300 NE Tomahawk Island Dr Unit E10 · Portland, OR
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 19 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Cash flow +4.2/30.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$325,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Experience waterfront living in this beautifully designed floating home featuring 3 spacious bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and stunning views throughout. Thoughtful layout includes a main-level deck and an upper-level deck—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The primary suite opens directly to the upper deck and includes a private ensuite bathroom. Enjoy vaulted ceilings and a cozy wood-burning fireplace on the upper floor, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. A rare opportunity to own a spacious, well-laid-out floating home with unbeatable charm and views! Seller is willing to do an owner carry. Please inquire for details.
Key facts
- Primary suite
- Vaulted ceilings
- Main-level deck
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $325k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-16k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $135k (58.5% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $325k).
- Recommended offer: $135k (58.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 3.0% vs local median 2.3% in Portland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#72 in OR, #3,256 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Portland SD 1J (urban): math 46% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #23 of 183 in OR (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Faubion Elementary School (610 students, 73% FRL); Da Vinci Middle School (434 students, 34% FRL); Benson Polytechnic High School (824 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 57% FRL vs 37% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 352 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 42d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 59% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 2,041 units permitted in Multnomah County in 2024 (905 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($131k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Multnomah County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 345 days — a 12% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 40% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 345 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 58% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 3.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- -11.69%
- DSCR
- 0.48
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $412,345
- List price
- $325,000
- Delta
- -21.18%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 535 NE Bridgeton Rd #2 | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,852 (+7%) | 1mo | $260,000 | $140 | 77 |
| 531 NE Meadow Dr | 0.57mi | 3/3.0 | 1,698 (-2%) | 1mo | $550,000 | $324 | 66 |
| 500 N Tomahawk Island Dr | 0.62mi | 3/3.0 | 1,720 (-0%) | 2mo | $745,000 | $433 | 65 |
| 1006 NE Mariners Loop | 0.42mi | 3/3.0 | 1,866 (+8%) | 1mo | $480,000 | $257 | 62 |
| 380 N Tomahawk Island Dr | 0.44mi | 3/3.0 | 1,800 (+4%) | 10mo | $540,000 | $300 | 60 |
| 647 NE Meadow Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,686 (-2%) | 10mo | $570,000 | $338 | 60 |
| 11638 N Island Cove Ln | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,648 (-5%) | 4mo | $275,000 | $167 | 53 |
| 639 NE Meadow Dr | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,653 (-4%) | 12mo | $515,500 | $312 | 50 |
| 160 N Tomahawk Island Dr | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,851 (+7%) | 23mo | $425,000 | $230 | 48 |
| 531 N Bridgeton Rd Unit 4A | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,952 (+13%) | 24mo | $555,000 | $284 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.36% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -57.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.58×
- Total profit
- $-144,175
- Equity at exit
- $48,459
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- -1.90×
- Total profit
- $-263,663
- Equity at exit
- $28,100
Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Portland
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+39
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 14 active · 4 under contract
- Months of supply
- 14.0 mo (7%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $479,450 ($284/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 120 d
- This list price
- 14% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -16.0% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 97035
- Rents YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 352
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,493 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,704
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$406 /mo · $4,875/yr
- Insurance
- −$135
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$1,400
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$733
- Net cashflow
- $-1,313
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-1,089 | -5% $-1,201 | +0% $-1,313 | +5% $-1,426 | +10% $-1,538 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,589 | -5% $-1,451 | +0% $-1,313 | +5% $-1,175 | +10% $-1,037 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-1,150 | -0.5pp $-1,231 | base $-1,313 | +0.5pp $-1,398 | +1.0pp $-1,483 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $81,250
- Closing costs
- $9,750
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11505 NE Yacht Harbor Dr Portland, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 2322 | $6,461 | $2.78 | 9d | 11 | 0.12mi |
| 10722 NE 5th Ave Portland, OR | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1611 | $2,495 | $1.55 | 65d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 112 NE Bridgeton Rd Portland, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2200 | $4,700 | $2.14 | 93d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 110 N Tomahawk Island Dr Portland, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 994 | $2,586 | $2.60 | 13d | 27 | 0.36mi |
| Bridgeton Portland, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,895 | $2.32 | 16d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 540 N Hayden Bay Dr Portland, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1816 | $3,095 | $1.70 | 52d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 910 N Harbour Dr Portland, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1038 | $1,949 | $1.88 | 9d | 5 | 0.76mi |
| 995 N Marine Dr Portland, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1062 | $1,938 | $1.82 | 9d | 9 | 0.77mi |
| 1034 NE Lija Loop Unit 10474-1022 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1094 | $1,795 | $1.64 | 41d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1712 SE Halyard Ln Vancouver, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $2,695 | $2.00 | 34d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1421 SE Columbia Way Vancouver, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1700 | $3,300 | $1.94 | 67d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 520 SE Columbia River Dr #420 Vancouver, WA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1350 | $2,495 | $1.85 | 71d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 520 SE Columbia River Dr Vancouver, WA | 2.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1207 | $2,395 | $1.98 | 67d | 2 | 0.94mi |
| 1245 N Anchor Way Portland, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 822 | $1,850 | $2.25 | 9d | 9 | 0.95mi |
| 1830 SE Cutter Ln Vancouver, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $2,400 | $1.60 | 42d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1712 SE Cutter Ln Vancouver, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1336 | $2,195 | $1.64 | 13d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1747 N Jantzen Ave Portland, OR | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2000 | $3,100 | $1.55 | 93d | 1 | 1.41mi |
HOA detail $1,400/mo · $16,800/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-13days on market $325,000 Active 345 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $325,000 Active 341 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $325,000 Active 340 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $325,000 Active 339 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $325,000 Active 335 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $325,000 Active 334 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $325,000 Active 333 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $325,000 Active 332 DOM
-
2026-04-20price $325,000 636-char remark
Show marketing remark (636 chars)
Experience waterfront living in this beautifully designed floating home featuring 3 spacious bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and stunning views throughout. Thoughtful layout includes a main-level deck and an upper-level deck—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The primary suite opens directly to the upper deck and includes a private ensuite bathroom. Enjoy vaulted ceilings and a cozy wood-burning fireplace on the upper floor, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. A rare opportunity to own a spacious, well-laid-out floating home with unbeatable charm and views! Seller is willing to do an owner carry. Please inquire for details.
