8080 Penrod St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.12%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming and cozy 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located on the west side of Detroit, just minutes from Tireman Ave. This inviting property is a great opportunity for first-time buyers or investors seeking a rental, offering solid potential with only minimal updates needed. Conveniently located near major roads and shopping, this property combines convenience and strong investment appeal.
Key facts
- West side of detroit
- Near shopping
- Near major roads
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $448 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $52k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.1% vs local median 10.1% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 369 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($31k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.95% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 34.93%
- DSCR
- 2.55
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $47,092
- List price
- $55,000
- Delta
- 16.79%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8219 Rosemont Ave | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 687 (+14%) | 18mo | $10,000 | $15 | 53 |
| 8234 Penrod St | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 687 (+14%) | 18mo | $10,000 | $15 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.07×
- Total profit
- $16,528
- Equity at exit
- $8,201
- IRR
- 32.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.54×
- Total profit
- $39,142
- Equity at exit
- $4,755
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48228
- Rents YoY
- -2.3%
- Active inventory
- 369
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,070 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$86 /mo · $1,030/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$225
- Net cashflow
- $448
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $479 | -5% $464 | +0% $448 | +5% $433 | +10% $417 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $364 | -5% $406 | +0% $448 | +5% $491 | +10% $533 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $476 | -0.5pp $462 | base $448 | +0.5pp $434 | +1.0pp $420 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18401 Joy Rd Unit 8 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $875 | $1.46 | 45d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 19301 Joy Rd Apt 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 45d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 18450 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 687 | $1,117 | $1.62 | 3d | 15 | 0.92mi |
| 7635 Evergreen Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 690 | $1,350 | $1.96 | 45d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 6980 Town Ln Dearborn Heights, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $895 | $1.49 | 18d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 20237 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $850 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 5777 Southfield Fwy Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 667 | $1,540 | $2.31 | 4d | 10 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 25 events
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2026-06-21days on market $55,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $55,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $55,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $55,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $55,000 Active 57 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $55,000 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $55,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $55,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $55,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $55,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $55,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $55,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $55,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $55,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-05-19price $55,000 383-char remark
Show marketing remark (383 chars)
Charming and cozy 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located on the west side of Detroit, just minutes from Tireman Ave. This inviting property is a great opportunity for first-time buyers or investors seeking a rental, offering solid potential with only minimal updates needed. Conveniently located near major roads and shopping, this property combines convenience and strong investment appeal.
-
2026-05-19price $55,000 383-char remark
Show marketing remark (383 chars)
Charming and cozy 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located on the west side of Detroit, just minutes from Tireman Ave. This inviting property is a great opportunity for first-time buyers or investors seeking a rental, offering solid potential with only minimal updates needed. Conveniently located near major roads and shopping, this property combines convenience and strong investment appeal.
-
2026-04-17$59,900 Active 383-char remark
Show marketing remark (383 chars)
Charming and cozy 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located on the west side of Detroit, just minutes from Tireman Ave. This inviting property is a great opportunity for first-time buyers or investors seeking a rental, offering solid potential with only minimal updates needed. Conveniently located near major roads and shopping, this property combines convenience and strong investment appeal.
-
2026-04-17$59,900 Active 383-char remark
Show marketing remark (383 chars)
Charming and cozy 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located on the west side of Detroit, just minutes from Tireman Ave. This inviting property is a great opportunity for first-time buyers or investors seeking a rental, offering solid potential with only minimal updates needed. Conveniently located near major roads and shopping, this property combines convenience and strong investment appeal.
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2026-04-06historical
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2026-04-06historical
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2026-02-26price $69,900
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2026-02-25price $69,900
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2025-10-10$75,000 Active
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2025-10-09$75,000 Active
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2021-02-08soldstatus $69,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,030 · $86/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,030 · $86/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 12% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,843
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$1,030
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,027
- − Management
- −$1,027
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $4,802
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,152
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,227/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,117
- Household income
- $30,680
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4144.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% White 16% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Arab 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Arabic 11% Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -160.81%
- Current HPI
- 168.6843
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.30%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-20.3% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $55,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-17 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-17 Listed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-06 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-06 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-26 Price Changed $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $69,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-10-10 Listed $75,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-10-09 Listed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-02-08 Sold (Public Records) $69,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,030 · -8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…