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16 Fox Cross Ln
C- Composite 54.28
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.8/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +7.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +2.9/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$115,000

16 Fox Cross Ln · Northwood, NH 03261
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,109 sqft · Manufactured public records · 80 Days on market
Built 1990 Est $104k · 10% over $1285/mo HOA · 46% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Tired of high rent. .own your own !! motivated sellers will consider any and all offers. Needs some work 3 bedroom 2 bath, nice yard and deck for outdoor enjoyment. Mountain View Park is a well kept park, close to all area amenities. Seller will assist with buyer's closing costs. Park approval required, application fee $50.00 (credit check) per applicant

Key facts

  • Landscaped lot
  • Outdoor enjoyment
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

UPDATED KITCHENUPDATED SECONDARY BATHROOMLANDSCAPED LOTOUTDOOR ENJOYMENTEASY ACCESS TO SHOPSEASY ACCESS TO RESTAURANTS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Paved public road frontage
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Association fee covers water, sewer, trash, and plowing; Association provides snow removal and trash removal; Located in Mountain View Park (mobile park approved)

Exterior

  • Parking: Paved driveway
  • Utilities: Community water; Community sewer; 100 Amp electrical service; Cable internet available; Underground utilities
  • Home design: Manufactured home (single wide); Existing construction; White exterior color; Metal roof; Built in 1990
  • Construction: Vinyl exterior; Metal roof; Manufactured home construction; Year built: 1990
  • Exterior features: Country setting; Landscaped; Level lot; Paved driveway

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on main level); One bedroom with attached bath (main level)
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Kerosene heat; Forced air heating; Cooling: Other
  • Interior features: Five total rooms; Kitchen/Dining area; Living room; Laundry room
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry room (main level)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $179 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $108k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Northwood School District (rural): math 51% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #65 of 171 in NH (top 38%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,276 units permitted in Rockingham County in 2024 (593 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $55k; list at $115k implies a 109% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 46% of rent.
Recommended offer $108,100 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.43%
Cap rate
8.16%
Cash-on-cash
6.68%
DSCR
1.30
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$104,246
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
25 Fox Cross Ln 0.03mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,176 (+6%) 12mo $110,000 $94 73

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.3%
Equity multiple
0.80×
Total profit
$-6,415
Equity at exit
$17,147
10-year hold
IRR
5.1%
Equity multiple
1.38×
Total profit
$12,367
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Hampshire
56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+1
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Has just-cause statute; 30-day notice; landlord-leaning vs. neighbors.

ZIP-level market 03261

Home prices YoY
-21.7%
Active inventory
43
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,793 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$91 /mo · $1,090/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$1,285
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$586
Net cashflow
$179

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,566
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $244 -5% $212 +0% $179 +5% $147 +10% $114
Rent -10% $-41 -5% $69 +0% $179 +5% $290 +10% $400
Rate -1.0pp $237 -0.5pp $209 base $179 +0.5pp $150 +1.0pp $119

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
381 1st NH Tpke Northwood, NH 3.0 1.0 900 $3,000 $3.33 0d 1 0.29mi
253 1st New Hampshire Tpke Unit 4 Northwood, NH 2.0 1.0 850 $2,100 $2.47 0d 1 0.91mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$1,285 · $15,420/yr

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,000 Active 80 DOM
  2. 2026-04-13
    price $115,000
  3. 2026-03-12
    listed $120,000 Active
  4. 2021-12-02
    soldstatus $55,000 Closed 358-char remark
    Show marketing remark (358 chars)

    Tired of high rent. .own your own !! motivated sellers will consider any and all offers. Needs some work 3 bedroom 2 bath, nice yard and deck for outdoor enjoyment. Mountain View Park is a well kept park, close to all area amenities. Seller will assist with buyer's closing costs. Park approval required, application fee $50.00 (credit check) per applicant

  5. 2021-10-28
    historical Active with Contract 358-char remark
    Show marketing remark (358 chars)

    Tired of high rent. .own your own !! motivated sellers will consider any and all offers. Needs some work 3 bedroom 2 bath, nice yard and deck for outdoor enjoyment. Mountain View Park is a well kept park, close to all area amenities. Seller will assist with buyer's closing costs. Park approval required, application fee $50.00 (credit check) per applicant

