4741 Bob White Run · Stonecrest, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.0/30.0
- ARV discount +9.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$239,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Competitively priced 4-bedroom, 3-bathroom two-story home located in the desirable Chestnut Lake Community. The open main floor includes a private guest bedroom, a spacious living room, and a kitchen with a breakfast nook. The upstairs master suite features a generous bath and walk-in closet alongside three additional bedrooms and a conveniently placed laundry room. Secure one-car garage included. Flat and level backyard offers excellent space for entertaining and outdoor enjoyment. Community fishing lake on-site with Arabian Mountain biking and hiking trails, neighborhood parks, and Stone Crest Mall, all just minutes away. Priced to move, so schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Walk-in closet
- Spacious living room
- 6,534 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-57 ($-686/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $230k (4.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $200k (16.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $200k (16.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Dekalb County (suburban): math 19% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #125 of 174 in GA (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 320 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,240 units permitted in DeKalb County in 2024 (385 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- DeKalb County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($226k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.02%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $251,014
- List price
- $239,900
- Delta
- -4.43%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7012 Setters Way | 0.11mi | 4/3.5 | 1,586 (+1%) | 5mo | $194,000 | $122 | 85 |
| 7037 Mahonia Pl | 0.05mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,506 (-4%) | 3mo | $200,000 | $133 | 84 |
| 6901 Malvern Ct | 0.26mi | 4/3.0 | 1,624 (+3%) | 0mo | $245,000 | $151 | 80 |
| 4273 Chestnut Lake Ave | 0.37mi | 4/2.5 | 1,515 (-4%) | 0mo | $240,800 | $159 | 76 |
| 6684 Browns Mill Trl | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,635 (+4%) | 3mo | $245,000 | $150 | 74 |
| 6595 Browns Mill Ferry Dr | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,645 (+5%) | 6mo | $215,000 | $131 | 72 |
| 6716 Browns Mill Ferry Dr | 0.34mi | 4/3.0 | 1,524 (-3%) | 7mo | $251,000 | $165 | 72 |
| 7074 Ravenwood Ln | 0.29mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,508 (-4%) | 5mo | $240,000 | $159 | 70 |
| 7069 Ravenwood Ln | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,520 (-3%) | 5mo | $205,000 | $135 | 69 |
| 4237 Chestnut Lake Ave | 0.32mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,469 (-6%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $136 | 68 |
| 6731 Browns Mill Trl | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,398 (-11%) | 4mo | $223,700 | $160 | 61 |
| 6572 Chestnut Oaks Rdg | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,497 (-5%) | 6mo | $195,000 | $130 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-39,225
- Equity at exit
- $35,770
- IRR
- -5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-24,896
- Equity at exit
- $20,742
Cash invested: $67,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30038
- Home prices YoY
- -28.0%
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 320
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,001 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,258
- Tax from tax record
- −$259 /mo · $3,112/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$21
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$420
- Net cashflow
- $-57
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,975
- Closing costs
- $7,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 38 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6957 Mahonia Pl Lithonia, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1560 | $1,931 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 6940 Red Bone Way Lithonia, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1494 | $1,949 | $1.30 | 5d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 6989 Setters Way Lithonia, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1526 | $1,795 | $1.18 | 5d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 7020 Setters Way Lithonia, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1573 | $1,819 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 7093 Mahonia Pl Lithonia, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,895 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 7152 Ravenwood Ln Lithonia, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $1,915 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 6626 Browns Mill Ferry Dr Lithonia, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1382 | $1,820 | $1.32 | 3d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 6858 Mahonia Pl Lithonia, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1580 | $1,695 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 6857 Mahonia Pl Lithonia, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2192 | $1,795 | $0.82 | 43d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 4848 Browns Mill Ferry Rd Lithonia, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1836 | $2,195 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 7132 Bowie Dr Lithonia, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1571 | $1,904 | $1.21 | 12d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 4868 Browns Mill Ferry Rd Lithonia, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1606 | $1,927 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 6700 Browns Mill Ferry Dr Lithonia, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1587 | $1,765 | $1.11 | 5d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 7078 Bowie Dr Lithonia, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1571 | $1,781 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 6613 Chestnut Oaks Rdg Lithonia, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1438 | $1,985 | $1.38 | 5d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 6530 Lake Mill Ct Lithonia, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2233 | $1,640 | $0.73 | 12d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 6506 Chestnut Lake Xing Lithonia, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2014 | $2,060 | $1.02 | 4d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 6609 Carmen Ct Lithonia, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1633 | $1,200 | $0.73 | 17d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 6354 Klondike River Rd Lithonia, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1521 | $1,830 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 6625 Paula Ct Unit Labs Stonecrest, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1925 | $2,000 | $1.04 | 18d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 6274 Varnay Ct Stonecrest, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1427 | $1,915 | $1.34 | 15d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 6265 Leverett Dr Lithonia, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1378 | $1,595 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 4393 English Loop Lithonia, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1820 | $1,900 | $1.04 | 19d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 6295 Klondike River Rd Lithonia, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1742 | $1,930 | $1.11 | 5d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4651 Jackam Ridge Ct Lithonia, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1441 | $1,970 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 4436 Jackam Ridge Ct Lithonia, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1981 | $2,080 | $1.05 | 5d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 5014 River Overlook Way Lithonia, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2017 | $2,060 | $1.02 | 24d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 4675 Forest Creek Ln Lithonia, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1854 | $2,200 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 4584 Garden City Dr Lithonia, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1958 | $2,300 | $1.17 | 1d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 6950 Carleen Ct Lithonia, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1784 | $1,945 | $1.09 | 12d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 4636 Forest Creek Ln Lithonia, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1476 | $1,650 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 6467 Gina Agha Cir Lithonia, GA | 5.0 | 2.5 | 1939 | $2,159 | $1.11 | 22d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 6215 Klondike River Rd Lithonia, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2048 | $1,875 | $0.92 | 5d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 6269 Cathedral Ln Lithonia, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1328 | $1,725 | $1.30 | 12d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 4756 Golod Way Lithonia, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1578 | $1,820 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 4744 Golod Way Lithonia, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1584 | $1,695 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 4609 Post Ridge Ln Lithonia, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1527 | $1,855 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 4618 Idlewood Park Lithonia, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1684 | $1,795 | $1.07 | 20d | 1 | 1.39mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $21 · $252/yr
- Likely covers
- parking
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-03-25$239,900 New 679-char remark
Show marketing remark (679 chars)
Competitively priced 4-bedroom, 3-bathroom two-story home located in the desirable Chestnut Lake Community. The open main floor includes a private guest bedroom, a spacious living room, and a kitchen with a breakfast nook. The upstairs master suite features a generous bath and walk-in closet alongside three additional bedrooms and a conveniently placed laundry room. Secure one-car garage included. Flat and level backyard offers excellent space for entertaining and outdoor enjoyment. Community fishing lake on-site with Arabian Mountain biking and hiking trails, neighborhood parks, and Stone Crest Mall, all just minutes away. Priced to move, so schedule your showing today!
-
2026-03-25$239,900 Active 679-char remark
Show marketing remark (679 chars)
Competitively priced 4-bedroom, 3-bathroom two-story home located in the desirable Chestnut Lake Community. The open main floor includes a private guest bedroom, a spacious living room, and a kitchen with a breakfast nook. The upstairs master suite features a generous bath and walk-in closet alongside three additional bedrooms and a conveniently placed laundry room. Secure one-car garage included. Flat and level backyard offers excellent space for entertaining and outdoor enjoyment. Community fishing lake on-site with Arabian Mountain biking and hiking trails, neighborhood parks, and Stone Crest Mall, all just minutes away. Priced to move, so schedule your showing today!
-
2026-01-23price $263,000
-
2025-11-24price $268,000
-
2025-07-25$275,000 New
-
2022-03-01soldstatus $245,000
-
2022-02-25soldstatus $245,000 Closed
-
2022-02-24soldstatus $245,000 Sold
-
2022-01-10status Pending
-
2022-01-10status Under Contract
-
2021-12-31$235,900 Active
-
2021-12-31$235,900 New
-
2010-10-05price $61,900 Reduced
-
2010-09-25price $64,900 Reduced
-
2010-04-15price $45,900 Reduced
-
2006-12-29soldstatus $137,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,112 · $259/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,112 · $259/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,017
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,438
- − Property taxes
- −$3,112
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,921
- − Management
- −$1,921
- − HOA
- −$252
- − Depreciation
- −$6,979
- Taxable loss
- −$4,806
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,153
- After-tax cash flow
- $467/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dekalb County
- NCES district ID
- 1301740
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,448
- Composite
- 20.92/100
- National rank
- #8482
- State rank
- #125 of 174 in GA
Livability — Stonecrest
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Stonecrest, GA
- County
- Dekalb County · 782,738 people
- City population
- 106,165
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,776
- Household income
- $73,694
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1168.0
Population outlook (DeKalb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 839,977 people
- By 2030
- 891,768 · +6.2%
- By 2040
- 988,894 · +17.7%
- By 2050
- 1,074,583 · +27.9%
- By 2075
- 1,245,026 · +48.2%
- By 2100
- 1,303,135 · +55.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 84% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 5% White 4% Asian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 0%
Political lean MEDSL · DeKalb
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 81.9% · R 17.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.1pp toward D · 2008: 58.6pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+67.4 2016: D+64.8 2012: D+56.8 2008: D+58.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.98%
- Current HPI
- 192.8328
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.60%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
+75.1% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-25 Listed $239,900 FMLS
- 2026-03-25 Listed $239,900 GAMLS
- 2026-01-23 Price Changed $263,000 GAMLS
- 2025-11-24 Price Changed $268,000 GAMLS
- 2025-07-25 Listed $275,000 GAMLS
- 2022-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $245,000 Public Records
- 2022-02-25 Sold (MLS) $245,000 FMLS
- 2022-02-24 Sold (MLS) $245,000 GAMLS
- 2022-01-10 Pending — FMLS
- 2022-01-10 Pending — GAMLS
- 2021-12-31 Listed $235,900 GAMLS
- 2021-12-31 Listed $235,900 FMLS
- 2010-10-05 Price Changed $61,900 GAMLS
- 2010-09-25 Price Changed $64,900 GAMLS
- 2010-04-15 Price Changed $45,900 GAMLS
- 2006-12-29 Sold (Public Records) $137,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,112 · -37.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…