705 N 33rd St · Waco, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 60.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$144,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This house is completed with new windows, all flooring has been installed, completely painted the outside and all the finishing touches inside are done. If buyers want HVAC, the sellers will have one installed by closing with $7000 added to the sales price. Great location with easy access to HWY 84. The seller can't close on this one until May 21, 2024. He can do a Temporary Residential lease until closing.
Key facts
- Newer windows
- Updated flooring
- Large separate room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Listing accepts Cash and Conventional financing
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Not in a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property
- Construction: Built in 1940
- Exterior features: Lot under 0.5 acre (approximately 0.172 acres); Subdivision: Huaco Heights
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Wall furnace heating; Wall/window cooling units; Other heating and cooling
- Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); One living area; One dining area; Total of 4 rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $188 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.9% in Waco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#166 in TX, #4,378 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, commute F, employment D-.
- Waco ISD (urban): math 20% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #773 of 826 in TX (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Crestview El (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #3,836 of 4,322 statewide, top 91%, 451 students, 94% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 144 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,014 units permitted in McLennan County in 2024 (200 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,538/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 704% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- McLennan County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 60% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.57%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $200,830
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 705 N 33rd St | 0.00mi | 3/1.5 | 1,330 (0%) | 1mo | $144,900 | $109 | 97 |
| 3732 Grim Ave | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,328 (-0%) | 1mo | $199,900 | $151 | 77 |
| 2912 E Edmond Ave | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,262 (-5%) | 0mo | $175,000 | $139 | 74 |
| 3613 Erath St | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,240 (-7%) | 4mo | $75,000 | $60 | 69 |
| 3220 Edmond Ave | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,376 (+4%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $164 | 68 |
| 2920 Ethel Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,330 (0%) | 2mo | $169,900 | $128 | 64 |
| 200 N 30th St | 0.41mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,261 (-5%) | 3mo | $315,000 | $250 | 59 |
| 3104 Homan | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 | 1,410 (+6%) | 4mo | $75,000 | $53 | 56 |
| 4101 Austin Ave | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,256 (-6%) | 1mo | $198,000 | $158 | 53 |
| 4229 Fort Ave | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,420 (+7%) | 3mo | $289,900 | $204 | 50 |
| 3801 Erath Ave | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,521 (+14%) | 2mo | $292,000 | $192 | 48 |
| 4205 Gorman Ave | 0.59mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,498 (+13%) | 2mo | $199,500 | $133 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.14% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-14,274
- Equity at exit
- $21,605
- IRR
- -3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-7,999
- Equity at exit
- $12,528
Cash invested: $40,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76707
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 144
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,538 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$206 /mo · $2,473/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$323
- Net cashflow
- $188
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $270 | -5% $229 | +0% $188 | +5% $147 | +10% $106 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $67 | -5% $128 | +0% $188 | +5% $249 | +10% $310 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $261 | -0.5pp $225 | base $188 | +0.5pp $151 | +1.0pp $113 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,225
- Closing costs
- $4,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3621 Gorman Ave Waco, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1086 | $1,950 | $1.80 | 14d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 3400 W Brookview Dr Waco, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 865 | $1,209 | $1.40 | 14d | 5 | 0.35mi |
| 2714 Morrow Ave Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1484 | $1,375 | $0.93 | 21d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 3121 Colonial Ave Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1085 | $1,600 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3121 Colonial Ave Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1085 | $1,600 | $1.47 | 21d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2601 Fort Ave Unit 4 Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $990 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3116 Bosque Blvd Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2900 Austin Ave Waco, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1176 | $1,195 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2632 Colonial Ave Unit B Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 21d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2724 Bosque Blvd Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,100 | $0.98 | 21d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1309 Sunset St Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1102 | $1,295 | $1.18 | 21d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2705 Bosque Blvd Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1028 | $1,599 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 3701 Parkwood St Unit 3703 Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,075 | $1.13 | 14d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3125 Ethel Ave Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1760 | $1,900 | $1.08 | 21d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 608 N 23rd St Waco, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1361 | $1,695 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 615 N 23rd St Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,275 | $1.42 | 21d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1300 N 43rd St Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1109 | $860 | $0.78 | 21d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 415 N 23rd St Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $2,000 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 4019 Huaco Ln Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,095 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2300 Washington Ave Waco, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1232 | $1,650 | $1.34 | 14d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1113 N New Rd Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1326 | $1,620 | $1.22 | 21d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2116 Morrow Ave Waco, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1703 | $1,650 | $0.97 | 21d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3007 Parrott Ave Unit 1 Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1458 | $1,650 | $1.13 | 21d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1400 N 23rd St Waco, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $1,575 | $0.95 | 14d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 700 S Valley Mills Dr Waco, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 850 | $995 | $1.17 | 14d | 2 | 1.01mi |
