1122 Prospect St · Lansing, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.8/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- Built 1893
- Listed 59 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $657 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.6% vs local median 6.0% in Lansing — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#94 in MI, #2,182 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
- Lansing Public School District (urban): math 14% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #650 of 760 in MI (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 98 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 350 units permitted in Ingham County in 2024 (186 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ingham County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $12k; list at $85k implies a 613% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1893 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1893 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.85% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 33.14%
- DSCR
- 2.47
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $98,771
- List price
- $84,900
- Delta
- -14.04%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 509 Clifford St | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 936 (-3%) | 0mo | $32,000 | $34 | 71 |
| 400 Lathrop St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,003 (+4%) | 1mo | $115,000 | $115 | 70 |
| 1200 S Holmes St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 962 (-1%) | 4mo | $75,000 | $78 | 56 |
| 904 Larned St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,054 (+9%) | 9mo | $95,100 | $90 | 56 |
| 920 Vine St | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 888 (-8%) | 8mo | $72,000 | $81 | 55 |
| 1614 Marcus St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,040 (+7%) | 8mo | $63,000 | $61 | 53 |
| 1024 E Malcolm X St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,104 (+14%) | 3mo | $145,000 | $131 | 49 |
| 1229 Walsh St | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,038 (+7%) | 9mo | $80,000 | $77 | 49 |
| 646 S Clemens Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 912 (-6%) | 1mo | $105,100 | $115 | 49 |
| 424 S Clemens | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,056 (+9%) | 4mo | $96,000 | $91 | 44 |
| 510 Regent St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 836 (-14%) | 5mo | $77,000 | $92 | 38 |
| 534 S Fairview Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,074 (+11%) | 10mo | $138,000 | $128 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.02% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.46×
- Total profit
- $34,707
- Equity at exit
- $12,659
- IRR
- 42.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.78×
- Total profit
- $113,693
- Equity at exit
- $7,341
Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48912
- Rents YoY
- 7.0%
- Active inventory
- 98
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,574 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$445
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$106 /mo · $1,274/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$330
- Net cashflow
- $657
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,225
- Closing costs
- $2,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 208 S Bingham St Lansing, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,500 | $1.47 | 13d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 910 Dakin St Lansing, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 908 | $1,295 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1223 Bensch St Lansing, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,200 | $1.41 | 21d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2208 Marcus St Lansing, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 616 | $1,175 | $1.91 | 21d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 414 N Hayford Ave Lansing, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,425 | $1.44 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1228 N Fairview Ave Lansing, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1561 Massachusetts Ave Lansing, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $84,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $84,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $84,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $84,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $84,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $84,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $84,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $84,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $84,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $84,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $84,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $84,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $84,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $84,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $84,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $84,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-04-13$84,900 Active
-
2026-04-13$84,900 Active
-
2025-07-05historical
-
2025-07-05historical
-
2025-06-14price $64,900
-
2025-06-14price $64,900
-
2025-06-14price $64,900
-
2025-06-04$74,900 Active
-
2025-06-04$74,900 Active
-
2011-01-20soldstatus $11,900
-
2010-12-22$17,270
-
2007-11-16soldstatus $27,500
-
2007-08-27$29,900
-
2004-09-10soldstatus $80,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,886
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,756
- − Property taxes
- −$1,274
- − Insurance
- −$424
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,511
- − Management
- −$1,511
- − Depreciation
- −$2,470
- Taxable income
- $6,940
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,666
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,213/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lansing Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2621150
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,453
- Composite
- 18.76/100
- National rank
- #14002
- State rank
- #650 of 760 in MI
Livability — Lansing
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #94
- US rank
- #2182
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lansing, MI
- County
- Ingham County · 237,052 people
- City population
- 161,269
- Metro
- Lansing-East Lansing, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,674
- Household income
- $54,429
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1171.0
Population outlook (Ingham County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 300,362 people
- By 2030
- 307,808 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 320,492 · +6.7%
- By 2050
- 333,223 · +10.9%
- By 2075
- 373,693 · +24.4%
- By 2100
- 392,021 · +30.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Black 22% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Iranian 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ingham
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.7) · D 63.9% · R 34.2% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 33.3pp · 2024: 29.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.7 2020: D+32.2 2016: D+27.6 2012: D+27.9 2008: D+33.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -167.67%
- Current HPI
- 171.1549
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.02%
- Metro
- Lansing-East Lansing, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+6.1% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Listed $84,900 Greater Lansing AoR
- 2026-04-13 Listed $84,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-07-05 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-07-05 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-06-14 Price Changed $64,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-06-14 Price Changed $64,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-06-14 Price Changed $64,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-06-04 Listed $74,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-06-04 Listed $74,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2011-01-20 Sold (MLS) $11,900 Greater Lansing AoR
- 2010-12-22 Listed $17,270 Greater Lansing AoR
- 2007-11-16 Sold (MLS) $27,500 Greater Lansing AoR
- 2007-08-27 Listed $29,900 Greater Lansing AoR
- 2004-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.2%/yrLatest (2025): $4,691 · +134.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…