5649 Oak Ridge Ave · New Port Richey, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.96%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$68,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great 55 Plus winter home! Classic Detrioter Mobile home for sale in New Port Richey Fl, fully furnished. 2 bedrooms, 1 bath. $100 HOA fee ( you will own the land with this house) Hoa covers water, trash, lawn care. Great winter Vacation home close to Downtown New Port Richey. Come enjoy the sunshine! 2 cats allowed. No dogs
Key facts
- Own land
- Tons of storage
- Golf cart friendly
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Homestead exempt; Zoned MF2; Total lot about 0.05 acres
- Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $150 (includes grounds maintenance, pest control, sewer, trash and water); Association approval required; Clubhouse on site; Senior community; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; 2-space carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Cable connected; Water and sewer available
- Home design: Mobile home (single wide); One story; Faces south; Entry on main level
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation; Approximately built area 480 square feet
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio; Located on a cul-de-sac; Asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Wall/window cooling unit(s)
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; 4 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry located inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $68k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $401 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
- Recommended offer: $60k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.5% vs local median 2.0% in New Port Richey — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#67 in FL, #1,139 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, commute D, employment F.
- Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 635 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $470 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.7% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 455 days — a 12% lower offer ($60k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 455 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.47%
- DSCR
- 2.31
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $49,920
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5639 Oak Ridge Ave | 0.01mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 480 (0%) | 10mo | $50,000 | $104 | 86 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.61×
- Total profit
- $11,549
- Equity at exit
- $10,139
- IRR
- 22.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.64×
- Total profit
- $31,304
- Equity at exit
- $5,879
Cash invested: $19,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34652
- Home prices YoY
- -26.1%
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 635
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,401 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$357
- Tax from tax record
- −$104 /mo · $1,253/yr
- Insurance
- −$28
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$150
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$294
- Net cashflow
- $401
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,000
- Closing costs
- $2,040
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5149 Tangelo Dr Apt B New Port Richey, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 350 | $1,195 | $3.41 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 6012 12th Ave New Port Richey, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 318 | $1,000 | $3.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $150 · $1,800/yr
- Likely covers
- watertrashlandscaping
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $68,000 Active 455 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $68,000 Active 454 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $68,000 Active 453 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $68,000 Active 452 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $68,000 Active 450 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $68,000 Active 446 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $68,000 Active 445 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $68,000 Active 444 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $68,000 Active 441 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $68,000 Active 440 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $68,000 Active 439 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $68,000 Active 438 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $68,000 Active 437 DOM
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2025-06-04price $68,000
-
2025-03-20$69,000 Active
-
2023-01-31soldstatus $65,000 Closed 326-char remark
Show marketing remark (326 chars)
Great 55 Plus winter home! Classic Detrioter Mobile home for sale in New Port Richey Fl, fully furnished. 2 bedrooms, 1 bath. $100 HOA fee ( you will own the land with this house) Hoa covers water, trash, lawn care. Great winter Vacation home close to Downtown New Port Richey. Come enjoy the sunshine! 2 cats allowed. No dogs
-
2023-01-20status Pending 326-char remark
Show marketing remark (326 chars)
Great 55 Plus winter home! Classic Detrioter Mobile home for sale in New Port Richey Fl, fully furnished. 2 bedrooms, 1 bath. $100 HOA fee ( you will own the land with this house) Hoa covers water, trash, lawn care. Great winter Vacation home close to Downtown New Port Richey. Come enjoy the sunshine! 2 cats allowed. No dogs
-
2022-10-25price $78,999 326-char remark
Show marketing remark (326 chars)
Great 55 Plus winter home! Classic Detrioter Mobile home for sale in New Port Richey Fl, fully furnished. 2 bedrooms, 1 bath. $100 HOA fee ( you will own the land with this house) Hoa covers water, trash, lawn care. Great winter Vacation home close to Downtown New Port Richey. Come enjoy the sunshine! 2 cats allowed. No dogs
