928 Kirkpatrick St N · Syracuse, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.5/30.0
- ARV discount +14.8/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
New home for the new year! This charming gem has been well maintained and is waiting for you. One floor living awaits in this 3 bedroom home with a dine in kitchen and formal dining room. Plenty of room for entertaining and family gatherings. Many updates have been done for you including new carpet, furnace as well as some of the roof.
Key facts
- 3,615 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1890
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $341 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
- Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 73% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $52k; list at $145k implies a 177% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.07%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $173,040
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 928 Kirkpatrick St N | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,236 (0%) | 0mo | $145,000 | $117 | 100 |
| 121 Englert Ave | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,300 (+5%) | 4mo | $200,000 | $154 | 68 |
| 143 Huntley St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,218 (-2%) | 2mo | $97,000 | $80 | 63 |
| 1108 Wadsworth St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,168 (-6%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $141 | 59 |
| 232 Malverne Dr | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 1,142 (-8%) | 1mo | $224,900 | $197 | 57 |
| 1212 Spring St | 0.38mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,115 (-10%) | 4mo | $71,000 | $64 | 56 |
| 231 Grumbach Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (-7%) | 0mo | $75,000 | $65 | 54 |
| 158 Darlington Rd | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,329 (+8%) | 2mo | $186,000 | $140 | 52 |
| 164 Berkshire Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,073 (-13%) | 2mo | $116,900 | $109 | 52 |
| 211 Merrill St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,125 (-9%) | 3mo | $180,000 | $160 | 47 |
| 307 Malverne Dr | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,056 (-15%) | 4mo | $170,000 | $161 | 40 |
| 1615 Spring St | 0.69mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,392 (+13%) | 4mo | $66,000 | $47 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.48×
- Total profit
- $100,627
- Equity at exit
- $130,627
- IRR
- 27.3%
- Equity multiple
- 7.88×
- Total profit
- $279,203
- Equity at exit
- $281,703
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13208
- Home prices YoY
- 8.4%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,578 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$85 /mo · $1,021/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$331
- Net cashflow
- $341
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 286 Ross Park Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 912 Park St Unit 1 Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1132 Wolf St Unit 4 Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1041 | $1,350 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1140 Wolf St Apt 3 Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 126 Woodruff Ave Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,675 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1507 N Salina St Unit 3 Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1030 | $1,350 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 610 E Division St Unit F2 Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 807-13 N Salina St Unit 809A Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,325 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 746 E Laurel St Unit 2F Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 746 E Laurel St Unit 1 Syracuse, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,500 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 205 Beecher St Unit 3 Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 815 | $1,100 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 721 N Clinton St Unit 105 Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,475 | $1.48 | 43d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 721 N Clinton St Unit 213 Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 43d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 210 W Division St Unit 24 Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,850 | $1.54 | 21d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 210 W Division St Unit 87 Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,750 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 423 Wendell Ter Syracuse, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1312 | $2,500 | $1.91 | 13d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 517 N Salina St Unit 4 Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,050 | $1.50 | 13d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 373 Spencer St Unit 303 Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1085 | $1,850 | $1.71 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 416 Pearl St Unit 2 Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,400 | $2.67 | 13d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 212 Dorchester Ave Syracuse, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $1,420 | $2.22 | 13d | 15 | 1.30mi |
| 106 Harrington St Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1168 | $1,875 | $1.61 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 100 Buckley Rd Liverpool, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 985 | $3,850 | $3.91 | 13d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 205A Hawley Ave Unit 213C Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1350 | $1,650 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 205A Hawley Ave Unit 211C Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1350 | $1,675 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1618 James St #3 Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $2,200 | $1.91 | 13d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 200 Catherine St Apt 5 Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,550 | $1.82 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-04-28status Pending
-
2026-04-23$145,000 Active
-
2019-03-04soldstatus $52,400
-
2019-03-01soldstatus $52,400 Closed Sale or Rented 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
New home for the new year! This charming gem has been well maintained and is waiting for you. One floor living awaits in this 3 bedroom home with a dine in kitchen and formal dining room. Plenty of room for entertaining and family gatherings. Many updates have been done for you including new carpet, furnace as well as some of the roof.
-
2018-12-04status Pending Sale 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
New home for the new year! This charming gem has been well maintained and is waiting for you. One floor living awaits in this 3 bedroom home with a dine in kitchen and formal dining room. Plenty of room for entertaining and family gatherings. Many updates have been done for you including new carpet, furnace as well as some of the roof.
-
2018-11-28historical Continue to Show- Under Contract 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
New home for the new year! This charming gem has been well maintained and is waiting for you. One floor living awaits in this 3 bedroom home with a dine in kitchen and formal dining room. Plenty of room for entertaining and family gatherings. Many updates have been done for you including new carpet, furnace as well as some of the roof.
-
2018-11-26status Active 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
New home for the new year! This charming gem has been well maintained and is waiting for you. One floor living awaits in this 3 bedroom home with a dine in kitchen and formal dining room. Plenty of room for entertaining and family gatherings. Many updates have been done for you including new carpet, furnace as well as some of the roof.
-
2018-11-21historical Continue to Show- Under Contract 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
New home for the new year! This charming gem has been well maintained and is waiting for you. One floor living awaits in this 3 bedroom home with a dine in kitchen and formal dining room. Plenty of room for entertaining and family gatherings. Many updates have been done for you including new carpet, furnace as well as some of the roof.
-
2018-11-15$54,900 Active 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
New home for the new year! This charming gem has been well maintained and is waiting for you. One floor living awaits in this 3 bedroom home with a dine in kitchen and formal dining room. Plenty of room for entertaining and family gatherings. Many updates have been done for you including new carpet, furnace as well as some of the roof.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,021 · $85/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,736 · $145/mo
- Expected delta
- +$715/yr (+$60/mo · 70.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,934
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$1,021
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,515
- − Management
- −$1,515
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable income
- $1,818
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$436
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,651/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Syracuse City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3628590
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,097
- Composite
- 17.83/100
- National rank
- #9007
- State rank
- #590 of 590 in NY
Livability — Syracuse
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #187
- US rank
- #2869
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Syracuse, NY
- County
- Onondaga County · 247,257 people
- City population
- 152,627
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,993
- Household income
- $44,712
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1437.0
Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 467,894 people
- By 2030
- 463,381 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 447,697 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 426,399 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 373,661 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 307,967 · -34.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Black 24% Asian 14% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Swedish 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Vietnam, Philippines, Canada
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 5% Vietnamese 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 30.91%
- Current HPI
- 399.3284
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+164.1% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-04-23 Listed $145,000 CNYIS
- 2019-03-04 Sold (Public Records) $52,400 Public Records
- 2019-03-01 Sold (MLS) $52,400 CNYIS
- 2018-12-04 Pending — CNYIS
- 2018-11-28 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2018-11-26 Relisted — CNYIS
- 2018-11-21 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2018-11-15 Listed $54,900 CNYIS
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,021 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…