1540 Cedar Bend Rd N · Southside, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.5/15.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$259,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Don’t miss this well maintained 3-bedroom, 2 bath home in the desirable Southside area. This updated home features all new floors throughout, fresh paint, faucets, & light fixtures. Have peace of mind with a roof that’s 3 years old, new garage doors, and updated electrical. Cozy up by the gas fireplace or enjoy your master suite with a walk-in closet. In the kitchen is all stainless-steel appliances with a large Pantry/Laundry. The property has a detached garage with an office space. Schedule your showing today!! Seller is willing to offer $5000.00 sellers concessions for the right offer.
Key facts
- New floors
- Updated electrical
- Fresh paint
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $648 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $260k).
- Recommended offer: $237k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.5% in Southside — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#73 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Etowah County (suburban): math 21% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #36 of 129 in AL (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 119 units permitted in Etowah County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Etowah County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($237k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.68%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $285,171
- List price
- $259,900
- Delta
- -8.86%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2915 White Oak Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,858 (-2%) | 2mo | $306,900 | $165 | 83 |
| 1653 Lister Ct | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,975 (+4%) | 3mo | $214,900 | $109 | 83 |
| 2281 Western Hills Dr E | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,987 (+5%) | 3mo | $375,000 | $189 | 69 |
| 1508 Western Ln | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,860 (-2%) | 10mo | $223,500 | $120 | 69 |
| 2784 Buckhaven Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,952 (+3%) | 19mo | $322,000 | $165 | 68 |
| 2801 Lister Ferry Rd | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,830 (-4%) | 13mo | $351,000 | $192 | 68 |
| 2838 Lister Ferry Rd | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,796 (-5%) | 10mo | $340,000 | $189 | 67 |
| 2818 Lister Ferry Rd | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 2,031 (+7%) | 15mo | $382,000 | $188 | 62 |
| 2413 Waid Cir N | 0.35mi | 3/2.5 | 1,960 (+3%) | 18mo | $244,000 | $124 | 61 |
| 1575 Jamie Ln | 0.17mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,009 (+6%) | 20mo | $162,500 | $81 | 58 |
| 1498 Jamie Ln | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,676 (-12%) | 21mo | $190,000 | $113 | 56 |
| 2245 Waterfront Dr | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,657 (-13%) | 5mo | $270,000 | $163 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-973
- Equity at exit
- $38,752
- IRR
- 9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.71×
- Total profit
- $51,812
- Equity at exit
- $22,471
Cash invested: $72,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35907
- Home prices YoY
- -25.9%
- Active inventory
- 81
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,772 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax from tax record
- −$71 /mo · $849/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$582
- Net cashflow
- $648
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,975
- Closing costs
- $7,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2214 Windsong Trl Gadsden, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2200 | $2,000 | $0.91 | 3d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 418 Riverton Dr Rainbow City, AL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2342 | $3,800 | $1.62 | 23d | 1 | 1.15mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $259,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $259,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $259,900 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $259,900 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $259,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $259,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $259,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $259,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $259,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $259,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $259,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $269,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $269,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $269,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $269,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $269,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $269,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-03-17price $269,900 611-char remark
Show marketing remark (611 chars)
Don’t miss this well maintained 3-bedroom, 2 bath home in the desirable Southside area. This updated home features all new floors throughout, fresh paint, faucets, & light fixtures. Have peace of mind with a roof that’s 3 years old, new garage doors, and updated electrical. Cozy up by the gas fireplace or enjoy your master suite with a walk-in closet. In the kitchen is all stainless-steel appliances with a large Pantry/Laundry. The property has a detached garage with an office space. Schedule your showing today!! Seller is willing to offer $5000.00 sellers concessions for the right offer.
-
2026-02-23$275,000 Active 611-char remark
Show marketing remark (611 chars)
Don’t miss this well maintained 3-bedroom, 2 bath home in the desirable Southside area. This updated home features all new floors throughout, fresh paint, faucets, & light fixtures. Have peace of mind with a roof that’s 3 years old, new garage doors, and updated electrical. Cozy up by the gas fireplace or enjoy your master suite with a walk-in closet. In the kitchen is all stainless-steel appliances with a large Pantry/Laundry. The property has a detached garage with an office space. Schedule your showing today!! Seller is willing to offer $5000.00 sellers concessions for the right offer.
-
2023-06-22price $279,700
-
2023-06-06price $288,500
-
2023-04-21$299,700 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $849 · $71/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,066 · $89/mo
- Expected delta
- +$217/yr (+$18/mo · 25.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,262
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,558
- − Property taxes
- −$849
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,661
- − Management
- −$2,661
- − Depreciation
- −$7,561
- Taxable income
- $3,672
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$881
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,892/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Etowah County
- NCES district ID
- 0101380
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,403
- Composite
- 31.12/100
- National rank
- #6062
- State rank
- #36 of 129 in AL
Livability — Southside
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #73
- US rank
- #9908
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Southside, AL
- City population
- 9,299
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,299
Population outlook (Etowah County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 100,500 people
- By 2030
- 98,488 · -2.0%
- By 2040
- 93,731 · -6.7%
- By 2050
- 88,681 · -11.8%
- By 2075
- 76,746 · -23.6%
- By 2100
- 65,373 · -35.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Scottish 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Etowah
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.7) · D 21.8% · R 77.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.5pp toward R · 2008: -38.2pp · 2024: -55.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.7 2020: R+50.2 2016: R+50.1 2012: R+38.4 2008: R+38.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -72.98%
- Current HPI
- 208.5419
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-9.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-17 Price Changed $269,900 VMLS
- 2026-02-23 Listed $275,000 VMLS
- 2023-06-22 Price Changed $279,700 VMLS
- 2023-06-06 Price Changed $288,500 VMLS
- 2023-04-21 Listed $299,700 VMLS
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2025): $849 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…