1856 W 28th St · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.5/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Affordable 3 bedroom 1 bath concrete block home in Royal Terrace. Come and see this lovely corner lot home that is located close to shopping and interstate access. This home features a detached garage, porch and fenced yard. Affordability has never been so good and its a great time to buy. Take a look today!
Key facts
- Value-add potential
- Fenced lot
- Detached garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Has garage; Other parking features
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity available; Sewer available; Water available
- Home design: Single Family Residence; Entry level: 1
- Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Workshop on the property; Lot approximately 0.11 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: No kitchen appliances listed
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: No heating specified; No cooling specified
- Interior features: No built-in appliances listed
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer not specified
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $349 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 3.9% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Grasp Academy (math 18% / reading 14%, grade F, #2,130 of 2,144 statewide, top 99%, 271 students, 52% FRL); Joseph Stilwell Middle School (math 31% / reading 33%, grade F, #448 of 571 statewide, top 79%, 612 students, 68% FRL); William M. Raines High School (math 14% / reading 13%, grade F, #616 of 667 statewide, top 92%, 1,217 students, 78% FRL) — zoned schools average 66% FRL vs 49% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 20% at this address vs 46% district-wide (-25 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Duval average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 399 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $23k; list at $80k implies a 243% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.73%
- DSCR
- 1.83
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $68,160
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1901 Pullman Ct | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 969 (+1%) | 1mo | $98,000 | $101 | 71 |
| 1323 W 30th St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 962 (+0%) | 1mo | $115,000 | $120 | 67 |
| 2117 W 41st St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (0%) | 3mo | $19,000 | $20 | 65 |
| 2058 W 40th St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,010 (+5%) | 1mo | $71,000 | $70 | 63 |
| 1751 W 20th St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 880 (-8%) | 2mo | $27,500 | $31 | 62 |
| 1596 W 30th St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,052 (+10%) | 4mo | $180,017 | $171 | 62 |
| 2050 W 40th St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,010 (+5%) | 3mo | $79,500 | $79 | 62 |
| 2009 W 17th St | 0.53mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,037 (+8%) | 0mo | $60,000 | $58 | 57 |
| 5352 Dodge Rd | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,050 (+9%) | 3mo | $75,000 | $71 | 47 |
| 1731 W 12th St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,026 (+7%) | 4mo | $40,000 | $39 | 46 |
| 3424 Gladys St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,091 (+14%) | 3mo | $98,000 | $90 | 41 |
| 1753 W 12th St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 827 (-14%) | 4mo | $45,000 | $54 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.35×
- Total profit
- $7,941
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 17.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.35×
- Total profit
- $30,150
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32209
- Home prices YoY
- -22.1%
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 399
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,162 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$117 /mo · $1,403/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$244
- Net cashflow
- $349
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $394 | -5% $372 | +0% $349 | +5% $327 | +10% $304 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $257 | -5% $303 | +0% $349 | +5% $395 | +10% $441 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $389 | -0.5pp $369 | base $349 | +0.5pp $328 | +1.0pp $307 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1830 W 27th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 952 | $1,375 | $1.44 | 25d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 1842 W 26th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 933 | $1,200 | $1.29 | 25d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 1863 W 29th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 956 | $1,190 | $1.24 | 22d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 1737 W 28th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1105 | $700 | $0.63 | 25d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1839 W 30th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 828 | $1,050 | $1.27 | 25d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1636 W 28th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $1,375 | $1.51 | 25d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1968 W 23rd St Unit Main Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1106 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 22d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1625 W 26th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $800 | $1.07 | 3d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1625 W 26th St Unit 2 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $800 | $1.07 | 25d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1625 W 26th St Unit 4 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $900 | $1.20 | 25d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1971 W 22nd St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1094 | $1,095 | $1.00 | 9d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1645 W 23rd St Unit 2 Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,275 | $1.40 | 25d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1599 W 30th St Unit B Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,150 | $1.47 | 15d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1584 W 31st St Unit 3 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $900 | $1.08 | 25d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1556 W 28th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 682 | $875 | $1.28 | 12d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1653 W 35th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $825 | $1.03 | 25d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1593 W 21st St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 805 | $922 | $1.15 | 25d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1901 Pullman Ct Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 969 | $1,295 | $1.34 | 9d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1551 W 33rd St #2 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 842 | $795 | $0.94 | 21d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1526 W 22nd St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 624 | $900 | $1.44 | 17d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1437 W 26th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 644 | $650 | $1.01 | 25d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2604 McMillan St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,100 | $1.21 | 22d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 4114 Moncrief Rd Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 821 | $975 | $1.19 | 9d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 4114 Moncrief Rd Unit 2 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 821 | $1,050 | $1.28 | 25d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2052 W 17th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 652 | $975 | $1.50 | 3d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 2050 W 40th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1010 | $1,350 | $1.34 | 17d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1417 W 31st St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,100 | $1.25 | 3d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1824 W 14th St Unit 3 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 674 | $775 | $1.15 | 25d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1363 W 24th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 660 | $995 | $1.51 | 5d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 5350 Dodge Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2040 W 15th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1036 | $1,050 | $1.01 | 25d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2312 Fairfax St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $650 | $0.90 | 18d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1845 W 13th St Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $850 | $1.06 | 25d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2310 Fairfax St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $600 | $0.83 | 25d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2306 Fairfax St Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $700 | $0.78 | 25d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2306 Fairfax St Unit 3 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $650 | $0.93 | 25d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 4813 Moncrief Rd Jacksonville, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 755 | $920 | $1.22 | 4d | 8 | 0.67mi |
| 5352 Dodge Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,261 | $1.20 | 25d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1823 W 44th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1066 | $1,500 | $1.41 | 25d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1803 W 44th St Unit 1803 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 9d | 1 | 0.69mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $79,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $79,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $80,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $80,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $80,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $80,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $80,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $80,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $80,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $80,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $80,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $80,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-04-15$80,000 Active
-
2017-03-17soldstatus $23,300 Sold 309-char remark
Show marketing remark (309 chars)
Affordable 3 bedroom 1 bath concrete block home in Royal Terrace. Come and see this lovely corner lot home that is located close to shopping and interstate access. This home features a detached garage, porch and fenced yard. Affordability has never been so good and its a great time to buy. Take a look today!
-
2017-02-28status Pending 309-char remark
Show marketing remark (309 chars)
Affordable 3 bedroom 1 bath concrete block home in Royal Terrace. Come and see this lovely corner lot home that is located close to shopping and interstate access. This home features a detached garage, porch and fenced yard. Affordability has never been so good and its a great time to buy. Take a look today!
-
2017-02-20$19,000 Active 309-char remark
Show marketing remark (309 chars)
Affordable 3 bedroom 1 bath concrete block home in Royal Terrace. Come and see this lovely corner lot home that is located close to shopping and interstate access. This home features a detached garage, porch and fenced yard. Affordability has never been so good and its a great time to buy. Take a look today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,403 · $117/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,403 · $117/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,950
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$1,403
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,116
- − Management
- −$1,116
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $3,115
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$748
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,442/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,657
- Household income
- $30,514
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2921.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 88% White 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -53.92%
- Current HPI
- 189.5977
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+321.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Listed $80,000 realMLS
- 2017-03-17 Sold (MLS) $23,300 realMLS
- 2017-02-28 Pending — realMLS
- 2017-02-20 Listed $19,000 realMLS
Property tax history
+18.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,403 · +22.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…