4436 Malibu Dr · Redan, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 24.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +10.8/15.0
- Cash flow +7.6/30.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- DSCR +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$260,150
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great potentials in this brick and frame house located in the Heatherwood North Subdivision of DeKalb County. An opportunity waiting for the smart investor. Four bedroom, 2 bath home with a basement. This property is sold as is, all cash. No seller disclosures available. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property. First Look Initiative thru 11/14/12.
Key facts
- Thoughtful layout
- Outdoor retreat
- Residential setting
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-307 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $206k (20.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (25.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $195k (25.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#274 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Dekalb County (suburban): math 19% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #125 of 174 in GA (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 180 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,240 units permitted in DeKalb County in 2024 (385 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- DeKalb County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $128k; list at $260k implies a 103% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.06%
- DSCR
- 0.77
- GRM
- 11.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $280,495
- List price
- $260,150
- Delta
- -8.02%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1513 Spruce Ridge Way | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 2,266 (-2%) | 1mo | $235,000 | $104 | 71 |
| 4541 Mercer Rd | 0.25mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,024 (-13%) | 2mo | $295,500 | $146 | 60 |
| 4594 Bexley Dr | 0.73mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,381 (+2%) | 2mo | $249,900 | $105 | 54 |
| 4641 Wendover Dr | 0.52mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,130 (-8%) | 5mo | $242,500 | $114 | 53 |
| 4670 Wendover Dr | 0.62mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,193 (-6%) | 3mo | $270,000 | $123 | 52 |
| 1215 Sharonton Dr | 0.69mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,410 (+4%) | 5mo | $257,800 | $107 | 52 |
| 1586 Elm Ridge Way | 0.53mi | 3/3.0 | 2,531 (+9%) | 8mo | $370,000 | $146 | 51 |
| 4105 Cedar Ridge Trl | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,385 (+3%) | 8mo | $250,000 | $105 | 50 |
| 1714 Highland Pl | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 2,046 (-12%) | 10mo | $395,900 | $193 | 46 |
| 4197 Carrollwood Dr | 0.74mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,150 (-7%) | 8mo | $280,000 | $130 | 41 |
| 4665 Big Valley Rd | 0.75mi | 3/2.5 | 2,047 (-12%) | 8mo | $218,000 | $106 | 38 |
| 1214 Mannbrook Dr | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,040 (-12%) | 5mo | $208,000 | $102 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.87% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -27.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.10×
- Total profit
- $-65,754
- Equity at exit
- $38,789
- IRR
- -35.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.35×
- Total profit
- $-98,296
- Equity at exit
- $22,493
Cash invested: $72,842 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30035
- Home prices YoY
- -33.8%
- Rents YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 180
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,950 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,364
- Tax from tax record
- −$375 /mo · $4,497/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$409
- Net cashflow
- $-307
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-160 | -5% $-234 | +0% $-307 | +5% $-381 | +10% $-454 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-461 | -5% $-384 | +0% $-307 | +5% $-230 | +10% $-153 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-176 | -0.5pp $-241 | base $-307 | +0.5pp $-375 | +1.0pp $-443 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $65,038
- Closing costs
- $7,804
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1563 Pine Glen Cir Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1608 | $1,695 | $1.05 | 5d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1406 High Meadow Dr Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1621 | $900 | $0.56 | 22d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1406 High Meadow Dr Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1621 | $1,625 | $1.00 | 13d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 4336 Glenhaven Dr Decatur, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2100 | $2,500 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 4169 Cedar Ridge Trl Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1591 | $1,870 | $1.18 | 5d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 4073 Cedar Ridge Trl Stone Mountain, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2100 | $1,761 | $0.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1206 To Lani Farm Rd Stone Mountain, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2760 | $2,300 | $0.83 | 0d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1600 Devon Ct Stone Mountain, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2100 | $2,145 | $1.02 | 25d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1576 Canberra Dr Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $1,900 | $1.03 | 3d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1576 Canberra Dr Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $1,000 | $0.54 | 4d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1127 Cherokee Hts Stone Mountain, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2184 | $1,831 | $0.84 | 13d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1102 Cherokee Hts Stone Mountain, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1867 | $2,140 | $1.15 | 12d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 4852 Lost Colony Ct Stone Mountain, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1694 | $1,775 | $1.05 | 25d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1922 Manhattan Pkwy Decatur, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1814 | $2,000 | $1.10 | 5d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1859 Broadway St Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1620 | $2,200 | $1.36 | 4d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2014 Manhattan Pkwy Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1620 | $1,956 | $1.21 | 5d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 4939 Clubgreen Smt Stone Mountain, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2156 | $2,139 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 887 Ellis Rd Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1778 | $1,923 | $1.08 | 25d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1023 Privy Ln Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1701 | $2,700 | $1.59 | 5d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1338 Mill Lake Cir Stone Mountain, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1844 | $1,900 | $1.03 | 2d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $260,150 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $260,150 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $260,150 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $260,150 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $260,150 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $260,150 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $260,150 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricestatusdays on market $260,150 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-04historical
-
2025-07-22price $258,000
-
2025-05-23price $270,000
-
2024-12-31$278,000 New
-
2022-11-30historical
-
2020-02-18soldstatus $128,000
-
2013-11-15price $23,500 353-char remark
Show marketing remark (353 chars)
Great potentials in this brick and frame house located in the Heatherwood North Subdivision of DeKalb County. An opportunity waiting for the smart investor. Four bedroom, 2 bath home with a basement. This property is sold as is, all cash. No seller disclosures available. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property. First Look Initiative thru 11/14/12.
