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1151 Poplar St
B Composite 71.94
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.6/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$65,000

1151 Poplar St · Kulpmont, PA 17834
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,157 sqft · Other · 155 Days on market
Built 1900 2,178 sqft lot $56/sqft · 7% above area Est $61k · 7% over ↓ 13% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to Kulpmont, here is an affordable 1/2 double with 2 bedrooms and 1 bath with a detached 1 car garage. A great plus with this home is the solar panels located on the garage roof to make it even more affordable. Located minutes from Walmart and many other shopping places as well as the AOAA park and a good selection of places to eat.

Key facts

  • Aoaa park
  • Solar panels
  • Minutes from walmart

Tags

SOLAR PANELSDETACHED GARAGEMINUTES FROM WALMARTAOAA PARK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $369 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#581 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Mount Carmel Area SD (town): math 20% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #455 of 539 in PA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 81 units permitted in Northumberland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
  • Northumberland County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 155 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $57,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 155 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.55%
Cap rate
13.11%
Cash-on-cash
24.35%
DSCR
2.08
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$61,013
List price
$65,000
Delta
6.53%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

2.76% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.0%
Equity multiple
2.68×
Total profit
$30,523
Equity at exit
$28,340
10-year hold
IRR
30.6%
Equity multiple
5.22×
Total profit
$76,748
Equity at exit
$42,999

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17834

Home prices YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
13
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,008 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$59 /mo · $711/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$212
Net cashflow
$369

Break-even live

Break-even rent $541
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 58%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $406 -5% $388 +0% $369 +5% $351 +10% $333
Rent -10% $290 -5% $330 +0% $369 +5% $409 +10% $449
Rate -1.0pp $402 -0.5pp $386 base $369 +0.5pp $353 +1.0pp $335

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $65,000 Active 155 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 153 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 152 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 151 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 150 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 148 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $65,000 Active 147 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 144 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 143 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 142 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 141 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $65,000 Active 138 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 137 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 136 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 135 DOM
  16. 2026-03-18
    price $65,000 342-char remark
    Show marketing remark (342 chars)

    Welcome to Kulpmont, here is an affordable 1/2 double with 2 bedrooms and 1 bath with a detached 1 car garage. A great plus with this home is the solar panels located on the garage roof to make it even more affordable. Located minutes from Walmart and many other shopping places as well as the AOAA park and a good selection of places to eat.

  17. 2026-03-05
    price $65,000 342-char remark
    Show marketing remark (342 chars)

    Welcome to Kulpmont, here is an affordable 1/2 double with 2 bedrooms and 1 bath with a detached 1 car garage. A great plus with this home is the solar panels located on the garage roof to make it even more affordable. Located minutes from Walmart and many other shopping places as well as the AOAA park and a good selection of places to eat.

  18. 2026-02-26
    price $68,700 342-char remark
    Show marketing remark (342 chars)

    Welcome to Kulpmont, here is an affordable 1/2 double with 2 bedrooms and 1 bath with a detached 1 car garage. A great plus with this home is the solar panels located on the garage roof to make it even more affordable. Located minutes from Walmart and many other shopping places as well as the AOAA park and a good selection of places to eat.

  19. 2026-02-03
    price $68,700 342-char remark
    Show marketing remark (342 chars)

    Welcome to Kulpmont, here is an affordable 1/2 double with 2 bedrooms and 1 bath with a detached 1 car garage. A great plus with this home is the solar panels located on the garage roof to make it even more affordable. Located minutes from Walmart and many other shopping places as well as the AOAA park and a good selection of places to eat.

  20. 2026-01-28
    price $69,900 342-char remark
    Show marketing remark (342 chars)

    Welcome to Kulpmont, here is an affordable 1/2 double with 2 bedrooms and 1 bath with a detached 1 car garage. A great plus with this home is the solar panels located on the garage roof to make it even more affordable. Located minutes from Walmart and many other shopping places as well as the AOAA park and a good selection of places to eat.

  21. 2026-01-16
    listed $75,000 Active 342-char remark
    Show marketing remark (342 chars)

    Welcome to Kulpmont, here is an affordable 1/2 double with 2 bedrooms and 1 bath with a detached 1 car garage. A great plus with this home is the solar panels located on the garage roof to make it even more affordable. Located minutes from Walmart and many other shopping places as well as the AOAA park and a good selection of places to eat.

  22. 2026-01-16
    listed $75,000 Active 342-char remark
    Show marketing remark (342 chars)

    Welcome to Kulpmont, here is an affordable 1/2 double with 2 bedrooms and 1 bath with a detached 1 car garage. A great plus with this home is the solar panels located on the garage roof to make it even more affordable. Located minutes from Walmart and many other shopping places as well as the AOAA park and a good selection of places to eat.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$711 · $59/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$869 · $72/mo
Expected delta
+$158/yr (+$13/mo · 22.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,099
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$711
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$968
− Management
−$968
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$3,596
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$863
After-tax cash flow
$3,569/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mount Carmel Area SD
NCES district ID
4215990
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$35,195
Composite
23.48/100
National rank
#7876
State rank
#455 of 539 in PA

Livability — Kulpmont

Score
73/100
State rank
#581
US rank
#5591

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kulpmont, PA
Population (ZIP)
3,525

Population outlook (Northumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
90,896 people
By 2030
89,084 · -2.0%
By 2040
84,822 · -6.7%
By 2050
80,521 · -11.4%
By 2075
72,152 · -20.6%
By 2100
62,257 · -31.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 24% Iranian 8% Scotch-Irish 3%
Foreign-born
3% · China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Chinese 2% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Northumberland

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.6% · R 69.5%
2008→2024 swing
-26.1pp toward R · 2008: -13.8pp · 2024: -39.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.9 2020: R+38.5 2016: R+43.6 2012: R+19.4 2008: R+13.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.76%
Current HPI
121.4505
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-13.3% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-18 Price Changed $65,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-05 Price Changed $65,000 CSVBR
  • 2026-02-26 Price Changed $68,700 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-03 Price Changed $68,700 CSVBR
  • 2026-01-28 Price Changed $69,900 CSVBR
  • 2026-01-16 Listed $75,000 CSVBR
  • 2026-01-16 Listed $75,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $711 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…