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705 N 33rd St
C Composite 58.23
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$144,900

705 N 33rd St · Waco, TX 76707
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,330 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 71 Days on market
Built 1940 7,492 sqft lot Est $201k · 28% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This house is completed with new windows, all flooring has been installed, completely painted the outside and all the finishing touches inside are done. If buyers want HVAC, the sellers will have one installed by closing with $7000 added to the sales price. Great location with easy access to HWY 84. The seller can't close on this one until May 21, 2024. He can do a Temporary Residential lease until closing.

Key facts

  • Newer windows
  • Updated flooring
  • Large separate room

Tags

HUACO HEIGHTS NEIGHBORHOODNEWER WINDOWSUPDATED FLOORINGOPEN KITCHENLARGE SEPARATE ROOMDEDICATED LAUNDRY AREA

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Listing accepts Cash and Conventional financing
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Not in a municipal utility district
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property
  • Construction: Built in 1940
  • Exterior features: Lot under 0.5 acre (approximately 0.172 acres); Subdivision: Huaco Heights

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Wall furnace heating; Wall/window cooling units; Other heating and cooling
  • Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); One living area; One dining area; Total of 4 rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $188 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.9% in Waco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#166 in TX, #4,378 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, commute F, employment D-.
  • Waco ISD (urban): math 20% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #773 of 826 in TX (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Crestview El (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #3,836 of 4,322 statewide, top 91%, 451 students, 94% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 144 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,014 units permitted in McLennan County in 2024 (200 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,538/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 704% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • McLennan County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 60% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $136,206 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
7.85%
Cash-on-cash
5.57%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$200,830
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
705 N 33rd St 0.00mi 3/1.5 1,330 (0%) 1mo $144,900 $109 97
3732 Grim Ave 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,328 (-0%) 1mo $199,900 $151 77
2912 E Edmond Ave 0.37mi 3/1.0 1,262 (-5%) 0mo $175,000 $139 74
3613 Erath St 0.35mi 3/1.0 1,240 (-7%) 4mo $75,000 $60 69
3220 Edmond Ave 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,376 (+4%) 1mo $225,000 $164 68
2920 Ethel Ave 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,330 (0%) 2mo $169,900 $128 64
200 N 30th St 0.41mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,261 (-5%) 3mo $315,000 $250 59
3104 Homan 0.63mi 3/1.5 1,410 (+6%) 4mo $75,000 $53 56
4101 Austin Ave 0.69mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,256 (-6%) 1mo $198,000 $158 53
4229 Fort Ave 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,420 (+7%) 3mo $289,900 $204 50
3801 Erath Ave 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,521 (+14%) 2mo $292,000 $192 48
4205 Gorman Ave 0.59mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,498 (+13%) 2mo $199,500 $133 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.14% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.8%
Equity multiple
0.65×
Total profit
$-14,274
Equity at exit
$21,605
10-year hold
IRR
-3.2%
Equity multiple
0.80×
Total profit
$-7,999
Equity at exit
$12,528

Cash invested: $40,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76707

Rents YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
144
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,538 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$206 /mo · $2,473/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$323
Net cashflow
$188

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,299
Max offer price $144,900
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $270 -5% $229 +0% $188 +5% $147 +10% $106
Rent -10% $67 -5% $128 +0% $188 +5% $249 +10% $310
Rate -1.0pp $261 -0.5pp $225 base $188 +0.5pp $151 +1.0pp $113

