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2628 W First
D+ Composite 48.08
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.0/30.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

2628 W First · North Judson, IN 46366
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,090 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 78 Days on market
Built 1998 0.59 ac lot $101/sqft · 18% below area Est $134k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Built in 1998, this home offers solid potential with a large lot and convenient carport. Property is in need of a new roof, interior updates, and repairs, making it a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add value. Seller financing available, providing flexible options for the right buyer. Sold as-is.

Key facts

  • 0.59 acre lot
  • Built 1998
  • Listed 78 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $14 ($173/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $98k (10.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $98k (10.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.7% in North Judson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#423 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, amenities F.
  • North Judson-San Pierre School Corporation (rural): math 30% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #218 of 301 in IN (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 58 units permitted in Starke County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Starke County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $98,047 (10.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
6.45%
Cash-on-cash
0.56%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$133,777
List price
$110,000
Delta
-17.77%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
10 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.4%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-16,894
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
-6.8%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-13,471
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46366

Home prices YoY
-12.7%
Active inventory
38
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$980 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax est. 1.5%
$138 /mo · $1,650/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$206
Net cashflow
$14

Break-even live

Break-even rent $962
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 94%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $110,000 Active 78 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $110,000 Active 77 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $110,000 Active 76 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $110,000 Active 75 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $110,000 Active 73 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $110,000 Active 72 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $110,000 Active 69 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $110,000 Active 68 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $110,000 Active 67 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $110,000 Active 65 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $110,000 Active 63 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $110,000 Active 62 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $110,000 Active 61 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 60 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 59 DOM
  16. 2026-03-30
    listed $110,000 Active 318-char remark
    Show marketing remark (318 chars)

    Built in 1998, this home offers solid potential with a large lot and convenient carport. Property is in need of a new roof, interior updates, and repairs, making it a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add value. Seller financing available, providing flexible options for the right buyer. Sold as-is.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,766
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$1,650
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$941
− Management
−$941
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable loss
−$1,679
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$403
After-tax cash flow
$575/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Judson-San Pierre School Corporation
NCES district ID
1807800
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$42,731
Composite
27.57/100
National rank
#6940
State rank
#218 of 301 in IN

Livability — North Judson

Score
63/100
State rank
#423
US rank
#15224

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
5,672
Population (ZIP)
5,672

Population outlook (Starke County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,860 people
By 2030
21,024 · -3.8%
By 2040
19,041 · -12.9%
By 2050
16,881 · -22.8%
By 2075
11,880 · -45.7%
By 2100
7,217 · -67.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Iranian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Starke

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.0) · D 23.2% · R 75.3% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-55.3pp toward R · 2008: 3.2pp · 2024: -52.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.0 2020: R+46.8 2016: R+42.0 2012: R+10.6 2008: D+3.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -32.58%
Current HPI
224.7809
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $110,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-4.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $29 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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