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1856 W 28th St
C+ Composite 63.05
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.5/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,900

1856 W 28th St · Jacksonville, FL 32209
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 960 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 67 Days on market
Built 1960 4,791 sqft lot Est $68k · 17% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Affordable 3 bedroom 1 bath concrete block home in Royal Terrace. Come and see this lovely corner lot home that is located close to shopping and interstate access. This home features a detached garage, porch and fenced yard. Affordability has never been so good and its a great time to buy. Take a look today!

Key facts

  • Value-add potential
  • Fenced lot
  • Detached garage

Tags

FENCED LOTDETACHED GARAGEVALUE-ADD POTENTIAL

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Not a senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Has garage; Other parking features
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity available; Sewer available; Water available
  • Home design: Single Family Residence; Entry level: 1
  • Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Workshop on the property; Lot approximately 0.11 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: No kitchen appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: No heating specified; No cooling specified
  • Interior features: No built-in appliances listed
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer not specified

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $349 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $75k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 3.9% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Grasp Academy (math 18% / reading 14%, grade F, #2,130 of 2,144 statewide, top 99%, 271 students, 52% FRL); Joseph Stilwell Middle School (math 31% / reading 33%, grade F, #448 of 571 statewide, top 79%, 612 students, 68% FRL); William M. Raines High School (math 14% / reading 13%, grade F, #616 of 667 statewide, top 92%, 1,217 students, 78% FRL) — zoned schools average 66% FRL vs 49% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 20% at this address vs 46% district-wide (-25 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Duval average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 399 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $23k; list at $80k implies a 243% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $75,106 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.45%
Cap rate
11.54%
Cash-on-cash
18.73%
DSCR
1.83
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$68,160
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1901 Pullman Ct 0.46mi 2/1.0 (-1) 969 (+1%) 1mo $98,000 $101 71
1323 W 30th St 0.68mi 3/1.0 962 (+0%) 1mo $115,000 $120 67
2117 W 41st St 0.69mi 3/1.0 960 (0%) 3mo $19,000 $20 65
2058 W 40th St 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,010 (+5%) 1mo $71,000 $70 63
1751 W 20th St 0.37mi 2/1.0 (-1) 880 (-8%) 2mo $27,500 $31 62
1596 W 30th St 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,052 (+10%) 4mo $180,017 $171 62
2050 W 40th St 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,010 (+5%) 3mo $79,500 $79 62
2009 W 17th St 0.53mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,037 (+8%) 0mo $60,000 $58 57
5352 Dodge Rd 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,050 (+9%) 3mo $75,000 $71 47
1731 W 12th St 0.74mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,026 (+7%) 4mo $40,000 $39 46
3424 Gladys St 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,091 (+14%) 3mo $98,000 $90 41
1753 W 12th St 0.73mi 3/1.0 827 (-14%) 4mo $45,000 $54 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.81% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.2%
Equity multiple
1.35×
Total profit
$7,941
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
17.3%
Equity multiple
2.35×
Total profit
$30,150
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32209

Home prices YoY
-22.1%
Rents YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
399
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,162 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$117 /mo · $1,403/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$244
Net cashflow
$349

Break-even live

Break-even rent $721
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $394 -5% $372 +0% $349 +5% $327 +10% $304
Rent -10% $257 -5% $303 +0% $349 +5% $395 +10% $441
Rate -1.0pp $389 -0.5pp $369 base $349 +0.5pp $328 +1.0pp $307