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,225
Closing costs
$4,347
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3621 Gorman Ave Waco, TX 3.0 1.5 1086 $1,950 $1.80 14d 1 0.26mi
3400 W Brookview Dr Waco, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0 865 $1,209 $1.40 14d 5 0.35mi
2714 Morrow Ave Waco, TX 2.0 1.0 1484 $1,375 $0.93 21d 1 0.41mi
3121 Colonial Ave Waco, TX 3.0 2.0 1085 $1,600 $1.47 44d 1 0.52mi
3121 Colonial Ave Waco, TX 3.0 2.0 1085 $1,600 $1.47 21d 1 0.52mi
2601 Fort Ave Unit 4 Waco, TX 2.0 1.0 1000 $990 $0.99 44d 1 0.52mi
3116 Bosque Blvd Waco, TX 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 14d 1 0.54mi
2900 Austin Ave Waco, TX 2.0 2.0 1176 $1,195 $1.02 44d 1 0.56mi
2632 Colonial Ave Unit B Waco, TX 2.0 1.0 896 $1,050 $1.17 21d 1 0.60mi
2724 Bosque Blvd Waco, TX 2.0 1.0 1120 $1,100 $0.98 21d 1 0.63mi
1309 Sunset St Waco, TX 2.0 1.0 1102 $1,295 $1.18 21d 1 0.65mi
2705 Bosque Blvd Waco, TX 3.0 2.0 1028 $1,599 $1.56 44d 1 0.68mi
3701 Parkwood St Unit 3703 Waco, TX 2.0 1.0 950 $1,075 $1.13 14d 1 0.69mi
3125 Ethel Ave Waco, TX 3.0 2.0 1760 $1,900 $1.08 21d 1 0.73mi
608 N 23rd St Waco, TX 3.0 1.0 1361 $1,695 $1.25 21d 1 0.75mi
615 N 23rd St Waco, TX 2.0 1.0 900 $1,275 $1.42 21d 1 0.78mi
1300 N 43rd St Waco, TX 2.0 1.0 1109 $860 $0.78 21d 1 0.78mi
415 N 23rd St Waco, TX 3.0 2.0 1680 $2,000 $1.19 21d 1 0.80mi
4019 Huaco Ln Waco, TX 2.0 1.0 875 $1,095 $1.25 21d 1 0.81mi
2300 Washington Ave Waco, TX 3.0 1.0 1232 $1,650 $1.34 14d 1 0.85mi
1113 N New Rd Waco, TX 3.0 2.0 1326 $1,620 $1.22 21d 1 0.85mi
2116 Morrow Ave Waco, TX 4.0 2.0 1703 $1,650 $0.97 21d 1 0.86mi
3007 Parrott Ave Unit 1 Waco, TX 3.0 2.0 1458 $1,650 $1.13 21d 1 0.91mi
1400 N 23rd St Waco, TX 4.0 2.0 1650 $1,575 $0.95 14d 1 1.00mi
700 S Valley Mills Dr Waco, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 850 $995 $1.17 14d 2 1.01mi
2511 Parrott Ave Waco, TX 3.0 2.0 1463 $1,695 $1.16 44d 1 1.03mi
4320 Guthrie Cir Waco, TX 3.0 1.0 1069 $1,700 $1.59 21d 1 1.05mi
2001 Bosque Blvd Waco, TX 3.0 1.0 1628 $1,100 $0.68 44d 1 1.08mi
1923 Austin Ave Unit 5202 Waco, TX 2.0 2.5 1265 $1,395 $1.10 21d 1 1.09mi
1000 N 19th St Waco, TX 3.0 1.5 1800 $2,050 $1.14 21d 1 1.10mi
1901 N 28th St Waco, TX 3.0 2.0 1794 $1,950 $1.09 21d 1 1.12mi
3821 Lasker Ave Waco, TX 3.0 2.0 1209 $1,850 $1.53 21d 1 1.16mi
3812 Hiland Dr Waco, TX 3.0 1.0 1124 $995 $0.89 14d 1 1.17mi
4000 Acree St Waco, TX 3.0 1.5 984 $1,295 $1.32 21d 1 1.18mi
3625 Maple Ave Waco, TX 2.0 1.0 950 $1,275 $1.34 44d 1 1.25mi
2601 Flint Ave Waco, TX 3.0 2.0 1356 $1,720 $1.27 44d 1 1.29mi
2100 N 33rd St Waco, TX 3.0 3.0 1858 $2,200 $1.18 44d 1 1.30mi
3532 Windsor Ave Waco, TX 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,475 $1.34 14d 1 1.31mi
2714 Windsor Ave Waco, TX 2.0 1.0 979 $1,300 $1.33 44d 1 1.31mi
1821 Algonquin St Waco, TX 2.0 1.0 930 $1,150 $1.24 44d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-04-29
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-20
    historical Active Option Contract
  3. 2026-04-13
    status Active
  4. 2026-04-02
    historical Active Option Contract
  5. 2026-03-23
    price $144,900
  6. 2026-03-02
    price $159,900
  7. 2026-02-17
    listed $169,900 Active
  8. 2025-06-17
    historical
  9. 2025-05-01
    listed $184,000 Active
  10. 2024-05-23
    soldstatus 411-char remark
    Show marketing remark (411 chars)

