🏷️ Likely Rental
203 N Main St · Blanchard, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 63.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This is 4 bedroom, 2 bath tenant occupied property that is currently being rented a rate of $1100 a month. Would make a great rental for an investor to add to their portfolio.
Key facts
- 0.34 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1960
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $408 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $91k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 3.8% in Blanchard — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#103 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 262 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.48%
- DSCR
- 1.78
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $199,729
- List price
- $100,000
- Delta
- -49.93%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 511 Sand Valley Ln | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,754 (-0%) | 14mo | $190,000 | $108 | 62 |
| 686 Newburyport St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,730 (-1%) | 9mo | $302,750 | $175 | 60 |
| 688 Newburyport St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,749 (-0%) | 13mo | $306,075 | $175 | 58 |
| 607 Stockbridge Ln | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,749 (-0%) | 15mo | $299,000 | $171 | 52 |
| 7603 Mary Ann Cir | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,575 (-10%) | 2mo | $214,900 | $136 | 48 |
| 7622 Mary Ann Cir | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,863 (+6%) | 11mo | $273,000 | $147 | 47 |
| 503 Sand Valley Rd | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,580 (-10%) | 10mo | $205,000 | $130 | 46 |
| 7557 Ella Ct | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,508 (-14%) | 1mo | $224,900 | $149 | 45 |
| 7812 Mary Ann Cir | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,515 (-14%) | 11mo | $234,999 | $155 | 38 |
| 4525 Cherry Creek Ln | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,620 (-8%) | 15mo | $249,000 | $154 | 38 |
| 168 Katie Cir | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,517 (-14%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $155 | 32 |
| 7881 Wasson Rd | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,501 (-14%) | 14mo | $234,000 | $156 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.35×
- Total profit
- $9,774
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.50×
- Total profit
- $41,976
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71107
- Home prices YoY
- -34.5%
- Active inventory
- 262
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,359 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$100 /mo · $1,201/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$285
- Net cashflow
- $408
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7195 Blanchard Furrh Rd Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,325 | $0.91 | 21d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 8133 Trey Way Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,000 | $0.59 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $100,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $100,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $100,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $100,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $100,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $100,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $100,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $100,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $100,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $100,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-03-19$100,000 Active 175-char remark
Show marketing remark (175 chars)
This is 4 bedroom, 2 bath tenant occupied property that is currently being rented a rate of $1100 a month. Would make a great rental for an investor to add to their portfolio.
-
2025-12-31historical
-
2025-08-25price $115,000
-
2025-07-23status Active
-
2025-07-21status Pending
-
2025-04-28$125,000 Active
-
2022-07-12price $1,100
-
2008-11-05soldstatus
-
2006-11-15soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,201 · $100/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,201 · $100/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 63% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,313
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$1,201
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,305
- − Management
- −$1,305
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $3,492
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$838
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,056/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Caddo Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200300
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -33.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -30.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,227
- Composite
- 22.23/100
- National rank
- #8148
- State rank
- #53 of 98 in LA
Livability — Blanchard
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #103
- US rank
- #10091
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Blanchard, LA
- County
- Caddo Parish · 178,536 people
- City population
- 95
- Metro
- Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,734
- Household income
- $48,365
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1346.0
Population outlook (Caddo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 243,190 people
- By 2030
- 237,231 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 222,502 · -8.5%
- By 2050
- 206,516 · -15.1%
- By 2075
- 165,706 · -31.9%
- By 2100
- 122,262 · -49.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 51% White 43% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Caddo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 47.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.0pp · 2024: 4.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.6 2020: D+6.8 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+3.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -62.11%
- Current HPI
- 117.801
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+8990.9% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-19 Listed $100,000 NTREIS
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-08-25 Price Changed $115,000 NTREIS
- 2025-07-23 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2025-07-21 Pending — NTREIS
- 2025-04-28 Listed $125,000 NTREIS
- 2022-07-12 Price Changed $1,100 RENT.
- 2008-11-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-11-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,201 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…