591 Kennedy St · Xenia, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.5/30.0
- ARV discount +10.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Tons of potential on this 2 bedroom, 1 bath home built in 1946 and located in Xenia on a 0.13 acre lot. This home offers 1,186 sq ft of living space, a large bonus room upstairs, and an unfinished partial basement to help with extra storage. Enjoy the convenience of a fenced-in backyard, which is perfect for pets, outdoor entertaining, or relaxing evenings. If you're looking for a home to create as your own, or simply looking for an investment opportunity to expand your portfolio, schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Large bonus room
- Fenced-in backyard
- 6,051 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $252 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 3.6% in Xenia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#244 in OH, #3,892 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: amenities D+, commute F, employment F.
- Xenia Community City (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #478 of 656 in OH (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 234 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 797 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (148 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $57k; list at $135k implies a 137% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.99%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $144,692
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 717 Kennedy St | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,036 (-13%) | 1mo | $160,300 | $155 | 72 |
| 252 S Collier St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (-3%) | 12mo | $138,000 | $120 | 68 |
| 422 E 3rd St | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,144 (-4%) | 8mo | $44,000 | $38 | 63 |
| 580 E 2nd St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,156 (-2%) | 10mo | $52,000 | $45 | 62 |
| 921 Mcdowell St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,018 (-14%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $211 | 57 |
| 654 E 3rd St | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 | 1,100 (-7%) | 6mo | $188,000 | $171 | 57 |
| 275 S West St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,160 (-2%) | 12mo | $180,000 | $155 | 56 |
| 758 E Main St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,220 (+3%) | 8mo | $60,000 | $49 | 56 |
| 260 S West St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,108 (-7%) | 4mo | $145,000 | $131 | 55 |
| 282 S West St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,160 (-2%) | 10mo | $132,000 | $114 | 52 |
| 317 S Miami Ave | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,079 (-9%) | 12mo | $132,000 | $122 | 39 |
| 931 E 3rd St | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,032 (-13%) | 9mo | $38,000 | $37 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.48% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-2,323
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.89×
- Total profit
- $33,821
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45385
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 234
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,389 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$81 /mo · $973/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$292
- Net cashflow
- $252
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $328 | -5% $290 | +0% $252 | +5% $214 | +10% $175 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $142 | -5% $197 | +0% $252 | +5% $307 | +10% $361 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $320 | -0.5pp $286 | base $252 | +0.5pp $217 | +1.0pp $181 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 655 Eavey St Xenia, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,495 | $1.44 | 12d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 48 N Collier St Xenia, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 22d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 50 N Collier St Xenia, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 12d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 52 N Collier St Xenia, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 12d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 451 Cincinnati Ave Xenia, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,275 | $1.25 | 15d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 237 Park St Xenia, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 798 | $1,050 | $1.32 | 3d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 398 N Columbus St Xenia, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1001 | $1,195 | $1.19 | 3d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 341 Stelton Rd Xenia, OH | 2.0–11.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $910 | $1.14 | 3d | 13 | 0.89mi |
| 87 Poe Ln Xenia, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,400 | $1.54 | 3d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 920 N Detroit St Xenia, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,250 | $1.79 | 3d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-04-20status Pending
-
2026-04-15$135,000 Active
-
2002-10-17soldstatus $57,000
-
1999-11-23soldstatus $34,000
-
1989-03-14soldstatus $10,000
-
1987-10-13soldstatus $15,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $973 · $81/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,539 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- +$567/yr (+$47/mo · 58.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,664
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$973
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,333
- − Management
- −$1,333
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $860
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$206
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,815/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Xenia Community City
- NCES district ID
- 3904515
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,206
- Composite
- 40.31/100
- National rank
- #3752
- State rank
- #478 of 656 in OH
Livability — Xenia
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #244
- US rank
- #3892
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Xenia, OH
- County
- Greene County · 132,120 people
- City population
- 40,617
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,617
- Household income
- $76,564
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 906.0
Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 170,301 people
- By 2030
- 171,840 · +0.9%
- By 2040
- 171,408 · +0.7%
- By 2050
- 167,806 · -1.5%
- By 2075
- 154,430 · -9.3%
- By 2100
- 138,669 · -18.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 6% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Greene
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.8) · D 39.5% · R 59.3% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.4pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -19.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.8 2020: R+19.5 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+21.8 2008: R+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -158.15%
- Current HPI
- 239.0473
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.48%
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+800.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Pending — Dayton MLS
- 2026-04-15 Listed $135,000 Dayton MLS
- 2002-10-17 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
- 1999-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records
- 1989-03-14 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
- 1987-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $973 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…