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101 Wildwood Dr
C Composite 59.84
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.2/15.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.5/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$169,995

101 Wildwood Dr · Wildwood, TX 77663
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,759 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 343 Days on market
Built 1975 0.70 ac lot $97/sqft · 6% below area Est $181k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offering 1,759 sq ft of comfortable living space. This home features a bonus game room perfect for entertaining or relaxing. Located in the desirable Wildwood subdivision, you'll enjoy access to great amenities, including a golf course and a beautiful lake. Don't miss this chance to make this home yours!

Key facts

  • Beautiful lake
  • Wildwood subdivision
  • Bonus game room

Tags

BONUS GAME ROOMWILDWOOD SUBDIVISIONGOLF COURSEBEAUTIFUL LAKE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $221 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
  • Recommended offer: $150k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 4.0% in Wildwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#855 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: crime C-, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Warren ISD (rural): math 37% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #378 of 826 in TX (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 358 units permitted in Hardin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.1% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (1.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 343 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $149,595 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 343 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
7.86%
Cash-on-cash
5.58%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$180,869
List price
$169,995
Delta
-6.01%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
202 Cypress Bend Dr 0.18mi 3/1.0 1,644 (-6%) 12mo $125,000 $76 71
201 Spruce St 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,664 (-5%) 10mo $75,000 $45 66
200 Sassafras Ln 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,917 (+9%) 13mo $172,500 $90 63
303 Cypress Bnd 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,828 (+4%) 16mo $215,000 $118 58
105 Spruce St 0.25mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,502 (-15%) 1mo $199,000 $132 54
102 Sassafras Dr 0.12mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,512 (-14%) 11mo $139,900 $93 52
204 Dogwood Ln 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,544 (-12%) 11mo $49,990 $32 45
527 Cypress Bend Dr 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,543 (-12%) 12mo $195,000 $126 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.05% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.3%
Equity multiple
1.37×
Total profit
$17,702
Equity at exit
$58,434
10-year hold
IRR
11.4%
Equity multiple
2.39×
Total profit
$66,129
Equity at exit
$77,964

Cash invested: $47,599 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77663

Home prices YoY
1.0%
Active inventory
45
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,795 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$234 /mo · $2,811/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$377
Net cashflow
$221

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,515
Max offer price $169,995
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $318 -5% $270 +0% $221 +5% $173 +10% $125
Rent -10% $80 -5% $151 +0% $221 +5% $292 +10% $363
Rate -1.0pp $307 -0.5pp $265 base $221 +0.5pp $177 +1.0pp $133

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,499
Closing costs
$5,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
111 Spruce Ln Wildwood, TX 3.0 2.0 2064 $1,795 $0.87 25d 1 0.29mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $169,995 Active 343 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $169,995 Active 342 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $169,995 Active 341 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $169,995 Active 340 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $169,995 Active 338 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $169,995 Active 337 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $169,995 Active 335 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $169,995 Active 334 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $169,995 Active 333 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $169,995 Active 332 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $169,995 Active 329 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $169,995 Active 328 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $169,995 Active 327 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,995 Active 326 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,995 Active 325 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,995 Active 324 DOM
  17. 2026-02-19
    status Active 357-char remark
    Show marketing remark (357 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offering 1,759 sq ft of comfortable living space. This home features a bonus game room perfect for entertaining or relaxing. Located in the desirable Wildwood subdivision, you'll enjoy access to great amenities, including a golf course and a beautiful lake. Don't miss this chance to make this home yours!

  18. 2026-02-14
    status Pending 357-char remark
    Show marketing remark (357 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offering 1,759 sq ft of comfortable living space. This home features a bonus game room perfect for entertaining or relaxing. Located in the desirable Wildwood subdivision, you'll enjoy access to great amenities, including a golf course and a beautiful lake. Don't miss this chance to make this home yours!

  19. 2025-10-05
    price $169,995 357-char remark
    Show marketing remark (357 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offering 1,759 sq ft of comfortable living space. This home features a bonus game room perfect for entertaining or relaxing. Located in the desirable Wildwood subdivision, you'll enjoy access to great amenities, including a golf course and a beautiful lake. Don't miss this chance to make this home yours!

