1630 Fitzhugh Ave · Paris, TX 75460

$64,900

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 600 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 92 Days on market

Built 1960 7,492 sqft lot Est $62k · at est. ↓ 13% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +5.7/15.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• Schools +3.0/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

INVESTORS! HOME BUYERS! Take a look at this 3 bedroom, 1 full bath home in NE Paris located across from the Lamar County Fairgrounds. With its cottage style architecture, this could be absolutely adorable with some minor updates. Open living-dining combo. Kitchen large enough to accommodate a dining table. Bathroom is roomy with over size vanity. Nice utility room with washer-dryer connections. Central heat and air. Recent new carpet. LCAD square footage is incorrect. Estimate is 1000 square feet.

Key facts

• Recent new carpet
• Private bath
• Central heat and air

Tags

• COTTAGE STYLE ARCHITECTURE
• OPEN LIVING DINING COMBO
• PRIVATE BATH
• CENTRAL HEAT AND AIR
• RECENT NEW CARPET

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Municipal utility district: No
• Financial info: Accepts Cash and Conventional financing; No second mortgage indicated
• HOA & community: No association

Exterior

• Parking: Driveway
• Utilities: City water; City sewer; Cable available; Co-op electric
• Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One story; Property attached: yes; Subdivision: East Park Add
• Construction: Built in 1960; Frame construction; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
• Exterior features: No fencing; All-weather road access

Interior

• Kitchen: No appliances included
• Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (Level 1) — approximately 14 x 12
• Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Cable TV available; One living area; One dining area; Two total rooms
• Laundry & utility: Utility room

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $407 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
• Recommended offer: $59k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 13.8% vs local median 3.7% in Paris — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 61/100 on livability (#984 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
• Paris ISD (town): math 36% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #521 of 826 in TX (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 275 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 119 units permitted in Lamar County in 2024 (71 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Lamar County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $59,059 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.65% ✓
• Cap rate: 13.81%
• Cash-on-cash: 26.85%
• DSCR: 2.19
• GRM: 5.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $62,400
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1164 Grove St	0.50mi	2/1.0 (-1)	676 (+13%)	20mo	$69,996	$104	34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 20.8%
• Equity multiple: 1.85×
• Total profit: $15,390
• Equity at exit: $9,677

10-year hold

• IRR: 28.9%
• Equity multiple: 3.57×
• Total profit: $46,789
• Equity at exit: $5,611

Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 75460

• Active inventory: 275
• Price-to-rent: 5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,070 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$340
• Tax from tax record: −$72 /mo · $859/yr
• Insurance: −$27
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$225
• Net cashflow: $407

Break-even live

Break-even rent $556

Max offer price $64,900

Occupancy floor 57%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $443	-5% $425	+0% $407	+5% $388	+10% $370
Rent	-10% $322	-5% $364	+0% $407	+5% $449	+10% $491
Rate	-1.0pp $439	-0.5pp $423	base $407	+0.5pp $390	+1.0pp $373

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $16,225
• Closing costs: $1,947
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 3 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1432 Fitzhugh Ave Paris, TX	2.0	1.0	600	$900	$1.50	45d	1	0.21mi
916 8th St NW Paris, TX	3.0	1.0	540	$1,250	$2.31	45d	1	1.13mi
635 7th St SW Paris, TX	1.0–4.0	1.0–2.0	903	$1,250	$1.38	45d	16	1.22mi

Listing history 6 events

1. 2026-06-02
   days on market $64,900 Active 92 DOM
2. 2026-06-01
   days on market $64,900 Active 91 DOM
3. 2026-05-31
   days on market $64,900 Active 90 DOM
4. 2026-05-31
   days on market $64,900 Active 89 DOM
5. 2026-04-09
   price $64,900
6. 2026-03-02
   listed $74,999 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $859 · $72/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,188 · $99/mo
• Expected delta: +$328/yr (+$27/mo · 38.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $12,844
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,635
• − Property taxes: −$859
• − Insurance: −$324
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,028
• − Management: −$1,028
• − Depreciation: −$1,888
• Taxable income: $4,082
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$980
• After-tax cash flow: $3,899/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Paris ISD
• NCES district ID: 4834290
• Math proficiency: 36% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 37% ▼ -1.00%
• Median HH income: $31,515
• Composite: 29.83/100
• National rank: #6419
• State rank: #521 of 826 in TX

Livability — Paris

• Score: 61/100
• State rank: #984
• US rank: #17535

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Paris, TX
• County: Lamar County · 23,426 people
• City population: 23,426
• Metro: Paris, TX
• Population (ZIP): 23,426
• Household income: $46,473
• Rent vs Own: 49.7% rent · 50.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 1355.0

Population outlook (Lamar County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 48,319 people
• By 2030: 47,160 · -2.4%
• By 2040: 44,621 · -7.7%
• By 2050: 42,024 · -13.0%
• By 2075: 36,577 · -24.3%
• By 2100: 30,580 · -36.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
• Race & ethnicity: White 58% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 8%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 12%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Lamar

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+61.0) · D 19.2% · R 80.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -19.1pp toward R · 2008: -42.0pp · 2024: -61.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+61.0 2020: R+57.4 2016: R+59.2 2012: R+50.3 2008: R+42.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -201.50%
• Current HPI: 145.3511
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Paris, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-13.5% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-09 Price Changed $64,900 NTREIS
• 2026-03-02 Listed $74,999 NTREIS

Property tax history

+19.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $859 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.