-
2012-12-21soldstatus $36,600 Sold 353-char remark
Show marketing remark (353 chars)
Great potentials in this brick and frame house located in the Heatherwood North Subdivision of DeKalb County. An opportunity waiting for the smart investor. Four bedroom, 2 bath home with a basement. This property is sold as is, all cash. No seller disclosures available. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property. First Look Initiative thru 11/14/12.
-
2012-12-19historical 353-char remark
Show marketing remark (353 chars)
Great potentials in this brick and frame house located in the Heatherwood North Subdivision of DeKalb County. An opportunity waiting for the smart investor. Four bedroom, 2 bath home with a basement. This property is sold as is, all cash. No seller disclosures available. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property. First Look Initiative thru 11/14/12.
-
2012-12-07price $36,600 353-char remark
Show marketing remark (353 chars)
Great potentials in this brick and frame house located in the Heatherwood North Subdivision of DeKalb County. An opportunity waiting for the smart investor. Four bedroom, 2 bath home with a basement. This property is sold as is, all cash. No seller disclosures available. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property. First Look Initiative thru 11/14/12.
-
2012-11-08$23,500 New 353-char remark
Show marketing remark (353 chars)
Great potentials in this brick and frame house located in the Heatherwood North Subdivision of DeKalb County. An opportunity waiting for the smart investor. Four bedroom, 2 bath home with a basement. This property is sold as is, all cash. No seller disclosures available. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property. First Look Initiative thru 11/14/12.
-
1998-02-18soldstatus $69,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,497 · $375/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,497 · $375/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,395
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,572
- − Property taxes
- −$4,497
- − Insurance
- −$1,301
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,872
- − Management
- −$1,872
- − Depreciation
- −$7,568
- Taxable loss
- −$8,286
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,989
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,698/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dekalb County
- NCES district ID
- 1301740
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,448
- Composite
- 20.92/100
- National rank
- #8482
- State rank
- #125 of 174 in GA
Livability — Redan
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #274
- US rank
- #14766
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Dekalb County · 782,738 people
- City population
- 29,279
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,569
- Household income
- $66,799
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1304.0
Population outlook (DeKalb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 839,977 people
- By 2030
- 891,768 · +6.2%
- By 2040
- 988,894 · +17.7%
- By 2050
- 1,074,583 · +27.9%
- By 2075
- 1,245,026 · +48.2%
- By 2100
- 1,303,135 · +55.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 91% White 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Swiss 0%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · DeKalb
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 81.9% · R 17.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.1pp toward D · 2008: 58.6pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+67.4 2016: D+64.8 2012: D+56.8 2008: D+58.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -111.60%
- Current HPI
- 218.8323
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.87%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+271.2% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-07-22 Price Changed $258,000 GAMLS
- 2025-05-23 Price Changed $270,000 GAMLS
- 2024-12-31 Listed $278,000 GAMLS
- 2022-11-30 Rental Removed — FMLS
- 2020-02-18 Sold (Public Records) $128,000 Public Records
- 2013-11-15 Price Changed $23,500 GAMLS
- 2012-12-21 Sold (MLS) $36,600 GAMLS
- 2012-12-19 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2012-12-07 Price Changed $36,600 GAMLS
- 2012-11-08 Listed $23,500 GAMLS
- 1998-02-18 Sold (Public Records) $69,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $4,497 · -13.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…