-
2026-02-19price $339,000 636-char remark
Show marketing remark (636 chars)
Experience waterfront living in this beautifully designed floating home featuring 3 spacious bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and stunning views throughout. Thoughtful layout includes a main-level deck and an upper-level deck—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The primary suite opens directly to the upper deck and includes a private ensuite bathroom. Enjoy vaulted ceilings and a cozy wood-burning fireplace on the upper floor, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. A rare opportunity to own a spacious, well-laid-out floating home with unbeatable charm and views! Seller is willing to do an owner carry. Please inquire for details.
-
2025-09-10price $344,000 636-char remark
Show marketing remark (636 chars)
Experience waterfront living in this beautifully designed floating home featuring 3 spacious bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and stunning views throughout. Thoughtful layout includes a main-level deck and an upper-level deck—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The primary suite opens directly to the upper deck and includes a private ensuite bathroom. Enjoy vaulted ceilings and a cozy wood-burning fireplace on the upper floor, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. A rare opportunity to own a spacious, well-laid-out floating home with unbeatable charm and views! Seller is willing to do an owner carry. Please inquire for details.
-
2025-07-24price $354,000 636-char remark
Show marketing remark (636 chars)
Experience waterfront living in this beautifully designed floating home featuring 3 spacious bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and stunning views throughout. Thoughtful layout includes a main-level deck and an upper-level deck—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The primary suite opens directly to the upper deck and includes a private ensuite bathroom. Enjoy vaulted ceilings and a cozy wood-burning fireplace on the upper floor, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. A rare opportunity to own a spacious, well-laid-out floating home with unbeatable charm and views! Seller is willing to do an owner carry. Please inquire for details.
-
2025-07-03$369,000 Active 636-char remark
Show marketing remark (636 chars)
Experience waterfront living in this beautifully designed floating home featuring 3 spacious bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and stunning views throughout. Thoughtful layout includes a main-level deck and an upper-level deck—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The primary suite opens directly to the upper deck and includes a private ensuite bathroom. Enjoy vaulted ceilings and a cozy wood-burning fireplace on the upper floor, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. A rare opportunity to own a spacious, well-laid-out floating home with unbeatable charm and views! Seller is willing to do an owner carry. Please inquire for details.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 100% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥92°F today · 11 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 19 unhealthy d/yr today · 20 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $41,912
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,205
- − Property taxes
- −$4,875
- − Insurance
- −$6,744
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,353
- − Management
- −$3,353
- − HOA
- −$16,800
- − Depreciation
- −$9,455
- Taxable loss
- −$20,872
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,009
- After-tax cash flow
- $-10,751/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
A well-maintained floating home with good condition and a good ROI potential for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Clean windows — Improves natural light and view ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Portland SD 1J
- NCES district ID
- 4110040
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,851
- Composite
- 47.1/100
- National rank
- #5112
- State rank
- #23 of 183 in OR
Livability — Portland
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #72
- US rank
- #3256
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Portland, OR
- County
- Clackamas County · 930,825 people
- City population
- 774,334
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,911
- Household income
- $130,603
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7% of renters
Population outlook (Multnomah County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 930,825 people
- By 2030
- 996,904 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 1,121,379 · +20.5%
- By 2050
- 1,242,124 · +33.4%
- By 2075
- 1,464,431 · +57.3%
- By 2100
- 1,576,181 · +69.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Asian 12% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Chinese 3% Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Multnomah
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+62.1) · D 79.3% · R 17.2% · Other 3.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.0pp toward D · 2008: 56.1pp · 2024: 62.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+62.1 2020: D+61.3 2016: D+58.3 2012: D+54.9 2008: D+56.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -511.92%
- Current HPI
- 304.7663
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.36%
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
-11.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $325,000 RMLS
- 2026-02-19 Price Changed $339,000 RMLS
- 2025-09-10 Price Changed $344,000 RMLS
- 2025-07-24 Price Changed $354,000 RMLS
- 2025-07-03 Listed $369,000 RMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…