18700 Hartwell St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this beautiful 3 bedroom brick Colonial home that is ready to move in. Tasteful decorated with modern decor. Featuring living room with bay window and natural fireplace. Formal dining room that leads to a cozy Florida room. New kitchen with eating area. 3 spacious bedrooms. Re-finished hardwood flooring throughtout. Finished basement with a fireplace and lots of storage space. Nice size backyard with a 1 car garage to enjoy outdoor activities with family and friends.
Key facts
- New kitchen
- Natural fireplace
- Florida room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $130 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $138k (8.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 283 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 257 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 257 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.70%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $181,102
- List price
- $149,900
- Delta
- -17.23%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18927 Stansbury St | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,523 (+8%) | 1mo | $98,000 | $64 | 68 |
| 18011 Appoline St W | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 | 1,440 (+2%) | 3mo | $170,000 | $118 | 64 |
| 13517 Pembroke Ave | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 | 1,386 (-1%) | 4mo | $92,000 | $66 | 63 |
| 18501 Mendota St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,461 (+4%) | 4mo | $135,000 | $92 | 60 |
| 18438 Mendota St | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 | 1,459 (+4%) | 1mo | $149,400 | $102 | 58 |
| 19139 Lauder St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,335 (-5%) | 4mo | $40,000 | $30 | 50 |
| 17531 Ardmore St | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,304 (-7%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $150 | 47 |
| 18292 Mendota St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,232 (-12%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $118 | 46 |
| 19360 Strathmoor St | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 | 1,596 (+14%) | 3mo | $145,000 | $91 | 45 |
| 17621 Meyers Rd | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,264 (-10%) | 0mo | $40,000 | $32 | 44 |
| 18613 Mendota St | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 | 1,606 (+14%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $121 | 43 |
| 17517 Meyers Rd | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,611 (+15%) | 3mo | $75,000 | $47 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.25% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-15,716
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- -0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-1,732
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48235
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 283
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,378 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$111 /mo · $1,330/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$289
- Net cashflow
- $130
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $214 | -5% $172 | +0% $130 | +5% $87 | +10% $45 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $21 | -5% $75 | +0% $130 | +5% $184 | +10% $238 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $205 | -0.5pp $168 | base $130 | +0.5pp $91 | +1.0pp $51 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 37 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18512 Schaefer Hwy Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $1,200 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 18675 Meyers Rd Unit 18677 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $1,100 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 19474 Schaefer Hwy Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,075 | $1.20 | 5d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 18010 Lesure St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1010 | $1,550 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 18257 Mark Twain St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1185 | $1,507 | $1.27 | 17d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 18964 Coyle St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,350 | $1.04 | 3d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 17540 Pinehurst St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,395 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 20042 Freeland St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1445 | $1,400 | $0.97 | 17d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 20032 Monte Vista St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,294 | $1.29 | 21d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 20122 Manor St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1028 | $1,200 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 20426 Tracey St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 18935 Indiana St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $1,523 | $1.22 | 5d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 18481 Prest St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 19d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 20245 Manor Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1018 | $1,400 | $1.38 | 3d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 18427 Greenfield Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 952 | $980 | $1.03 | 5d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 16505 Stansbury St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $1,345 | $0.79 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 16505 Stansbury St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 11d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 16934 Ilene St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1516 | $1,400 | $0.92 | 20d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 18675 Forrer St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,225 | $1.02 | 5d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 16230 Cheyenne St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1653 | $1,450 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 16889 Washburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,100 | $0.85 | 18d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 20460 Griggs St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $1,100 | $1.21 | 18d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 16204 Steel St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 969 | $1,150 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 20009 Wisconsin St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1051 | $1,400 | $1.33 | 18d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 20515 Ilene St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 891 | $1,450 | $1.63 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 18400 Rutherford St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,400 | $1.33 | 4d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 20185 Indiana St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1096 | $1,275 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 19440 Rutherford St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 20445 Kentucky St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1046 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 19986 Cherrylawn St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1144 | $1,700 | $1.49 | 18d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 19467 Rutherford St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1002 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 17d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 20458 Indiana St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1049 | $1,300 | $1.24 | 18d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 17530 Roselawn St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,000 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 17195 Northlawn St #1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 20d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 17195 Northlawn St #2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,050 | $0.88 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 19503 Mansfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 17d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 17159 Northlawn St Unit 17161 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1122 | $975 | $0.87 | 5d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18status $149,900 Pending 257 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,900 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,900 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,900 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,900 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,900 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,900 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,900 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,900 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $149,900 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-03pricedays on market $149,900 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $169,900 Active 240 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,900 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-01-07price $169,900 482-char remark
Show marketing remark (482 chars)
Welcome to this beautiful 3 bedroom brick Colonial home that is ready to move in. Tasteful decorated with modern decor. Featuring living room with bay window and natural fireplace. Formal dining room that leads to a cozy Florida room. New kitchen with eating area. 3 spacious bedrooms. Re-finished hardwood flooring throughtout. Finished basement with a fireplace and lots of storage space. Nice size backyard with a 1 car garage to enjoy outdoor activities with family and friends.
-
2026-01-06price $169,900 482-char remark
Show marketing remark (482 chars)
Welcome to this beautiful 3 bedroom brick Colonial home that is ready to move in. Tasteful decorated with modern decor. Featuring living room with bay window and natural fireplace. Formal dining room that leads to a cozy Florida room. New kitchen with eating area. 3 spacious bedrooms. Re-finished hardwood flooring throughtout. Finished basement with a fireplace and lots of storage space. Nice size backyard with a 1 car garage to enjoy outdoor activities with family and friends.
-
2025-10-04$179,900 Active 482-char remark
Show marketing remark (482 chars)
Welcome to this beautiful 3 bedroom brick Colonial home that is ready to move in. Tasteful decorated with modern decor. Featuring living room with bay window and natural fireplace. Formal dining room that leads to a cozy Florida room. New kitchen with eating area. 3 spacious bedrooms. Re-finished hardwood flooring throughtout. Finished basement with a fireplace and lots of storage space. Nice size backyard with a 1 car garage to enjoy outdoor activities with family and friends.
-
2025-10-04$179,900 Active 482-char remark
Show marketing remark (482 chars)
Welcome to this beautiful 3 bedroom brick Colonial home that is ready to move in. Tasteful decorated with modern decor. Featuring living room with bay window and natural fireplace. Formal dining room that leads to a cozy Florida room. New kitchen with eating area. 3 spacious bedrooms. Re-finished hardwood flooring throughtout. Finished basement with a fireplace and lots of storage space. Nice size backyard with a 1 car garage to enjoy outdoor activities with family and friends.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,330 · $111/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,819 · $152/mo
- Expected delta
- +$489/yr (+$41/mo · 36.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,541
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$1,330
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,323
- − Management
- −$1,323
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable loss
- −$942
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$226
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,781/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,600
- Household income
- $39,265
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3064.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -153.02%
- Current HPI
- 263.6326
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.25%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
-5.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-07 Price Changed $169,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-06 Price Changed $169,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-10-04 Listed $179,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-10-04 Listed $179,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
-4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,330 · -55.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…