  20. 2025-09-06
    price $177,500 357-char remark
    Show marketing remark (357 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offering 1,759 sq ft of comfortable living space. This home features a bonus game room perfect for entertaining or relaxing. Located in the desirable Wildwood subdivision, you'll enjoy access to great amenities, including a golf course and a beautiful lake. Don't miss this chance to make this home yours!

  21. 2025-08-03
    price $182,500 357-char remark
    Show marketing remark (357 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offering 1,759 sq ft of comfortable living space. This home features a bonus game room perfect for entertaining or relaxing. Located in the desirable Wildwood subdivision, you'll enjoy access to great amenities, including a golf course and a beautiful lake. Don't miss this chance to make this home yours!

  22. 2025-07-05
    listed $185,000 Active 357-char remark
    Show marketing remark (357 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offering 1,759 sq ft of comfortable living space. This home features a bonus game room perfect for entertaining or relaxing. Located in the desirable Wildwood subdivision, you'll enjoy access to great amenities, including a golf course and a beautiful lake. Don't miss this chance to make this home yours!

  23. 2019-09-09
    soldstatus
  24. 2019-09-03
    soldstatus 325-char remark
    Show marketing remark (325 chars)

    BEAUTIFUL BRICK HOME ON A LARGE CORNER LOT; 3/2/2; LOTS OF UP DATES IN KITCHEN AND BATHS; WOOD BURNING FIREPLACE; SS APPLIANCES, PANTRY; FORMAL DINING ROOM; LARGE SUN PORCH; LOCATED IN A GATED COMMUNITY WITH GOLF COURSE AND 365 AC LAKE, TENNIS, BASKETBALL, VOLLEYBALL COURTS; BEACH WITH COVERED TABLES; GREAT PLACE TO LIVE.

  25. 2019-08-02
    listed $129,950 325-char remark
    Show marketing remark (325 chars)

    BEAUTIFUL BRICK HOME ON A LARGE CORNER LOT; 3/2/2; LOTS OF UP DATES IN KITCHEN AND BATHS; WOOD BURNING FIREPLACE; SS APPLIANCES, PANTRY; FORMAL DINING ROOM; LARGE SUN PORCH; LOCATED IN A GATED COMMUNITY WITH GOLF COURSE AND 365 AC LAKE, TENNIS, BASKETBALL, VOLLEYBALL COURTS; BEACH WITH COVERED TABLES; GREAT PLACE TO LIVE.

  26. 2008-03-26
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,811 · $234/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,111 · $259/mo
Expected delta
+$300/yr (+$25/mo · 10.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,540
− Mortgage interest
−$9,522
− Property taxes
−$2,811
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,723
− Management
−$1,723
− Depreciation
−$4,945
Taxable loss
−$35
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$8
After-tax cash flow
$2,666/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Warren ISD
NCES district ID
4844580
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$46,575
Composite
34.97/100
National rank
#5059
State rank
#378 of 826 in TX

Livability — Wildwood

Score
63/100
State rank
#855
US rank
#15381

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wildwood, TX
Population (ZIP)
309

Population outlook (Hardin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
57,780 people
By 2030
58,296 · +0.9%
By 2040
58,421 · +1.1%
By 2050
57,391 · -0.7%
By 2075
53,132 · -8.0%
By 2100
44,905 · -22.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 9% Polish 9%

Political lean MEDSL · Hardin

2024 margin
Solid R (+75.8) · D 11.9% · R 87.7%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: -61.2pp · 2024: -75.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+75.8 2020: R+73.8 2016: R+73.9 2012: R+67.6 2008: R+61.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.05%
Current HPI
103.9751
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+30.8% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-19 Relisted BBOR
  • 2026-02-14 Pending BBOR
  • 2025-10-05 Price Changed $169,995 BBOR
  • 2025-09-06 Price Changed $177,500 BBOR
  • 2025-08-03 Price Changed $182,500 BBOR
  • 2025-07-05 Listed $185,000 BBOR
  • 2019-09-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2019-09-03 Sold (MLS) BBOR
  • 2019-08-02 Listed $129,950 BBOR
  • 2008-03-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,811 · +9.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…