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1070 Coles Hill Rd
D- Composite 37.61
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.6/15.0
  • Schools +7.6/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.0/30.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +0.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$599,000

1070 Coles Hill Rd · Wells, ME 04090
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 65 Days on market
Built 1991 2.30 ac lot $446/sqft · 29% above area Est $692k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautiful Wells Maine. Enjoy both coastal and country living, simple charm best describes this raised colonial cape set on 2.3 acre pine lot. 460.51 street frontage. Zoned rural. This meticulously kept 3 bedroom, 2 full bath, living room, dining room and kitchen with a backyard deck is only minutes to I-95, schools, beaches, shopping, Amtrack. Short walk to golf course and trout fishing. Fresh local seasonal farmstands around the corner. Center brick fireplace, solid pine doors, private water and sewer. Custom window treatments, baseboard oil heat, Spacious detached 2 car garage, in-law apt. possibility. No Condo fees or HOA's ------Motivated Seller----------

Key facts

  • Raised colonial cape
  • 2.3 acre pine lot
  • Zoned rural

Tags

RAISED COLONIAL CAPE2.3 ACRE PINE LOT460.51 STREET FRONTAGEZONED RURALBACKYARD DECKSHORT WALK TO GOLF COURSE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces; Additional paved parking for 5–10 vehicles; 2-car vehicle storage
  • Utilities: Private well water; Private sewer; Circuit breaker electric service; Water heater: tank, tied to heating system; 90% efficient furnace
  • Home design: Single family residence; Built in 1991
  • Construction: Wood frame with clapboard siding and asbestos components; Shingle roof; 1991 construction
  • Exterior features: Deck; Neighborhood setting; Level and wooded lot; Near public transit; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen island; Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on second level with full bath; Three additional bedrooms on second level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Eight total rooms; Interior entry to unfinished basement; Accessibility features with 32–36 inch doors and 36–48 inch halls; Wood-burning fireplace (formal living room)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $599k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-883 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $443k (26.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $348k (42.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $348k (42.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Wells-Ogunquit CSD (rural): math 87% / reading 90% proficiency, ranked #32 of 112 in ME (top 29%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Wells Elementary School (math 87% / reading 91%, grade A+, #73 of 294 statewide, top 25%, 551 students, 15% FRL); Wells Junior High School (math 86% / reading 90%, grade A+, #27 of 85 statewide, top 31%, 441 students, 19% FRL); Wells High School (math 98% / reading 92%, grade A+, #18 of 108 statewide, top 22%, 415 students, 10% FRL) — zoned schools at 15% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 272 active listings in the ZIP; 1,386 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($563k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $196k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $347,516 (42.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 42% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.58%
Cap rate
4.52%
Cash-on-cash
-6.32%
DSCR
0.72
GRM
14.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$692,208
List price
$599,000
Delta
-13.47%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
10 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-27.3%
Equity multiple
0.08×
Total profit
$-153,560
Equity at exit
$89,313
10-year hold
IRR
-25.5%
Equity multiple
-0.24×
Total profit
$-207,191
Equity at exit
$51,791

Cash invested: $167,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Maine
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Portland has rent control referendum (2020); strong habitability; security deposit caps.

ZIP-level market 04090

Home prices YoY
-20.0%
Active inventory
272
Price-to-rent
14.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,475 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,141
Tax from tax record
$238 /mo · $2,850/yr
Insurance
$250
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$730
Net cashflow
$-883

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,593
Max offer price $443,027
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-544 -5% $-713 +0% $-883 +5% $-1,052 +10% $-1,222
Rent -10% $-1,157 -5% $-1,020 +0% $-883 +5% $-746 +10% $-608
Rate -1.0pp $-581 -0.5pp $-731 base $-883 +0.5pp $-1,038 +1.0pp $-1,196

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$149,750
Closing costs
$17,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $599,000 Active 65 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $599,000 Active 62 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $599,000 Active 61 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $599,000 Active 60 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    price $599,000 Active 59 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $649,000 Active 59 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $649,000 Active 57 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $649,000 Active 56 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $649,000 Active 54 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    remarks 667-char remark
  11. 2026-06-09
    days on market $649,000 Active 53 DOM
  12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $649,000 Active 52 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $649,000 Active 51 DOM
  14. 2026-06-05
    days on market $649,000 Active 48 DOM
  15. 2026-06-03
    days on market $649,000 Active 47 DOM
  16. 2026-06-02
    days on market $649,000 Active 46 DOM
  17. 2026-06-01
    days on market $649,000 Active 45 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $649,000 Active 44 DOM
  19. 2026-05-30
    days on market $649,000 Active 43 DOM
  20. 2026-04-17
    listed $795,000 Active 629-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ME · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,850 · $238/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,498 · $458/mo
Expected delta
+$2,648/yr (+$221/mo · 92.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$41,702
− Mortgage interest
−$33,553
− Property taxes
−$2,850
− Insurance
−$2,995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,336
− Management
−$3,336
− Depreciation
−$17,425
Taxable loss
−$21,794
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$5,231
After-tax cash flow
$-5,365/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wells-Ogunquit CSD
NCES district ID
2313490
Math proficiency
87% ▲ 42.00%
Reading proficiency
90% ▲ 26.00%
Median HH income
$61,341
Composite
75.79/100
National rank
#125
State rank
#32 of 112 in ME

Livability — Wells

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
11,544

Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
209,961 people
By 2030
212,816 · +1.4%
By 2040
214,360 · +2.1%
By 2050
210,350 · +0.2%
By 2075
201,686 · -3.9%
By 2100
183,392 · -12.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 11% Romanian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · York

2024 margin
D (+10.5) · D 54.3% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-10.1pp toward R · 2008: 20.5pp · 2024: 10.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.5 2020: D+12.6 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+20.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -103.52%
Current HPI
413.9951
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+130.5% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Price Changed $599,000 MREIS
  • 2026-05-28 Price Changed $649,000 MREIS
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $725,000 MREIS
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $795,000 MREIS
  • 2013-07-08 Listed $259,900 MREIS

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,850 · +6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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