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1830 W 27th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 952 $1,375 $1.44 25d 1 0.05mi
1842 W 26th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 933 $1,200 $1.29 25d 1 0.08mi
1863 W 29th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 956 $1,190 $1.24 22d 1 0.09mi
1737 W 28th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1105 $700 $0.63 25d 1 0.14mi
1839 W 30th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 828 $1,050 $1.27 25d 1 0.14mi
1636 W 28th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 912 $1,375 $1.51 25d 1 0.24mi
1968 W 23rd St Unit Main Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1106 $1,400 $1.27 22d 1 0.25mi
1625 W 26th St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $800 $1.07 3d 1 0.27mi
1625 W 26th St Unit 2 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $800 $1.07 25d 1 0.27mi
1625 W 26th St Unit 4 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $900 $1.20 25d 1 0.27mi
1971 W 22nd St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1094 $1,095 $1.00 9d 1 0.27mi
1645 W 23rd St Unit 2 Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 912 $1,275 $1.40 25d 1 0.30mi
1599 W 30th St Unit B Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 780 $1,150 $1.47 15d 1 0.33mi
1584 W 31st St Unit 3 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 832 $900 $1.08 25d 1 0.36mi
1556 W 28th St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 682 $875 $1.28 12d 1 0.37mi
1653 W 35th St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 800 $825 $1.03 25d 1 0.43mi
1593 W 21st St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 805 $922 $1.15 25d 1 0.44mi
1901 Pullman Ct Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 969 $1,295 $1.34 9d 1 0.45mi
1551 W 33rd St #2 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 842 $795 $0.94 21d 1 0.47mi
1526 W 22nd St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 624 $900 $1.44 17d 1 0.49mi
1437 W 26th St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 644 $650 $1.01 25d 1 0.56mi
2604 McMillan St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 912 $1,100 $1.21 22d 1 0.56mi
4114 Moncrief Rd Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 821 $975 $1.19 9d 1 0.57mi
4114 Moncrief Rd Unit 2 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 821 $1,050 $1.28 25d 1 0.57mi
2052 W 17th St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 652 $975 $1.50 3d 1 0.59mi
2050 W 40th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1010 $1,350 $1.34 17d 1 0.59mi
1417 W 31st St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 880 $1,100 $1.25 3d 1 0.62mi
1824 W 14th St Unit 3 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 674 $775 $1.15 25d 1 0.63mi
1363 W 24th St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 660 $995 $1.51 5d 1 0.64mi
5350 Dodge Rd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 25d 1 0.65mi
2040 W 15th St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 1036 $1,050 $1.01 25d 1 0.65mi
2312 Fairfax St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 726 $650 $0.90 18d 1 0.65mi
1845 W 13th St Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 800 $850 $1.06 25d 1 0.65mi
2310 Fairfax St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 726 $600 $0.83 25d 1 0.65mi
2306 Fairfax St Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 900 $700 $0.78 25d 1 0.66mi
2306 Fairfax St Unit 3 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 700 $650 $0.93 25d 1 0.66mi
4813 Moncrief Rd Jacksonville, FL 2.0–3.0 1.0 755 $920 $1.22 4d 8 0.67mi
5352 Dodge Rd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,261 $1.20 25d 1 0.67mi
1823 W 44th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1066 $1,500 $1.41 25d 1 0.69mi
1803 W 44th St Unit 1803 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $950 $1.27 9d 1 0.69mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $79,900 Active 67 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,900 Active 64 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    price $79,900 Active 63 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $80,000 Active 63 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $80,000 Active 62 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $80,000 Active 61 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $80,000 Active 58 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $80,000 Active 55 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $80,000 Active 54 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $80,000 Active 53 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $80,000 Active 50 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $80,000 Active 49 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $80,000 Active 48 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $80,000 Active 47 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 46 DOM
  16. 2026-04-15
    listed $80,000 Active
  17. 2017-03-17
    soldstatus $23,300 Sold 309-char remark
    Show marketing remark (309 chars)

    Affordable 3 bedroom 1 bath concrete block home in Royal Terrace. Come and see this lovely corner lot home that is located close to shopping and interstate access. This home features a detached garage, porch and fenced yard. Affordability has never been so good and its a great time to buy. Take a look today!

  18. 2017-02-28
    status Pending 309-char remark
    Show marketing remark (309 chars)

    Affordable 3 bedroom 1 bath concrete block home in Royal Terrace. Come and see this lovely corner lot home that is located close to shopping and interstate access. This home features a detached garage, porch and fenced yard. Affordability has never been so good and its a great time to buy. Take a look today!

  19. 2017-02-20
    listed $19,000 Active 309-char remark
    Show marketing remark (309 chars)

    Affordable 3 bedroom 1 bath concrete block home in Royal Terrace. Come and see this lovely corner lot home that is located close to shopping and interstate access. This home features a detached garage, porch and fenced yard. Affordability has never been so good and its a great time to buy. Take a look today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,403 · $117/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,403 · $117/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,950
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$1,403
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,116
− Management
−$1,116
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$3,115
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$748
After-tax cash flow
$3,442/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duval
NCES district ID
1200480
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$48,987
Composite
38.97/100
National rank
#4076
State rank
#48 of 73 in FL

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
83/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksonville, FL
County
Duval County · 1,015,274 people
City population
979,034
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
34,657
Household income
$30,514
Rent vs Own
53.0% rent · 47.0% own
Severe rent burden
2921.0

Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,013,010 people
By 2030
1,059,228 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,141,439 · +12.7%
By 2050
1,205,258 · +19.0%
By 2075
1,324,282 · +30.7%
By 2100
1,319,620 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 88% White 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Duval

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -53.92%
Current HPI
189.5977
Rent YoY
▲ 1.81%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+321.1% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $80,000 realMLS
  • 2017-03-17 Sold (MLS) $23,300 realMLS
  • 2017-02-28 Pending realMLS
  • 2017-02-20 Listed $19,000 realMLS

Property tax history

+18.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,403 · +22.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…