103 Ray St · North Little Rock, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 9.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$88,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Opportunity awaits with this investor special. This property is ready for a full refresh and offers potential for buyers willing to take on a renovation project. Large Living Room, Includes 2 Bedrooms with one being a Large Primary Bedroom, dining room and more on a corner lot! Improvements are needed throughout the interior and exterior. Great rental opportunity. Property to be sold as-is.
Key facts
- 0.39 acre lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1950
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $88k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-132 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $65k (26.4% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $88k).
- Recommended offer: $65k (26.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 5.0% in North Little Rock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#24 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment D-.
- N. Little Rock School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #191 of 238 in AR (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Amboy Elementary School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #398 of 454 statewide, top 89%, 482 students, 100% FRL); Lakewood Middle School (math 23% / reading 32%, grade F, #155 of 201 statewide, top 77%, 1,115 students, 100% FRL); North Little Rock High School (math 12% / reading 26%, grade F, #248 of 292 statewide, top 86%, 1,949 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 66% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 106 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $612 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.25%
- DSCR
- 1.63
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $112,018
- List price
- $88,500
- Delta
- -20.99%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 319 Wilson St | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,336 (-1%) | 5mo | $125,000 | $94 | 72 |
| 407 Rock St | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 | 1,236 (-8%) | 6mo | $45,000 | $36 | 71 |
| 1913 Buffalo Trl | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,275 (-6%) | 1mo | $90,000 | $71 | 69 |
| 145 Ray St | 0.03mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,160 (-14%) | 2mo | $83,100 | $72 | 68 |
| 13 Theresa Dr | 0.43mi | 2/2.0 | 1,427 (+6%) | 0mo | $80,000 | $56 | 66 |
| 808 Shamrock Dr | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,300 (-4%) | 2mo | $145,000 | $112 | 59 |
| 5601 Sonora | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,196 (-11%) | 7mo | $130,000 | $109 | 54 |
| 1304 W 55th St | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,287 (-5%) | 5mo | $99,090 | $77 | 54 |
| 1313 Cody Pl | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,255 (-7%) | 3mo | $159,000 | $127 | 52 |
| 106 Kansas Ave | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,526 (+13%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $115 | 47 |
| 119 Utah St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,487 (+10%) | 6mo | $168,000 | $113 | 45 |
| 5431 Chauvin Dr | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,540 (+14%) | 0mo | $96,000 | $62 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.47% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.20×
- Total profit
- $-19,791
- Equity at exit
- $13,196
- IRR
- -8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-15,319
- Equity at exit
- $7,652
Cash invested: $24,780 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72118
- Home prices YoY
- -17.9%
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 106
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,071 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$464
- Tax from tax record
- −$51 /mo · $611/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$225
- Net cashflow
- $-132
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-82 | -5% $-107 | +0% $-132 | +5% $-157 | +10% $-182 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-217 | -5% $-175 | +0% $-132 | +5% $-90 | +10% $-48 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-88 | -0.5pp $-110 | base $-132 | +0.5pp $-155 | +1.0pp $-178 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,125
- Closing costs
- $2,655
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 407 Rock St North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1236 | $1,395 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 426 Sierra Madre Dr North Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 16d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 2214 Coors Dr North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $1,050 | $0.96 | 25d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 5708 Sonora Dr North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 25d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 2508 W 58th St North Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $825 | $0.79 | 45d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 4907 Augusta Cir North Little Rock, AR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 747 | $835 | $1.12 | 16d | 12 | 0.43mi |
| 1707 Arrowhead Rd North Little Rock, AR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 656 | $865 | $1.32 | 16d | 15 | 0.45mi |
| 10 Theresa Dr North Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1013 | $1,999 | $1.97 | 45d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 5705 Sorenson St Unit B North Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $700 | $0.67 | 16d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 5709 Sorenson St Unit A North Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $725 | $0.76 | 25d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 5709 Sorenson St Unit A North Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $725 | $0.76 | 16d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 5712 Sorenson St North Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1116 | $775 | $0.69 | 23d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 4926 Francis St Unit B North Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $700 | $0.78 | 25d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 4423 West Dr North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1322 | $1,400 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 119 Texas Ave North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1550 | $1,425 | $0.92 | 45d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 5218 Nelbrook Dr North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 954 | $1,080 | $1.13 | 25d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 5219 Pike Ave North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1189 | $1,195 | $1.01 | 25d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 5423 Pike Ave North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $1,100 | $0.85 | 25d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 5804 Foxboro Dr North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1071 | $1,200 | $1.12 | 25d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 11 Sweet Rose Ln North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,150 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 5 Foxboro Ct North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $1,350 | $1.06 | 45d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 5 Sweet Rose Ln North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 960 | $1,150 | $1.20 | 25d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 711 W 54th St North Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 936 | $925 | $0.99 | 45d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 4116 Moss St North Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1139 | $850 | $0.75 | 25d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 6609 Fitts Rd North Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $700 | $0.54 | 45d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4912 Gum St North Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 888 | $875 | $0.99 | 25d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 5612 Crescent Dr North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1275 | $1,150 | $0.90 | 21d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 407 W 51st St North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $1,300 | $0.95 | 45d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 405 Paula Dr North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $1,095 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 109 Farmere Cir North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1051 | $1,190 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1009 W Scenic Dr North Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,100 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 4017 Mellene Dr North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1094 | $1,150 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 605 W Scenic Dr North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,050 | $1.01 | 45d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 801 W Scenic Dr North Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1000 | $995 | $0.99 | 16d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 5413 N Main St North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1107 | $1,075 | $0.97 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 58 Somerset Dr North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $1,150 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 4000 Emerson Dr North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1046 | $1,195 | $1.14 | 21d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 3423 Chandler St Unit B North Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 928 | $725 | $0.78 | 45d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 5 Oakview Dr North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $995 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 3619 Sycamore St Unit B North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $975 | $0.80 | 16d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $88,500 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $88,500 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $88,500 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $88,500 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $88,500 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $88,500 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $88,500 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $88,500 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $88,500 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $88,500 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $88,500 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $88,500 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $88,500 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $88,500 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $88,500 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $88,500 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $88,500 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-03-20$88,500 New Listing 393-char remark
Show marketing remark (393 chars)
Opportunity awaits with this investor special. This property is ready for a full refresh and offers potential for buyers willing to take on a renovation project. Large Living Room, Includes 2 Bedrooms with one being a Large Primary Bedroom, dining room and more on a corner lot! Improvements are needed throughout the interior and exterior. Great rental opportunity. Property to be sold as-is.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $611 · $51/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $611 · $51/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AE · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,854
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,957
- − Property taxes
- −$611
- − Insurance
- −$5,561
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,028
- − Management
- −$1,028
- − Depreciation
- −$2,575
- Taxable loss
- −$2,906
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$698
- After-tax cash flow
- $-889/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- N. Little Rock School District
- NCES district ID
- 0510680
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,325
- Composite
- 19.69/100
- National rank
- #8728
- State rank
- #191 of 238 in AR
Livability — North Little Rock
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #24
- US rank
- #5452
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Little Rock, AR
- County
- Pulaski County · 372,764 people
- City population
- 55,470
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,913
- Household income
- $49,559
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1149.0
Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,378 people
- By 2030
- 423,720 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 435,182 · +4.8%
- By 2050
- 440,904 · +6.1%
- By 2075
- 445,521 · +7.3%
- By 2100
- 419,173 · +0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 42% White 42% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 10%
Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -39.32%
- Current HPI
- 180.6901
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.47%
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-20 Listed $88,500 CARMLS
Property tax history
-1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $611 · +14.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…