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11731 Washburn St
B- Composite 69.4
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$98,000

11731 Washburn St · Detroit, MI 48204
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,142 sqft · Townhouse public records · 37 Days on market
Built 1928 3,485 sqft lot $46/sqft · 33% above area Est $74k · 33% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Ready for a new family or investor! This is a vacant property. Strictly "SOLD AS IS" this is a project property , no repairs or cleaning will be done. located on the Detroit city, West Side neighborhood. Conveniently located at a walking distance to Public Transportation : bus lines 3, 54, and 38! Bring your ideas, imagination, and contractor. Vision this investment property at it's best, with room to grow. For a quick re-sale, or a long term rental. This property is a must see. High rental demand area. Great cash flow focus on rentability. Buyer Agent To Verify All Dimensions Requirements.

Key facts

  • 3,485 sq ft lot
  • Built 1928
  • Listed 36 days

Tags

WEST SIDE NEIGHBORHOODHIGH RENTAL DEMAND AREACASH FLOW FOCUS ON RENTABILITY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Pets: contact listing agent

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Sewer and water available
  • Home design: Multi-family residential income property; Brick construction; Two stories
  • Construction: Brick exterior
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Residential zoning

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units (partially furnished)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom in each unit (total 2 full bathrooms)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating with natural gas; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement with sump pump; Two-level living

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $98k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $441 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $98k).
  • Recommended offer: $95k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 244 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,415/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 1418% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($678 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($95k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 10 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $29k; list at $98k implies a 238% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $95,060 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.44%
Cap rate
11.69%
Cash-on-cash
19.27%
DSCR
1.86
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$73,940
List price
$98,000
Delta
32.54%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
38.6%
Equity multiple
3.97×
Total profit
$81,464
Equity at exit
$88,286
10-year hold
IRR
33.3%
Equity multiple
8.94×
Total profit
$217,868
Equity at exit
$190,392

Cash invested: $27,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48204

Home prices YoY
18.5%
Active inventory
244
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,415 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$514
Tax est. 1.5%
$122 /mo · $1,470/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$297
Net cashflow
$441

Break-even live

Break-even rent $857
Max offer price $98,000
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,500
Closing costs
$2,940
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
12650 Griggs St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1628 $1,375 $0.84 24d 1 0.46mi
12303 Cloverlawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1454 $1,400 $0.96 44d 1 0.51mi
9209 Pinehurst St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1589 $1,500 $0.94 44d 1 0.90mi
13225 Santa Rosa Dr Detroit, MI 5.0 2.0 2100 $1,700 $0.81 5d 1 1.19mi
14242 Ohio St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1400 $1,000 $0.71 44d 1 1.23mi
12546 Broadstreet Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1899 $1,250 $0.66 44d 1 1.34mi
8320 Northlawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1737 $1,550 $0.89 20d 1 1.38mi
4341 Glendale St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.5 1832 $1,680 $0.92 5d 1 1.39mi
Ohio St Unit 4 Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1400 $750 $0.54 44d 1 1.42mi
12778 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1597 $1,150 $0.72 5d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 37 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $98,000 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $98,000 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $98,000 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $98,000 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $98,000 Active 31 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $98,000 Active 28 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $98,000 Active 27 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $98,000 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $98,000 Active 23 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $98,000 Active 22 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $98,000 Active 21 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $98,000 Active 20 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $98,000 Active 19 DOM
  14. 2026-05-12
    listed $98,000 Active 608-char remark
    Show marketing remark (607 chars)

    Ready for a new family or investor! This is a vacant property. Strictly "SOLD AS IS" this is a project property , no repairs or cleaning will be done. located on the Detroit city, West Side neighborhood. Conveniently located at a walking distance to Public Transportation : bus lines 3, 54, and 38! Bring your ideas, imagination, and contractor. Vision this investment property at it's best, with room to grow. For a quick re-sale, or a long term rental. This property is a must see. High rental demand area. Great cash flow focus on rentability. Buyer Agent To Verify All Dimensions Requirements.

  15. 2026-05-12
    listed $98,000 Active 607-char remark
    Show marketing remark (607 chars)

    Ready for a new family or investor! This is a vacant property. Strictly "SOLD AS IS" this is a project property , no repairs or cleaning will be done. located on the Detroit city, West Side neighborhood. Conveniently located at a walking distance to Public Transportation : bus lines 3, 54, and 38! Bring your ideas, imagination, and contractor. Vision this investment property at it's best, with room to grow. For a quick re-sale, or a long term rental. This property is a must see. High rental demand area. Great cash flow focus on rentability. Buyer Agent To Verify All Dimensions Requirements.

  16. 2026-04-16
    historical
  17. 2026-04-16
    historical
  18. 2026-01-26
    listed $119,900 Active
  19. 2026-01-26
    listed $119,900 Active
  20. 2026-01-09
    historical
  21. 2026-01-09
    historical
  22. 2025-10-15
    listed $125,000 Active
  23. 2025-10-15
    listed $125,000 Active
  24. 2022-07-13
    soldstatus $29,000 Sold
  25. 2022-07-13
    soldstatus $29,000 Closed
  26. 2022-07-06
    status Pending
  27. 2022-07-06
    status Pending
  28. 2022-06-03
    status Active
  29. 2022-06-03
    status Active
  30. 2022-04-27
    status Pending
  31. 2022-04-27
    status Pending
  32. 2022-04-23
    price $39,900
  33. 2022-04-22
    price $39,900
  34. 2022-03-11
    price $49,900
  35. 2022-03-11
    price $49,900
  36. 2022-02-07
    listed $59,900 Active
  37. 2022-02-07
    listed $59,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,982
− Mortgage interest
−$5,490
− Property taxes
−$1,470
− Insurance
−$490
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,359
− Management
−$1,359
− Depreciation
−$2,851
Taxable income
$3,964
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$951
After-tax cash flow
$4,337/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
20,696
Household income
$34,468
Rent vs Own
45.0% rent · 55.0% own
Severe rent burden
1418.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 86% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% White 4% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 36.51%
Current HPI
234.0465
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+63.6% since first listed
24 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $98,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $98,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-16 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-16 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-26 Listed $119,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-26 Listed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-09 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-09 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-15 Listed $125,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-15 Listed $125,000 REALCOMP
  • 2022-07-13 Sold (MLS) $29,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-07-13 Sold (MLS) $29,000 REALCOMP
  • 2022-07-06 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-07-06 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2022-06-03 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-06-03 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2022-04-27 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-04-27 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2022-04-23 Price Changed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-04-22 Price Changed $39,900 REALCOMP
  • 2022-03-11 Price Changed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-03-11 Price Changed $49,900 REALCOMP
  • 2022-02-07 Listed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-02-07 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+17.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,488 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…