4531 N 39th St · Omaha, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.8/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Contract Pending- On market for back-up offers. Welcome to this beautifully updated 3-bed, 1-bath home in North Omaha! Step inside to find fresh paint, refinished hardwood floors, and a bright, open floor plan. The living room flows seamlessly into a fully remodeled kitchen featuring new cabinetry, butcher block countertops, stainless steel appliances, and a breakfast bar perfect for entertaining. The spacious bathroom has been completely modernized with tiled shower walls, new vanity, and stylish fixtures. Large windows fill the home with natural light, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. Outside, enjoy a private backyard with a rare oversized 2-car detached garage, offering plenty of
Key facts
- Updated home
- Breakfast bar
- 6,534 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $272 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $175k (0.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $159k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.6% in Omaha — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in NE, #663 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- Omaha Public Schools (urban): math 20% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #110 of 111 in NE (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Central Park Elementary School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #484 of 502 statewide, top 97%, 359 students, 0% FRL); King Science/Tech Magnet Middle School (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #121 of 128 statewide, top 95%, 667 students, 0% FRL); North High School (math 21% / reading 25%, grade F, #247 of 261 statewide, top 95%, 1,796 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 62% district-wide (62 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 139 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 4,539 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (2,583 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Douglas County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.2% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($159k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 17 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $75k; list at $175k implies a 133% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.66%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.31×
- Total profit
- $112,978
- Equity at exit
- $157,654
- IRR
- 25.4%
- Equity multiple
- 7.53×
- Total profit
- $319,812
- Equity at exit
- $339,987
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68111
- Home prices YoY
- 4.0%
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 139
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,750 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$120 /mo · $1,438/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$367
- Net cashflow
- $272
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $371 | -5% $321 | +0% $272 | +5% $222 | +10% $173 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $134 | -5% $203 | +0% $272 | +5% $341 | +10% $410 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $360 | -0.5pp $316 | base $272 | +0.5pp $227 | +1.0pp $180 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4707 N 40th Ave Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1337 | $1,500 | $1.12 | 22d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 4240 Fowler Ave Omaha, NE | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1956 | $1,895 | $0.97 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 4657 Camden Ave Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,500 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3535 N 45th Ave Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1325 | $1,800 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 3808 N 48th St Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,000 | $1.43 | 4d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 3508 N 47th Ave Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1425 | $1,600 | $1.12 | 20d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 4276 Binney St Omaha, NE | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1358 | $1,495 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 4706 Kansas Ave Omaha, NE | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1412 | $1,750 | $1.24 | 15d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2416 Fowler Ave Omaha, NE | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2169 | $1,950 | $0.90 | 15d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 4655 Curtis Ave Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $1,900 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2873 Kansas Ave Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1112 | $1,450 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 4026 Bauman Ave Omaha, NE | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,695 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 5348 N 25th St Omaha, NE | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1446 | $1,600 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3002 N 48th Ave Omaha, NE | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1205 | $1,550 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 4874 Maple St Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1098 | $1,545 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 4201 N 22nd St Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1380 | $1,545 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2436 Laurel Ave Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1582 | $1,495 | $0.95 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 4114 N 54th St Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1683 | $1,745 | $1.04 | 4d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 2914 N 49th Ave Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1375 | $1,615 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 45 events
