1608 Archer St · Pocahontas, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This cozy 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers charm, comfort, and excellent value. Freshly painted throughout, the home features a welcoming front porch, a functional layout, and a convenient storage shed. With 884 square feet and priced at just $75 per square foot, this property presents a rare opportunity for first-time homebuyers, investors, or anyone seeking an affordable place to call home. Move-in ready and full of character, this one is worth a look.
Key facts
- Functional layout
- 7,562 sq ft lot
- Built 1950
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Metal roof
- Exterior features: Front porch; Outbuilding on the property
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Refrigerator included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $66k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $295 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($875 rent vs $66k).
- Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 4.6% in Pocahontas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#37 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D, crime F.
- Pocahontas School District (rural): math 29% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #165 of 238 in AR (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Pocahontas Junior High School (math 27% / reading 31%, grade F, #146 of 201 statewide, top 74%, 503 students, 53% FRL); Pocahontas High School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #187 of 292 statewide, top 70%, 411 students, 47% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6 units permitted in Randolph County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $456 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Randolph County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $21k; list at $66k implies a 214% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.16%
- DSCR
- 1.85
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $85,748
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 602 S Park | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 872 (-1%) | 8mo | $85,000 | $97 | 76 |
| 1105 Birdell St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 936 (+6%) | 7mo | $125,000 | $134 | 69 |
| 1908 W Marr St St | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 878 (-1%) | 20mo | $70,000 | $80 | 68 |
| 2001 Bledsoe St | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 833 (-6%) | 9mo | $93,000 | $112 | 64 |
| 907 N Pratt St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 841 (-5%) | 8mo | $35,000 | $42 | 59 |
| 915 W Pyburn | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,008 (+14%) | 7mo | $44,000 | $44 | 46 |
| 2229 Highway 62 W | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,015 (+15%) | 14mo | $105,000 | $103 | 44 |
| 1400 N Weible St | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 768 (-13%) | 18mo | $55,000 | $72 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $8,065
- Equity at exit
- $9,826
- IRR
- 20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.69×
- Total profit
- $31,094
- Equity at exit
- $5,698
Cash invested: $18,452 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72455
- Home prices YoY
- -15.8%
- Active inventory
- 77
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $875 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$346
- Tax from tax record
- −$24 /mo · $283/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$184
- Net cashflow
- $295
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,475
- Closing costs
- $1,977
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 915 W Pyburn St Pocahontas, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $875 | $0.87 | 43d | 1 | 0.43mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $65,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $65,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $65,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $65,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 455-char remark
-
2026-06-07$65,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $283 · $24/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $422 · $35/mo
- Expected delta
- +$139/yr (+$12/mo · 49.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,500
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,691
- − Property taxes
- −$283
- − Insurance
- −$330
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$840
- − Management
- −$840
- − Depreciation
- −$1,917
- Taxable income
- $2,599
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$624
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,912/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pocahontas School District
- NCES district ID
- 0511610
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,399
- Composite
- 23.36/100
- National rank
- #7907
- State rank
- #165 of 238 in AR
Livability — Pocahontas
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #37
- US rank
- #6525
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pocahontas, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,572
Population outlook (Randolph County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,421 people
- By 2030
- 15,733 · -4.2%
- By 2040
- 14,296 · -12.9%
- By 2050
- 12,884 · -21.5%
- By 2075
- 9,535 · -41.9%
- By 2100
- 6,520 · -60.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 6% Pacific Islander 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4%
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 3% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Randolph
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+63.7) · D 17.1% · R 80.9% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -45.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.1pp · 2024: -63.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+63.7 2020: R+60.8 2016: R+48.8 2012: R+27.9 2008: R+18.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.61%
- Current HPI
- 179.3505
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
+632.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $65,900 NEABOR MLS
- 2026-03-16 Delisted — NEABOR MLS
- 2026-03-06 Listed $65,900 NEABOR MLS
- 2026-01-14 Delisted — NEABOR MLS
- 2026-01-09 Listed $65,900 NEABOR MLS
- 2016-05-13 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records
- 2012-08-13 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
- 1989-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $9,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.7%/yrLatest (2023): $283 · +7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…