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319 N 11th St
D- Composite 38.54
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.3/30.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +3.6/15.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$299,000

319 N 11th St · Fort Pierce, FL 34950
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,740 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 55 Days on market
Built 1928 10,019 sqft lot Est $275k · 9% over ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Fully renovated and move-in ready! This beautifully updated home in Fort Pierce offers modern style and comfort. Featuring new flooring, fresh paint, and a bright open interior, the home has been completely refreshed. The kitchen includes updated cabinetry and sleek countertops, while the bathrooms are modern and cleanly finished. Situated on a spacious lot with no HOA, there's plenty of room to enjoy or expand. Conveniently located near downtown, shopping, dining, and beaches, this property is perfect as a primary home or investment. Turnkey and ready for its new owner—don't miss out!

Key facts

  • Fresh paint
  • New flooring
  • Updated cabinetry

Tags

NEW FLOORINGFRESH PAINTBRIGHT OPEN INTERIORUPDATED CABINETRYSLEEK COUNTERTOPSMODERN FINISHED BATHROOMS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Not waterfront

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; Two carport spaces; Driveway; Concrete surfaces; Covered parking (2 spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Sewer available; Water available
  • Home design: Single family residence; Updated/remodeled condition; Two stories; Entry level: 1; Faces east
  • Construction: Wood frame construction; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Open porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: Four bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Fireplace: Decorative electric fireplace
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: No special interior built-ins or features listed; Furnished
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $299k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3 ($-31/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $299k (0.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $261k (12.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $261k (12.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.5% in Fort Pierce — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#226 in FL, #3,360 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D, amenities F.
  • St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.9%/yr); 165 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,612/mo this rent would consume 103% of the median local household income ($30k/yr) (locally 1995% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $261,230 (12.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
6.28%
Cash-on-cash
-0.04%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$274,920
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
307 N 20th St 0.66mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,552 (-11%) 7mo $245,000 $158 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.94% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.1%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-40,623
Equity at exit
$44,582
10-year hold
IRR
-0.1%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-753
Equity at exit
$25,852

Cash invested: $83,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34950

Home prices YoY
-20.2%
Rents YoY
5.9%
Active inventory
165
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,612 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,568
Tax est. 1.5%
$374 /mo · $4,485/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$549
Net cashflow
$-3

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,616
Max offer price $298,623
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $204 -5% $101 +0% $-3 +5% $-106 +10% $-209
Rent -10% $-209 -5% $-106 +0% $-3 +5% $101 +10% $204
Rate -1.0pp $148 -0.5pp $73 base $-3 +0.5pp $-80 +1.0pp $-159

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,750
Closing costs
$8,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
311 N 11th St Fort Pierce, FL 5.0 2.0 1616 $3,000 $1.86 15d 1 0.02mi
513 N 9th St Unit B Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 2.0 1250 $2,300 $1.84 24d 1 0.29mi
313 S 13th St Unit B Fort Pierce, FL 5.0 3.0 1783 $3,800 $2.13 22d 1 0.36mi
1102 Avenue G Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 1.5 1870 $1,800 $0.96 24d 1 0.45mi
1405 Avenue G Apt A Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 2.0 1064 $2,200 $2.07 24d 1 0.46mi
306 N 18th Ct #2 Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 2.0 1192 $2,150 $1.80 24d 1 0.51mi
1617 Avenue E Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,800 $1.64 24d 1 0.51mi
318 N 24th St Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 2.5 1952 $2,600 $1.33 24d 1 0.84mi
2705 Avenue E Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 1.0 1161 $1,800 $1.55 24d 1 1.13mi
1408 N 23rd St Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 1.0 1110 $1,900 $1.71 15d 1 1.15mi
1016 Chipola Rd Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,200 $2.00 24d 1 1.23mi
1701 Sunrise Blvd Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 2.0 1518 $2,000 $1.32 15d 1 1.29mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $299,000 Active 55 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $299,000 Active 52 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $299,000 Active 51 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    pricedays on market $299,000 Active 50 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $305,000 Active 48 DOM
  6. 2026-05-30
    days on market $305,000 Active 47 DOM
  7. 2026-05-06
    price $305,000
  8. 2026-04-19
    price $330,000
  9. 2026-04-13
    listed $340,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,348
− Mortgage interest
−$16,749
− Property taxes
−$4,485
− Insurance
−$1,495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,508
− Management
−$2,508
− Depreciation
−$8,698
Taxable loss
−$5,095
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,223
After-tax cash flow
$1,192/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Lucie
NCES district ID
1201770
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,737
Composite
37.28/100
National rank
#4449
State rank
#51 of 73 in FL

Livability — Fort Pierce

Score
76/100
State rank
#226
US rank
#3360

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fort Pierce, FL
County
Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
City population
78,556
Metro
Port St. Lucie, FL
Population (ZIP)
17,461
Household income
$30,400
Rent vs Own
61.1% rent · 38.9% own
Severe rent burden
1995.0

Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
338,016 people
By 2030
355,687 · +5.2%
By 2040
385,521 · +14.1%
By 2050
406,106 · +20.1%
By 2075
441,054 · +30.5%
By 2100
436,885 · +29.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (63%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 63% Hispanic / Latino 19% White 17% Two or more races 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 17% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
23% · Canada
Languages at home
69% English-only · Spanish 14% French/Haitian/Cajun 12% Other Indo-European 4%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
2008→2024 swing
-21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -97.20%
Current HPI
384.8532
Rent YoY
▲ 5.94%
Metro
Port St. Lucie, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $305,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2026-04-19 Price Changed $330,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $340,000 Beaches MLS

Property tax history

+0.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $69 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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