| 2511 Parrott Ave Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1463 | $1,695 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 4320 Guthrie Cir Waco, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1069 | $1,700 | $1.59 | 21d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2001 Bosque Blvd Waco, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1628 | $1,100 | $0.68 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1923 Austin Ave Unit 5202 Waco, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1265 | $1,395 | $1.10 | 21d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1000 N 19th St Waco, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1800 | $2,050 | $1.14 | 21d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1901 N 28th St Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1794 | $1,950 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3821 Lasker Ave Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1209 | $1,850 | $1.53 | 21d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3812 Hiland Dr Waco, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1124 | $995 | $0.89 | 14d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 4000 Acree St Waco, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 984 | $1,295 | $1.32 | 21d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3625 Maple Ave Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,275 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2601 Flint Ave Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1356 | $1,720 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2100 N 33rd St Waco, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1858 | $2,200 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 3532 Windsor Ave Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,475 | $1.34 | 14d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2714 Windsor Ave Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 979 | $1,300 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1821 Algonquin St Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,150 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-04-29status Pending
-
2026-04-20historical Active Option Contract
-
2026-04-13status Active
-
2026-04-02historical Active Option Contract
-
2026-03-23price $144,900
-
2026-03-02price $159,900
-
2026-02-17$169,900 Active
-
2025-06-17historical
-
2025-05-01$184,000 Active
-
2024-05-23soldstatus 411-char remark
Show marketing remark (411 chars)
This house is completed with new windows, all flooring has been installed, completely painted the outside and all the finishing touches inside are done. If buyers want HVAC, the sellers will have one installed by closing with $7000 added to the sales price. Great location with easy access to HWY 84. The seller can't close on this one until May 21, 2024. He can do a Temporary Residential lease until closing.
-
2023-11-05$163,000 411-char remark
Show marketing remark (411 chars)
This house is completed with new windows, all flooring has been installed, completely painted the outside and all the finishing touches inside are done. If buyers want HVAC, the sellers will have one installed by closing with $7000 added to the sales price. Great location with easy access to HWY 84. The seller can't close on this one until May 21, 2024. He can do a Temporary Residential lease until closing.
-
2023-09-29soldstatus
-
2023-09-08soldstatus
-
2022-10-09$130,000
-
2016-03-04soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,473 · $206/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,652 · $221/mo
- Expected delta
- +$178/yr (+$15/mo · 7.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 60% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,450
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,117
- − Property taxes
- −$2,473
- − Insurance
- −$724
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,476
- − Management
- −$1,476
- − Depreciation
- −$4,215
- Taxable loss
- −$31
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$8
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,267/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Waco ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4844280
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,208
- Composite
- 17.57/100
- National rank
- #9043
- State rank
- #773 of 826 in TX
Livability — Waco
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #166
- US rank
- #4378
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Waco, TX
- County
- McLennan County · 213,088 people
- City population
- 125,319
- Metro
- Waco, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,879
- Household income
- $40,443
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 704.0
Population outlook (McLennan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 264,191 people
- By 2030
- 273,578 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 291,506 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 308,044 · +16.6%
- By 2075
- 349,648 · +32.3%
- By 2100
- 364,779 · +38.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 47% Black 32% Two or more races 26% White 18%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 43%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 34% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · McLennan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+30.9) · D 34.0% · R 64.9% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.0pp toward R · 2008: -23.9pp · 2024: -30.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+30.9 2020: R+23.4 2016: R+27.1 2012: R+29.8 2008: R+23.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -134.95%
- Current HPI
- 239.639
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.14%
- Metro
- Waco, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+11.5% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-04-20 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-04-13 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2026-04-02 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $144,900 NTREIS
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $159,900 NTREIS
- 2026-02-17 Listed $169,900 NTREIS
- 2025-06-17 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-05-01 Listed $184,000 NTREIS
- 2024-05-23 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2023-11-05 Listed $163,000 NTREIS
- 2023-09-29 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2023-09-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-10-09 Listed $130,000 NTREIS
- 2016-03-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,473 · -48.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…