-
2026-04-13status Pending
-
2026-01-15historical $1,650
-
2026-01-12$175,000 New
-
2025-12-31price $1,650
-
2025-11-21$1,850
-
2025-10-21historical $1,850
-
2025-09-23historical
-
2025-09-11$180,000 New
-
2025-08-26$1,850
-
2024-10-19historical $1,800
-
2024-09-10$1,800
-
2024-02-01historical $1,500
-
2023-12-04historical
-
2023-10-27$1,500
-
2023-10-13$175,000 New
-
2022-08-06historical
-
2022-07-26price $165,000
-
2022-07-08$175,000 Active - New
-
2021-07-09soldstatus $75,000
-
2021-06-30soldstatus $75,000 Sold
-
2021-06-21status Pending
-
2021-05-25$90,000 Active - New
-
2021-05-21soldstatus $185,000
-
2021-04-06historical
-
2021-01-28$85,000 Active - New
-
2015-03-16soldstatus $30,000 Sold
-
2015-02-28status Pending
-
2014-09-23$35,000 Active
-
2014-09-03historical
-
2014-04-02$35,000
-
2008-02-04soldstatus $26,500
-
2008-01-11historical
-
2007-11-27$30,000
-
2006-06-07soldstatus $73,000
-
2006-06-02soldstatus $73,000
-
2006-04-27historical
-
2006-04-24$73,000
-
2006-04-24historical
-
2006-02-28$65,000
-
2006-02-28historical
-
2005-10-20$67,950
-
2002-08-30soldstatus $47,900
-
2002-08-12historical
-
2002-08-12soldstatus $47,900
-
2002-05-20$49,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,438 · $120/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,028 · $252/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,590/yr (+$132/mo · 110.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,997
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$1,438
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,680
- − Management
- −$1,680
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $431
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$103
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,159/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Omaha Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3174820
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,039
- Composite
- 20.83/100
- National rank
- #8502
- State rank
- #110 of 111 in NE
Livability — Omaha
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #7
- US rank
- #663
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Omaha, NE
- County
- Douglas County · 538,646 people
- City population
- 552,986
- Metro
- Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,210
- Household income
- $42,185
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1913.0
Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 625,245 people
- By 2030
- 661,613 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 732,395 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 801,988 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 968,637 · +54.9%
- By 2100
- 1,101,871 · +76.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 52% Hispanic / Latino 21% White 17% Two or more races 15% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Ukrainian 3% Lithuanian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Asian/Pacific 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Douglas
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.2) · D 54.4% · R 44.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.5pp toward D · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: 10.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.2 2020: D+11.3 2016: D+1.4 2012: R+4.3 2008: D+4.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 13.82%
- Current HPI
- 358.7174
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.22%
- Metro
- Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
-96.7% since first listed45 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Pending — GPRMLS
- 2026-01-15 Rental Removed $1,650 SHOWMOJO
- 2026-01-12 Listed $175,000 GPRMLS
- 2025-12-31 Price Changed $1,650 SHOWMOJO
- 2025-11-21 Listed for Rent $1,850 SHOWMOJO
- 2025-10-21 Rental Removed $1,850 SHOWMOJO
- 2025-09-23 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2025-09-11 Listed $180,000 GPRMLS
- 2025-08-26 Listed for Rent $1,850 SHOWMOJO
- 2024-10-19 Rental Removed $1,800 APPFOLIO
- 2024-09-10 Listed for Rent $1,800 APPFOLIO
- 2024-02-01 Rental Removed $1,500 APPFOLIO
- 2023-12-04 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2023-10-27 Listed for Rent $1,500 APPFOLIO
- 2023-10-13 Listed $175,000 GPRMLS
- 2022-08-06 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2022-07-26 Price Changed $165,000 GPRMLS
- 2022-07-08 Listed $175,000 GPRMLS
- 2021-07-09 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2021-06-30 Sold (MLS) $75,000 GPRMLS
- 2021-06-21 Pending — GPRMLS
- 2021-05-25 Listed $90,000 GPRMLS
- 2021-05-21 Sold (Public Records) $185,000 Public Records
- 2021-04-06 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2021-01-28 Listed $85,000 GPRMLS
- 2015-03-16 Sold (MLS) $30,000 GPRMLS
- 2015-02-28 Pending — GPRMLS
- 2014-09-23 Listed $35,000 GPRMLS
- 2014-09-03 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2014-04-02 Listed $35,000 GPRMLS
- 2008-02-04 Sold (MLS) $26,500 GPRMLS
- 2008-01-11 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2007-11-27 Listed $30,000 GPRMLS
- 2006-06-07 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records
- 2006-06-02 Sold (MLS) $73,000 GPRMLS
- 2006-04-27 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2006-04-24 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2006-04-24 Listed $73,000 GPRMLS
- 2006-02-28 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2006-02-28 Listed $65,000 GPRMLS
- 2005-10-20 Listed $67,950 GPRMLS
- 2002-08-30 Sold (MLS) $47,900 GPRMLS
- 2002-08-12 Sold (Public Records) $47,900 Public Records
- 2002-08-12 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2002-05-20 Listed $49,900 GPRMLS
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,438 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…