234 Lora Ave · Youngstown, OH 44504

$70,000

4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,930 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 445 Days on market

Built 1917 7,492 sqft lot Est $102k · 32% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +9.2/10.0
• Appreciation +8.4/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +0.9/10.0

Key facts

• 7,492 sq ft lot
• Built 1917
• Listed 444 days

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: Gross annual income reported: $13,200; Tenant pays all utilities

Exterior

• Parking: No garage; unpaved parking
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: 3-story building
• Construction: Wood siding; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
• Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.172 acres

Interior

• Bedrooms: Three-bedroom units (3 bedrooms) — multiple units
• Bathrooms: One full bathroom per unit
• Heating & cooling: Forced-air gas heating
• Interior features: Partial basement

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $361 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($993 rent vs $70k).
• Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 7.0% in Youngstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 81/100 on livability (#99 in OH, #1,506 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
• Youngstown City (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #649 of 656 in OH (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 147 units permitted in Mahoning County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $5k of equity ($484 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
• Mahoning County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (6.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 445 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 5 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $23k; list at $70k implies a 204% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $61,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 445 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.42% ✓
• Cap rate: 12.49%
• Cash-on-cash: 22.12%
• DSCR: 1.98
• GRM: 5.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $102,290
• Comps found: 8

Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
156 Halleck St	0.54mi	4/1.0	1,936 (+0%)	2mo	$72,000	$37	72
237 Norwood Ave	0.04mi	5/1.5 (+1)	2,130 (+10%)	2mo	$45,000	$21	72
435 Catalina Ave	0.54mi	4/1.5	2,000 (+4%)	3mo	$155,000	$78	65
2104 Elm St	0.51mi	5/2.0 (+1)	1,953 (+1%)	5mo	$28,500	$15	61
1524 Ohio Ave	0.05mi	5/1.5 (+1)	1,792 (-7%)	23mo	$54,000	$30	60
62 Baldwin	0.58mi	4/1.0	1,842 (-5%)	17mo	$102,500	$56	52
1841 Goleta Ave	0.65mi	5/1.5 (+1)	1,840 (-5%)	6mo	$100,000	$54	50
2131 Elm St	0.58mi	3/1.0 (-1)	1,696 (-12%)	15mo	$89,900	$53	35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.72% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 35.2%
• Equity multiple: 3.36×
• Total profit: $46,239
• Equity at exit: $47,238

10-year hold

• IRR: 32.2%
• Equity multiple: 6.98×
• Total profit: $117,280
• Equity at exit: $88,605

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 73 Landlord-Friendly
• State Ohio: 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 44504

• Home prices YoY: 4.0%
• Active inventory: 28
• Price-to-rent: 5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $993 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$367
• Tax from tax record: −$27 /mo · $326/yr
• Insurance: −$29
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$209
• Net cashflow: $361

Break-even live

Break-even rent $536

Max offer price $70,000

Occupancy floor 59%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $401	-5% $381	+0% $361	+5% $341	+10% $322
Rent	-10% $283	-5% $322	+0% $361	+5% $401	+10% $440
Rate	-1.0pp $397	-0.5pp $379	base $361	+0.5pp $343	+1.0pp $325

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $17,500
• Closing costs: $2,100
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
176 Upland Ave Unit 1 Youngstown, OH	4.0	2.0	1300	$1,225	$0.94	44d	1	0.83mi
351 Lincoln Ave Youngstown, OH	3.0–5.0	3.0–5.0	1527	$760	$0.50	14d	10	0.98mi

Listing history 18 events

1. 2026-06-01
   days on market $70,000 Active 445 DOM
2. 2026-05-31
   days on market $70,000 Active 444 DOM
3. 2026-05-30
   days on market $70,000 Active 443 DOM
4. 2025-10-29
   price $70,000
5. 2025-03-11
   listed $81,000 Active
6. 2017-08-28
   soldstatus $23,000 Sold
7. 2017-08-27
   status Pending
8. 2017-08-16
   historical Contingent
9. 2017-08-14
   status Active
10. 2017-06-28
    status Pending
11. 2017-05-25
    price $30,000
12. 2017-04-19
    listed $43,000 Active
13. 2016-07-19
    historical
14. 2016-03-28
    listed $40,000 Active
15. 2008-03-31
    historical
16. 2007-07-06
    listed $39,000
17. 2005-01-31
    soldstatus $2,880
18. 1985-04-02
    soldstatus $15,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $326 · $27/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $709 · $59/mo
• Expected delta: +$383/yr (+$32/mo · 117.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $11,920
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,921
• − Property taxes: −$326
• − Insurance: −$350
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$954
• − Management: −$954
• − Depreciation: −$2,036
• Taxable income: $3,379
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$811
• After-tax cash flow: $3,524/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Youngstown City
• NCES district ID: 3904516
• Math proficiency: 8% ▼ -15.00%
• Reading proficiency: 17% ▼ -10.00%
• Median HH income: $25,257
• Composite: 9.29/100
• National rank: #9858
• State rank: #649 of 656 in OH

Livability — Youngstown

• Score: 81/100
• State rank: #99
• US rank: #1506

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Youngstown, OH
• County: Mahoning · 224,175 people
• City population: 28,503
• Metro: Youngstown-Warren, OH
• Population (ZIP): 5,185
• Household income: $40,156
• Rent vs Own: 58.9% rent · 41.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 15.7

Population outlook (Mahoning County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 223,932 people
• By 2030: 218,387 · -2.5%
• By 2040: 205,367 · -8.3%
• By 2050: 193,606 · -13.5%
• By 2075: 173,694 · -22.4%
• By 2100: 151,147 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
• Race & ethnicity: White 45% Black 38% Two or more races 8% Asian 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
• Common ancestry: Italian 4% Serbian 1% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 7% · Canada, Dominican Republic, South Korea
• Languages at home: 93% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mahoning

• 2024 margin: Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.9% · R 54.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -36.1pp toward R · 2008: 26.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+9.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+27.7 2008: D+26.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 6.72%
• Current HPI: 174.9495
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.98%
• F500 in state: 48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Insurance	3	$145B
▸Industrial Machinery	3	$49B
▸Financial Services	3	$24B
▸Consumer Goods	2	$93B
▸Aerospace / Defense	2	$47B
▸Utilities	2	$33B

Price history

+366.7% since first listed

15 events — show timeline

• 2025-10-29 Price Changed $70,000 MLSNOW
• 2025-03-11 Listed $81,000 MLSNOW
• 2017-08-28 Sold (MLS) $23,000 MLSNOW
• 2017-08-27 Pending — MLSNOW
• 2017-08-16 Contingent — MLSNOW
• 2017-08-14 Relisted — MLSNOW
• 2017-06-28 Pending — MLSNOW
• 2017-05-25 Price Changed $30,000 MLSNOW
• 2017-04-19 Listed $43,000 MLSNOW
• 2016-07-19 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
• 2016-03-28 Listed $40,000 MLSNOW
• 2008-03-31 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
• 2007-07-06 Listed $39,000 MLSNOW
• 2005-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $2,880 Public Records
• 1985-04-02 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $326 · -11.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.