-
2022-10-21price $69,999 326-char remark
Show marketing remark (326 chars)
Great 55 Plus winter home! Classic Detrioter Mobile home for sale in New Port Richey Fl, fully furnished. 2 bedrooms, 1 bath. $100 HOA fee ( you will own the land with this house) Hoa covers water, trash, lawn care. Great winter Vacation home close to Downtown New Port Richey. Come enjoy the sunshine! 2 cats allowed. No dogs
-
2022-08-30price $79,000 326-char remark
Show marketing remark (326 chars)
Great 55 Plus winter home! Classic Detrioter Mobile home for sale in New Port Richey Fl, fully furnished. 2 bedrooms, 1 bath. $100 HOA fee ( you will own the land with this house) Hoa covers water, trash, lawn care. Great winter Vacation home close to Downtown New Port Richey. Come enjoy the sunshine! 2 cats allowed. No dogs
-
2022-08-11status Active 326-char remark
Show marketing remark (326 chars)
Great 55 Plus winter home! Classic Detrioter Mobile home for sale in New Port Richey Fl, fully furnished. 2 bedrooms, 1 bath. $100 HOA fee ( you will own the land with this house) Hoa covers water, trash, lawn care. Great winter Vacation home close to Downtown New Port Richey. Come enjoy the sunshine! 2 cats allowed. No dogs
-
2022-08-11price $69,000 326-char remark
Show marketing remark (326 chars)
Great 55 Plus winter home! Classic Detrioter Mobile home for sale in New Port Richey Fl, fully furnished. 2 bedrooms, 1 bath. $100 HOA fee ( you will own the land with this house) Hoa covers water, trash, lawn care. Great winter Vacation home close to Downtown New Port Richey. Come enjoy the sunshine! 2 cats allowed. No dogs
-
2022-07-17status Pending 326-char remark
Show marketing remark (326 chars)
Great 55 Plus winter home! Classic Detrioter Mobile home for sale in New Port Richey Fl, fully furnished. 2 bedrooms, 1 bath. $100 HOA fee ( you will own the land with this house) Hoa covers water, trash, lawn care. Great winter Vacation home close to Downtown New Port Richey. Come enjoy the sunshine! 2 cats allowed. No dogs
-
2022-06-13$79,000 Active 326-char remark
Show marketing remark (326 chars)
Great 55 Plus winter home! Classic Detrioter Mobile home for sale in New Port Richey Fl, fully furnished. 2 bedrooms, 1 bath. $100 HOA fee ( you will own the land with this house) Hoa covers water, trash, lawn care. Great winter Vacation home close to Downtown New Port Richey. Come enjoy the sunshine! 2 cats allowed. No dogs
-
2018-06-01historical
-
2018-04-19price $44,900
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2017-12-04$54,900 Active
-
2004-12-22historical
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2004-06-20$35,900
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2004-04-15$22,500
-
2004-02-05$27,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,253 · $104/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,253 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 96% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,813
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,809
- − Property taxes
- −$1,253
- − Insurance
- −$1,138
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,345
- − Management
- −$1,345
- − HOA
- −$1,800
- − Depreciation
- −$1,978
- Taxable income
- $4,145
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$995
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,818/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco
- NCES district ID
- 1201530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,039
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3074
- State rank
- #32 of 73 in FL
Livability — New Port Richey
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #67
- US rank
- #1139
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Port Richey, FL
- County
- Pasco County · 524,098 people
- City population
- 137,708
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,444
- Household income
- $56,931
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1190.0
Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 570,045 people
- By 2030
- 605,844 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 674,806 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 736,022 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 862,900 · +51.4%
- By 2100
- 906,364 · +59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 9% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasco
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -109.49%
- Current HPI
- 310.8347
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.72%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+147.3% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2025-06-04 Price Changed $68,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-20 Listed $69,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-01-31 Sold (MLS) $65,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-01-20 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-25 Price Changed $78,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-21 Price Changed $69,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-30 Price Changed $79,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-11 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-11 Price Changed $69,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-07-17 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-06-13 Listed $79,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-06-01 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-04-19 Price Changed $44,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-12-04 Listed $54,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-12-22 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-06-20 Listed $35,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-04-15 Listed $22,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-02-05 Listed $27,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+8.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,253 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…