2414 Trenwith Ter · Atlantic City, NJ
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.57%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.1/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
THREE BED RM TOWNHOME TOTLLY RENOVATED, ALL HARDWOOD FLOOR, NEW WINDOWS, NEW BATHROOM, NEW KITCHEN , NEW ELECTRIC. WALKING DISTANCE TO BEACH AND CASINO. E-Z TO SHOW MUST SEE !
Key facts
- 3 parking spots
- Listed 43 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Exterior parking for three or more cars (see remarks); No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Gas water heater
- Home design: Brick exterior; Located in the Boardwalk Area; Zoned RSC
- Construction: Brick construction; Crawl space basement
- Exterior features: Porch; Patio; Curbs; Sidewalks; Paved road
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas stove; Microwave; Refrigerator; Self-cleaning oven
- Bedrooms: Total rooms include a dining room (8 total rooms)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Natural gas heating; Hot water heat
- Interior features: Carbon monoxide detector; Smoke/Fire alarm; Storage
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $141 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $175k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 3.7% in Atlantic City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#525 in NJ) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: health & safety A; Watch: commute D, schools F, crime F.
- Atlantic City School District (urban): math 9% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #454 of 472 in NJ (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 491 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 672 units permitted in Atlantic County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,251/mo this rent would consume 66% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) (locally 3414% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Atlantic County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $148k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.53%
- DSCR
- 1.60
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $122,508
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2403 Aliantro Ter | 0.02mi | 3/1.0 | 1,056 (+6%) | 20mo | $125,000 | $118 | 70 |
| 24 N Bellevue Ave | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 1,116 (+12%) | 3mo | $137,000 | $123 | 69 |
| 3014 Howard Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (+10%) | 12mo | $190,000 | $173 | 46 |
| 1812 Bishop Richard Allen Ave Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,064 (+7%) | 20mo | $99,000 | $93 | 40 |
| 2018 Magellan Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,120 (+12%) | 13mo | $242,000 | $216 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.52% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.72×
- Total profit
- $-14,014
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- 6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.51×
- Total profit
- $25,798
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08401
- Home prices YoY
- -7.0%
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 491
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,251 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$192 /mo · $2,298/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$473
- Net cashflow
- $141
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $243 | -5% $192 | +0% $141 | +5% $91 | +10% $40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-36 | -5% $53 | +0% $141 | +5% $230 | +10% $319 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $232 | -0.5pp $187 | base $141 | +0.5pp $95 | +1.0pp $47 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Italy Ter Atlantic City, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,300 | $2.30 | 22d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1724 Atlantic Ave Unit B2 Atlantic City, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,495 | $1.99 | 22d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1724 Atlantic Ave Unit A1 Atlantic City, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $2,300 | $2.42 | 22d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1710 Atlantic Ave Apt A Atlantic City, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $4,500 | $7.50 | 22d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 38 N Boston Ave Unit B Atlantic City, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $2,400 | $3.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2021 Grant Ave Atlantic City, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1011 | $2,350 | $2.32 | 22d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2015 Grant Ave Atlantic City, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $2,325 | $2.20 | 22d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3636 Winchester Ave Atlantic City, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1094 | $1,995 | $1.82 | 22d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 905 Keener Ave Atlantic City, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1059 | $1,900 | $1.79 | 22d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 108 Lincoln Pl Apt A4 Atlantic City, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $5,000 | $6.25 | 22d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3851 Boardwalk Atlantic City, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 785 | $27,500 | $35.03 | 22d | 5 | 0.92mi |
| 21 S Windsor Ave Unit b1 Atlantic City, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $1,650 | $2.58 | 14d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 31 N Virginia Ave Atlantic City, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $2,230 | $3.08 | 14d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 101 S Raleigh Ave Atlantic City, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 735 | $18,750 | $25.51 | 14d | 7 | 1.17mi |
| 1510 N Arkansas Ave Atlantic City, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $2,750 | $2.73 | 14d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1523 N Arkansas Ave Atlantic City, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 984 | $2,500 | $2.54 | 22d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 848 Pacific Ave Unit 1014254P Atlantic City, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1243 | $2,413 | $1.94 | 14d | 2 | 1.26mi |
| 1914 N Missouri Ave Atlantic City, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,795 | $2.39 | 22d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $179,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $179,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $179,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $179,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $189,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $189,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $189,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $189,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $189,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $189,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-08$189,900 Active 1286-char remark
-
2005-02-01soldstatus $148,000
-
2005-01-27soldstatus $148,000 175-char remark
Show marketing remark (175 chars)
THREE BED RM TOWNHOME TOTLLY RENOVATED, ALL HARDWOOD FLOOR, NEW WINDOWS, NEW BATHROOM, NEW KITCHEN , NEW ELECTRIC. WALKING DISTANCE TO BEACH AND CASINO. E-Z TO SHOW MUST SEE !