    This house is completed with new windows, all flooring has been installed, completely painted the outside and all the finishing touches inside are done. If buyers want HVAC, the sellers will have one installed by closing with $7000 added to the sales price. Great location with easy access to HWY 84. The seller can't close on this one until May 21, 2024. He can do a Temporary Residential lease until closing.

  11. 2023-11-05
    listed $163,000 411-char remark
    Show marketing remark (411 chars)

    This house is completed with new windows, all flooring has been installed, completely painted the outside and all the finishing touches inside are done. If buyers want HVAC, the sellers will have one installed by closing with $7000 added to the sales price. Great location with easy access to HWY 84. The seller can't close on this one until May 21, 2024. He can do a Temporary Residential lease until closing.

  12. 2023-09-29
    soldstatus
  13. 2023-09-08
    soldstatus
  14. 2022-10-09
    listed $130,000
  15. 2016-03-04
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,473 · $206/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,652 · $221/mo
Expected delta
+$178/yr (+$15/mo · 7.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 60% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,450
− Mortgage interest
−$8,117
− Property taxes
−$2,473
− Insurance
−$724
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,476
− Management
−$1,476
− Depreciation
−$4,215
Taxable loss
−$31
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$8
After-tax cash flow
$2,267/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Waco ISD
NCES district ID
4844280
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$29,208
Composite
17.57/100
National rank
#9043
State rank
#773 of 826 in TX

Livability — Waco

Score
74/100
State rank
#166
US rank
#4378

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Waco, TX
County
McLennan County · 213,088 people
City population
125,319
Metro
Waco, TX
Population (ZIP)
15,879
Household income
$40,443
Rent vs Own
41.1% rent · 58.9% own
Severe rent burden
704.0

Population outlook (McLennan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
264,191 people
By 2030
273,578 · +3.6%
By 2040
291,506 · +10.3%
By 2050
308,044 · +16.6%
By 2075
349,648 · +32.3%
By 2100
364,779 · +38.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 47% Black 32% Two or more races 26% White 18%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 43%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada
Languages at home
65% English-only · Spanish 34% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · McLennan

2024 margin
Solid R (+30.9) · D 34.0% · R 64.9% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-7.0pp toward R · 2008: -23.9pp · 2024: -30.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+30.9 2020: R+23.4 2016: R+27.1 2012: R+29.8 2008: R+23.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -134.95%
Current HPI
239.639
Rent YoY
▲ 1.14%
Metro
Waco, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+11.5% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-04-20 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2026-04-13 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2026-04-02 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2026-03-23 Price Changed $144,900 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-02 Price Changed $159,900 NTREIS
  • 2026-02-17 Listed $169,900 NTREIS
  • 2025-06-17 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2025-05-01 Listed $184,000 NTREIS
  • 2024-05-23 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2023-11-05 Listed $163,000 NTREIS
  • 2023-09-29 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2023-09-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-10-09 Listed $130,000 NTREIS
  • 2016-03-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,473 · -48.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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