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51 Bowen St Duplex
D Composite 44.02
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$35,000

51 Bowen St · Jamestown, NY 14701
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,469 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 105 Days on market
Built 1900 3,635 sqft lot $24/sqft · 72% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Investment Opportunity! This two-family property offers great potential for investors or flippers. Each unit features 1 bedroom, 1 full bathroom, a kitchen, living / dining room combo. The home offers a driveway with 1 car driveway and approximately 1,469 sq ft of living space. With the right updates and improvements, this property presents a strong fix-and-flip or repair-and-rent opportunity. Don’t miss the chance to add value and generate income with this multi-family investment property. Can be sold as a packaged deal with 101 Bush St Jamestown NY, 20 Charles St Jamestown NY, 52 Liberty St Jamestown NY and 33 Linwood Ave, Jamestown, NY.

Key facts

  • 3,635 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1900

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 1-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $35k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $530/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $35k).
  • Recommended offer: $32k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 42.6% vs local median 16.6% in Jamestown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#470 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D, crime F.
  • Jamestown City School District (town): math 33% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #553 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 313 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 127 units permitted in Chautauqua County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chautauqua County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($32k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $31,850 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.96%
Cap rate
42.61%
Cash-on-cash
129.69%
DSCR
6.77
GRM
1.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$123,407
List price
$35,000
Delta
-68.40%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
423 Lincoln St 0.21mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,661 (+13%) 5mo $53,000 $32 59
149 Thayer St 0.24mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,584 (+8%) 14mo $85,000 $54 59
217 Fulton St 0.37mi 4/3.0 1,332 (-9%) 23mo $65,000 $49 44
566 Allen St 0.43mi 4/2.0 1,672 (+14%) 23mo $88,000 $53 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.31×
Total profit
$61,853
Equity at exit
$5,219
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
15.39×
Total profit
$141,001
Equity at exit
$3,026

Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14701

Home prices YoY
-18.5%
Active inventory
313
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,736 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$184
Tax from tax record
$114 /mo · $1,371/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$365
Net cashflow
$1,059

Break-even live

Break-even rent $395
Max offer price $35,000
Occupancy floor 34%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $1,736

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,750
Closing costs
$1,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
148 Maple St Jamestown, NY 3.0 1.0 1424 $1,350 $0.95 43d 1 1.06mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $35,000 Active 105 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    price $35,000 Active 104 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $39,000 Active 104 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $39,000 Active 103 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $39,000 Active 102 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $39,000 Active 101 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $39,000 Active 99 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $39,000 Active 98 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $39,000 Active 95 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $39,000 Active 94 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $39,000 Active 93 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $39,000 Active 90 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $39,000 Active 88 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $39,000 Active 87 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $39,000 Active 86 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $39,000 Active 85 DOM
  17. 2026-03-06
    listed $39,000 Active 653-char remark
    Show marketing remark (653 chars)

    Investment Opportunity! This two-family property offers great potential for investors or flippers. Each unit features 1 bedroom, 1 full bathroom, a kitchen, living / dining room combo. The home offers a driveway with 1 car driveway and approximately 1,469 sq ft of living space. With the right updates and improvements, this property presents a strong fix-and-flip or repair-and-rent opportunity. Don’t miss the chance to add value and generate income with this multi-family investment property. Can be sold as a packaged deal with 101 Bush St Jamestown NY, 20 Charles St Jamestown NY, 52 Liberty St Jamestown NY and 33 Linwood Ave, Jamestown, NY.

  18. 2024-09-01
    historical
  19. 2024-07-23
    price $38,900
  20. 2024-03-12
    listed $39,900 Active
  21. 2022-06-27
    soldstatus $34,900 Closed Sale or Rented
  22. 2022-06-24
    soldstatus $34,900
  23. 2022-03-24
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show
  24. 2022-03-24
    listed $34,900 Active
  25. 2002-09-04
    soldstatus $22,000
  26. 2002-08-30
    soldstatus $39,000
  27. 2002-06-06
    listed $29,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,371 · $114/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,371 · $114/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,832
− Mortgage interest
−$1,961
− Property taxes
−$1,371
− Insurance
−$175
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,667
− Management
−$1,667
− Depreciation
−$1,018
Taxable income
$12,975
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,114
After-tax cash flow
$9,595/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jamestown City School District
NCES district ID
3615630
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$32,240
Composite
30.69/100
National rank
#6176
State rank
#553 of 590 in NY

Livability — Jamestown

Score
69/100
State rank
#470
US rank
#8213

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jamestown, NY
County
Chautauqua County · 38,461 people
City population
38,461
Metro
Jamestown-Dunkirk-Fredonia, NY
Population (ZIP)
38,461
Household income
$49,685
Rent vs Own
42.8% rent · 57.2% own
Severe rent burden
1838.0

Population outlook (Chautauqua County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
123,454 people
By 2030
118,509 · -4.0%
By 2040
107,311 · -13.1%
By 2050
96,703 · -21.7%
By 2075
76,757 · -37.8%
By 2100
60,984 · -50.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 8%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chautauqua

2024 margin
Strong R (+22.0) · D 39.0% · R 61.0%
2008→2024 swing
-22.9pp toward R · 2008: 0.9pp · 2024: -22.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+22.0 2020: R+19.8 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+8.2 2008: D+0.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -58.93%
Current HPI
259.402
Rent YoY
Metro
Jamestown-Dunkirk-Fredonia, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+34.5% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-06 Listed $39,000 WNYREIS
  • 2024-09-01 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2024-07-23 Price Changed $38,900 UNYREIS
  • 2024-03-12 Listed $39,900 UNYREIS
  • 2022-06-27 Sold (MLS) $34,900 UNYREIS
  • 2022-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $34,900 Public Records
  • 2022-03-24 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2022-03-24 Listed $34,900 UNYREIS
  • 2002-09-04 Sold (MLS) $22,000 UNYREIS
  • 2002-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $39,000 Public Records
  • 2002-06-06 Listed $29,000 UNYREIS

Property tax history

-4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,371 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…