +7.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…