  6. 2021-10-18
    price $70,000 358-char remark
    Show marketing remark (358 chars)

    Tired of high rent. .own your own !! motivated sellers will consider any and all offers. Needs some work 3 bedroom 2 bath, nice yard and deck for outdoor enjoyment. Mountain View Park is a well kept park, close to all area amenities. Seller will assist with buyer's closing costs. Park approval required, application fee $50.00 (credit check) per applicant

  7. 2021-10-10
    price $80,000 358-char remark
    Show marketing remark (358 chars)

    Tired of high rent. .own your own !! motivated sellers will consider any and all offers. Needs some work 3 bedroom 2 bath, nice yard and deck for outdoor enjoyment. Mountain View Park is a well kept park, close to all area amenities. Seller will assist with buyer's closing costs. Park approval required, application fee $50.00 (credit check) per applicant

  8. 2021-09-02
    listed $89,900 Active 358-char remark
    Show marketing remark (358 chars)

    Tired of high rent. .own your own !! motivated sellers will consider any and all offers. Needs some work 3 bedroom 2 bath, nice yard and deck for outdoor enjoyment. Mountain View Park is a well kept park, close to all area amenities. Seller will assist with buyer's closing costs. Park approval required, application fee $50.00 (credit check) per applicant

  9. 2015-02-04
    soldstatus $44,000 203-char remark
    Show marketing remark (203 chars)

    Move in ready! Well maintained home in a great park. Large private back yard. Lots of up-dates including flooring, kitchen paint, both vanities and more. Coe Brown Academy! Come and see this lovely home!

  10. 2014-10-30
    listed $44,900 203-char remark
    Show marketing remark (203 chars)

    Move in ready! Well maintained home in a great park. Large private back yard. Lots of up-dates including flooring, kitchen paint, both vanities and more. Coe Brown Academy! Come and see this lovely home!

  11. 2009-10-30
    soldstatus $25,500
  12. 2009-06-30
    listed $34,900
  13. 2004-05-28
    soldstatus $57,533
  14. 2004-05-27
    soldstatus $59,000
  15. 2004-04-27
    historical
  16. 2004-02-24
    listed $64,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,090 · $91/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,798 · $150/mo
Expected delta
+$708/yr (+$59/mo · 65.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,511
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$1,090
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,681
− Management
−$2,681
− HOA
−$15,420
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$1,277
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$306
After-tax cash flow
$1,845/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Northwood School District
NCES district ID
3305430
Math proficiency
51% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▲ 12.00%
Median HH income
$73,090
Composite
51.32/100
National rank
#3718
State rank
#65 of 171 in NH

Livability — Northwood

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,653

Population outlook (Rockingham County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
316,118 people
By 2030
320,929 · +1.5%
By 2040
323,358 · +2.3%
By 2050
314,977 · -0.4%
By 2075
297,686 · -5.8%
By 2100
256,363 · -18.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 16% Romanian 6% Portuguese 4%
Foreign-born
2% · China
Languages at home
98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Rockingham

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.3% · R 50.8%
2008→2024 swing
-3.5pp toward R · 2008: 1.1pp · 2024: -2.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.4 2020: D+2.1 2016: R+5.8 2012: R+4.5 2008: D+1.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -71.35%
Current HPI
258.0711
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+77.2% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $115,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2026-03-12 Listed $120,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2021-12-02 Sold (MLS) $55,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2021-10-28 Contingent PrimeMLS
  • 2021-10-18 Price Changed $70,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2021-10-10 Price Changed $80,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2021-09-02 Listed $89,900 PrimeMLS
  • 2015-02-04 Sold (MLS) $44,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2014-10-30 Listed $44,900 PrimeMLS
  • 2009-10-30 Sold (MLS) $25,500 PrimeMLS
  • 2009-06-30 Listed $34,900 PrimeMLS
  • 2004-05-28 Sold (Public Records) $57,533 Public Records
  • 2004-05-27 Sold (MLS) $59,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2004-04-27 Delisted PrimeMLS
  • 2004-02-24 Listed $64,900 PrimeMLS

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,090 · +13.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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