-
2004-12-18historical 175-char remark
Show marketing remark (175 chars)
THREE BED RM TOWNHOME TOTLLY RENOVATED, ALL HARDWOOD FLOOR, NEW WINDOWS, NEW BATHROOM, NEW KITCHEN , NEW ELECTRIC. WALKING DISTANCE TO BEACH AND CASINO. E-Z TO SHOW MUST SEE !
-
2004-11-21$159,500 175-char remark
Show marketing remark (175 chars)
THREE BED RM TOWNHOME TOTLLY RENOVATED, ALL HARDWOOD FLOOR, NEW WINDOWS, NEW BATHROOM, NEW KITCHEN , NEW ELECTRIC. WALKING DISTANCE TO BEACH AND CASINO. E-Z TO SHOW MUST SEE !
-
2003-11-07soldstatus $43,000
Show marketing remark (101 chars)
Location is prime! Perfect property for end user or invester. As Is. Buyer responsible for all certs.
-
2003-10-14historical
Show marketing remark (101 chars)
Location is prime! Perfect property for end user or invester. As Is. Buyer responsible for all certs.
-
2003-05-30$75,000
Show marketing remark (101 chars)
Location is prime! Perfect property for end user or invester. As Is. Buyer responsible for all certs.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,298 · $192/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,389 · $282/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,091/yr (+$91/mo · 47.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 57% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,007
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$2,298
- − Insurance
- −$6,018
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,161
- − Management
- −$2,161
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable loss
- −$941
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$226
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,924/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Atlantic City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3400960
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,842
- Composite
- 13.66/100
- National rank
- #9504
- State rank
- #454 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Atlantic City
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #525
- US rank
- #23095
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Atlantic City, NJ
- County
- Atlantic County · 143,611 people
- City population
- 38,925
- Metro
- Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,925
- Household income
- $41,126
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3414.0
Population outlook (Atlantic County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 268,948 people
- By 2030
- 264,497 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 252,261 · -6.2%
- By 2050
- 237,846 · -11.6%
- By 2075
- 210,650 · -21.7%
- By 2100
- 180,234 · -33.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 32% Black 32% Asian 16% White 16% Two or more races 11% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 29% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 52% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 8% Vietnamese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Atlantic
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 50.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.1pp toward R · 2008: 15.1pp · 2024: -3.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.0 2020: D+6.7 2016: D+6.2 2012: D+17.2 2008: D+15.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -26.82%
- Current HPI
- 353.7827
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.52%
- Metro
- Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
|
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Price history
+139.9% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Price Changed $179,900 SJSRMLS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $189,900 SJSRMLS
- 2005-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $148,000 Public Records
- 2005-01-27 Sold (MLS) $148,000 SJSRMLS
- 2004-12-18 Listing Removed — SJSRMLS
- 2004-11-21 Listed $159,500 SJSRMLS
- 2003-11-07 Sold (MLS) $43,000 SJSRMLS
- 2003-10-14 Listing Removed — SJSRMLS
- 2003-05-30 Listed $75,000 SJSRMLS
Property tax history
-0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,298 · -2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…