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5028 NC 109 Hwy S
D+ Composite 49.3
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$165,000

5028 NC 109 Hwy S · Mount Gilead, NC 27306
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 960 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 91 Days on market
Built 1968 0.46 ac lot ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

* * Property back on market at no fault of property/seller. * * This recently renovated, 3 bedroom, 1 bath property is ready for you to make it your home. Renovation included new roof, new HVAC, windows, vinyl siding & hot water heater. Each room has been updated with new flooring & fresh paint & trim. Conveniently located along Highway 109 S with surrounding area being lots of farmland.

Key facts

  • 0.46 acre lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1968

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; Carport provides 1 covered space; No main-level garage
  • Utilities: County water; Septic system installed; Electric service for heating and cooling
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential zoning (Residential 2); One story; Crawl space foundation; Site-built construction; Vinyl exterior
  • Construction: Site-built; vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Gravel and paved road access; Publicly maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; One main living room (room count: 1)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the carport

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $94 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $156k (5.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $150k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#58 in NC, #4,548 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Montgomery County Schools (rural): math 29% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #143 of 178 in NC (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Mount Gilead Elementary (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #975 of 1,410 statewide, top 71%, 213 students, 87% FRL); Montgomery Central High (math 42% / reading 39%, grade F, #387 of 535 statewide, top 73%, 893 students, 73% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 113 active listings in the ZIP; 138 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-0.9%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 43% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $150,150 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
6.98%
Cash-on-cash
2.44%
DSCR
1.11
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.94% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.9%
Equity multiple
0.87×
Total profit
$-5,945
Equity at exit
$40,319
10-year hold
IRR
3.7%
Equity multiple
1.36×
Total profit
$16,555
Equity at exit
$42,757

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27306

Home prices YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
113
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,563 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax est. 1.5%
$206 /mo · $2,475/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$328
Net cashflow
$94

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,443
Max offer price $165,000
Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $165,000 Active 91 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $165,000 Active 90 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $165,000 Active 89 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $165,000 Active 88 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $165,000 Active 86 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $165,000 Active 85 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $165,000 Active 83 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $165,000 Active 82 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $165,000 Active 81 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $165,000 Active 80 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $165,000 Active 77 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $165,000 Active 76 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $165,000 Active 75 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $165,000 Active 74 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $165,000 Active 73 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $165,000 Active 72 DOM
  17. 2026-03-20
    listed $165,000 Active
  18. 2026-03-13
    historical $165,000
  19. 2023-12-28
    soldstatus $149,900 Closed 403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    * * Property back on market at no fault of property/seller. * * This recently renovated, 3 bedroom, 1 bath property is ready for you to make it your home. Renovation included new roof, new HVAC, windows, vinyl siding & hot water heater. Each room has been updated with new flooring & fresh paint & trim. Conveniently located along Highway 109 S with surrounding area being lots of farmland.

  20. 2023-12-07
    historical Active Under Contract 403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    * * Property back on market at no fault of property/seller. * * This recently renovated, 3 bedroom, 1 bath property is ready for you to make it your home. Renovation included new roof, new HVAC, windows, vinyl siding & hot water heater. Each room has been updated with new flooring & fresh paint & trim. Conveniently located along Highway 109 S with surrounding area being lots of farmland.

  21. 2023-12-01
    price $149,900 403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    * * Property back on market at no fault of property/seller. * * This recently renovated, 3 bedroom, 1 bath property is ready for you to make it your home. Renovation included new roof, new HVAC, windows, vinyl siding & hot water heater. Each room has been updated with new flooring & fresh paint & trim. Conveniently located along Highway 109 S with surrounding area being lots of farmland.

  22. 2023-11-06
    status Active 403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    * * Property back on market at no fault of property/seller. * * This recently renovated, 3 bedroom, 1 bath property is ready for you to make it your home. Renovation included new roof, new HVAC, windows, vinyl siding & hot water heater. Each room has been updated with new flooring & fresh paint & trim. Conveniently located along Highway 109 S with surrounding area being lots of farmland.

  23. 2023-09-22
    historical Active Under Contract 403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    * * Property back on market at no fault of property/seller. * * This recently renovated, 3 bedroom, 1 bath property is ready for you to make it your home. Renovation included new roof, new HVAC, windows, vinyl siding & hot water heater. Each room has been updated with new flooring & fresh paint & trim. Conveniently located along Highway 109 S with surrounding area being lots of farmland.

  24. 2023-09-11
    price $159,900 403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    * * Property back on market at no fault of property/seller. * * This recently renovated, 3 bedroom, 1 bath property is ready for you to make it your home. Renovation included new roof, new HVAC, windows, vinyl siding & hot water heater. Each room has been updated with new flooring & fresh paint & trim. Conveniently located along Highway 109 S with surrounding area being lots of farmland.

  25. 2023-07-28
    listed $179,900 Active 403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    * * Property back on market at no fault of property/seller. * * This recently renovated, 3 bedroom, 1 bath property is ready for you to make it your home. Renovation included new roof, new HVAC, windows, vinyl siding & hot water heater. Each room has been updated with new flooring & fresh paint & trim. Conveniently located along Highway 109 S with surrounding area being lots of farmland.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 43% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,750
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$2,475
− Insurance
−$825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,500
− Management
−$1,500
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable loss
−$1,592
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$382
After-tax cash flow
$1,512/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Montgomery County Schools
NCES district ID
3703060
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$34,706
Composite
25.97/100
National rank
#7328
State rank
#143 of 178 in NC

Livability — Mount Gilead

Score
74/100
State rank
#58
US rank
#4548

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,457

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
26,533 people
By 2030
25,724 · -3.0%
By 2040
23,842 · -10.1%
By 2050
22,077 · -16.8%
By 2075
18,754 · -29.3%
By 2100
15,537 · -41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 26% Asian 6% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · China, Canada, Philippines
Languages at home
92% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 5% Spanish 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.8) · D 30.8% · R 68.6%
2008→2024 swing
-26.9pp toward R · 2008: -11.0pp · 2024: -37.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.8 2020: R+31.8 2016: R+25.9 2012: R+15.2 2008: R+11.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.94%
Current HPI
334.2599
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.3% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $165,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-13 Coming Soon $165,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-12-28 Sold (MLS) $149,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-12-07 Contingent CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-12-01 Price Changed $149,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-11-06 Relisted CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-09-22 Contingent CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-09-11 Price Changed $159,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-07-28 Listed $179,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $243 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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