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591 Kennedy St
C+ Composite 61.0
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

591 Kennedy St · Xenia, OH 45385
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,186 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1946 6,051 sqft lot Est $145k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Tons of potential on this 2 bedroom, 1 bath home built in 1946 and located in Xenia on a 0.13 acre lot. This home offers 1,186 sq ft of living space, a large bonus room upstairs, and an unfinished partial basement to help with extra storage. Enjoy the convenience of a fenced-in backyard, which is perfect for pets, outdoor entertaining, or relaxing evenings. If you're looking for a home to create as your own, or simply looking for an investment opportunity to expand your portfolio, schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Large bonus room
  • Fenced-in backyard
  • 6,051 sq ft lot

Tags

FENCED-IN BACKYARDLARGE BONUS ROOMUNFINISHED PARTIAL BASEMENT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $252 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
  • Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 3.6% in Xenia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#244 in OH, #3,892 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: amenities D+, commute F, employment F.
  • Xenia Community City (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #478 of 656 in OH (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 234 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 797 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (148 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $57k; list at $135k implies a 137% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $135,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
8.53%
Cash-on-cash
7.99%
DSCR
1.36
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$144,692
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
717 Kennedy St 0.12mi 3/1.0 1,036 (-13%) 1mo $160,300 $155 72
252 S Collier St 0.36mi 3/1.0 1,152 (-3%) 12mo $138,000 $120 68
422 E 3rd St 0.42mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,144 (-4%) 8mo $44,000 $38 63
580 E 2nd St 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,156 (-2%) 10mo $52,000 $45 62
921 Mcdowell St 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,018 (-14%) 1mo $215,000 $211 57
654 E 3rd St 0.51mi 3/1.5 1,100 (-7%) 6mo $188,000 $171 57
275 S West St 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,160 (-2%) 12mo $180,000 $155 56
758 E Main St 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,220 (+3%) 8mo $60,000 $49 56
260 S West St 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,108 (-7%) 4mo $145,000 $131 55
282 S West St 0.65mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,160 (-2%) 10mo $132,000 $114 52
317 S Miami Ave 0.67mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,079 (-9%) 12mo $132,000 $122 39
931 E 3rd St 0.68mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,032 (-13%) 9mo $38,000 $37 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.48% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.6%
Equity multiple
0.94×
Total profit
$-2,323
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
10.4%
Equity multiple
1.89×
Total profit
$33,821
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45385

Rents YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
234
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,389 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$81 /mo · $973/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$292
Net cashflow
$252

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,070
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $328 -5% $290 +0% $252 +5% $214 +10% $175
Rent -10% $142 -5% $197 +0% $252 +5% $307 +10% $361
Rate -1.0pp $320 -0.5pp $286 base $252 +0.5pp $217 +1.0pp $181

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
655 Eavey St Xenia, OH 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,495 $1.44 12d 1 0.17mi
48 N Collier St Xenia, OH 2.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 22d 1 0.59mi
50 N Collier St Xenia, OH 4.0 1.0 1100 $1,350 $1.23 12d 1 0.60mi
52 N Collier St Xenia, OH 2.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 12d 1 0.60mi
451 Cincinnati Ave Xenia, OH 3.0 1.0 1024 $1,275 $1.25 15d 1 0.81mi
237 Park St Xenia, OH 2.0 1.0 798 $1,050 $1.32 3d 1 0.82mi
398 N Columbus St Xenia, OH 2.0 1.0 1001 $1,195 $1.19 3d 1 0.84mi
341 Stelton Rd Xenia, OH 2.0–11.0 1.0 800 $910 $1.14 3d 13 0.89mi
87 Poe Ln Xenia, OH 3.0 1.0 912 $1,400 $1.54 3d 1 1.44mi
920 N Detroit St Xenia, OH 2.0 1.0 700 $1,250 $1.79 3d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-04-20
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-15
    listed $135,000 Active
  3. 2002-10-17
    soldstatus $57,000
  4. 1999-11-23
    soldstatus $34,000
  5. 1989-03-14
    soldstatus $10,000
  6. 1987-10-13
    soldstatus $15,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$973 · $81/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,539 · $128/mo
Expected delta
+$567/yr (+$47/mo · 58.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,664
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$973
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,333
− Management
−$1,333
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$860
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$206
After-tax cash flow
$2,815/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Xenia Community City
NCES district ID
3904515
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$46,206
Composite
40.31/100
National rank
#3752
State rank
#478 of 656 in OH

Livability — Xenia

Score
75/100
State rank
#244
US rank
#3892

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Xenia, OH
County
Greene County · 132,120 people
City population
40,617
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
Population (ZIP)
40,617
Household income
$76,564
Rent vs Own
27.7% rent · 72.3% own
Severe rent burden
906.0

Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
170,301 people
By 2030
171,840 · +0.9%
By 2040
171,408 · +0.7%
By 2050
167,806 · -1.5%
By 2075
154,430 · -9.3%
By 2100
138,669 · -18.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Two or more races 6% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Greene

2024 margin
R (+19.8) · D 39.5% · R 59.3% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-1.4pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -19.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.8 2020: R+19.5 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+21.8 2008: R+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -158.15%
Current HPI
239.0473
Rent YoY
▲ 5.48%
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+800.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Pending Dayton MLS
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $135,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2002-10-17 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
  • 1999-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records
  • 1989-03-14 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
  • 1987-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $973 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…