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214 Stafford Hl
B Composite 70.46
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.6/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

214 Stafford Hl · Pittsburg, TX 75686
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 926 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 42 Days on market
Built 1945 7,405 sqft lot $108/sqft · at area comps Est $100k · at est. ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming 2 bedroom, 1 bath home in the heart of Pittsburg! Perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors looking to add a solid rental property to their portfolio. This home offers a cozy layout, functional living space, and plenty of potential to make it your own. Conveniently located near local shopping, dining, and schools. Whether you’re looking for a great starter home or your next investment opportunity, this property is full of possibilities

Key facts

  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • Built 1945
  • Listed 41 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Single-family detached residence; Single story
  • Construction: Aluminum and metal roof
  • Exterior features: Deck

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Range

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $524 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 5.1% in Pittsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#144 in TX, #4,098 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime C-, amenities D+, employment D+.
  • Pittsburg ISD (town): math 54% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #216 of 826 in TX (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Pittsburg El (math 34% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,995 of 4,322 statewide, top 50%, 545 students, 80% FRL); Pittsburg J H (math 48% / reading 43%, grade D+, #470 of 1,662 statewide, top 29%, 349 students, 82% FRL); Pittsburg H S (math 62% / reading 52%, grade C, #333 of 1,632 statewide, top 22%, 726 students, 78% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 313 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Camp County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Camp County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,903 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.51%
Cap rate
12.58%
Cash-on-cash
22.47%
DSCR
2.00
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$100,163
List price
$99,900
Delta
-0.26%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.3%
Equity multiple
1.61×
Total profit
$17,183
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
24.0%
Equity multiple
3.07×
Total profit
$57,961
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75686

Home prices YoY
-21.6%
Active inventory
313
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,510 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$104 /mo · $1,247/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$317
Net cashflow
$524

Break-even live

Break-even rent $847
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $99,900 Active 42 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,900 Active 41 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    price $99,900 Active 40 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $109,900 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $109,900 Active 39 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $109,900 Active 38 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $109,900 Active 36 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $109,900 Active 35 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $109,900 Active 32 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,900 Active 31 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,900 Active 30 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $109,900 Active 28 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $109,900 Active 26 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $109,900 Active 25 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,900 Active 24 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,900 Active 23 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $109,900 Active 22 DOM
  18. 2026-05-09
    listed $109,900 Active 468-char remark
  19. 2014-09-25
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,247 · $104/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,828 · $152/mo
Expected delta
+$582/yr (+$48/mo · 46.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,125
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$1,247
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,450
− Management
−$1,450
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$4,976
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,194
After-tax cash flow
$5,091/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pittsburg ISD
NCES district ID
4835010
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$38,136
Composite
40.87/100
National rank
#3627
State rank
#216 of 826 in TX

Livability — Pittsburg

Score
75/100
State rank
#144
US rank
#4098

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pittsburg, TX
Population (ZIP)
13,427

Population outlook (Camp County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
13,403 people
By 2030
13,741 · +2.5%
By 2040
14,436 · +7.7%
By 2050
15,135 · +12.9%
By 2075
16,836 · +25.6%
By 2100
17,582 · +31.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 52% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 16% Black 14% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 25%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Scottish 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Vietnam, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 20% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Camp

2024 margin
Solid R (+53.6) · D 22.9% · R 76.5%
2008→2024 swing
-30.3pp toward R · 2008: -23.3pp · 2024: -53.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+53.6 2020: R+44.1 2016: R+42.7 2012: R+33.5 2008: R+23.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -50.12%
Current HPI
181.5522
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.1% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Price Changed $99,900 GTAR
  • 2026-05-09 Listed $109,900 GTAR
  • 2014-09-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+8.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,247 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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