5609 Newcastle Ct #5421 · Ave Maria, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.1/30.0
- ARV discount +11.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +6.0/10.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- Appreciation +4.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
$319,998
5609 Newcastle Ct #5421 · Ave Maria, FL 34142
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,110 sqft · Condo
· 64 Days on market
Built 2026
2-car garage
$152/sqft
· 8% below area
Est $347k · 8% under
$595/mo HOA · 12% of rent
↓ 3% since listing
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged, AI generated or rendered. THIS COACH HOME IS READY FOR YOU NOW!! This attached home is the largest plan in the collection. A two-car garage sits on the first floor, while upstairs is an open concept living space with sliding doors to the outdoor entertainment area. Also on the top floor are all three bedrooms, including the owner’s suite with a spa-inspired bathroom. Welcome to paradise—where you’ll find championship golf, top-tier resort amenities and endless opportunities to play, relax and connect. Set in stunning Ave Maria, this gated community is thoughtfully designed for your next best chapter.
Key facts
- $595 HOA
- 2 garage spots
- Community pool
Neighborhood map
Sold within
Property
Rental comp
Retail
Costco
Walmart
Transit
Schools
Stadiums
Fortune 500
· Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $320k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $320k).
- Recommended offer: $301k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 4.2% in Ave Maria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade A — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Estates Elementary School (math 70% / reading 67%, grade B+, #409 of 2,144 statewide, top 20%, 862 students, 53% FRL); Corkscrew Middle School (math 68% / reading 59%, grade B+, #109 of 571 statewide, top 19%, 958 students, 43% FRL); Palmetto Ridge High School (math 43% / reading 51%, grade D-, #207 of 667 statewide, top 32%, 2,347 students, 38% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 545 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 71d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 98% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,823/mo this rent would consume 93% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.1%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-1.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $90k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($301k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer
$300,798
(6.0% below list)
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.44%
- DSCR
- 1.60
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $346,587
- List price
- $319,998
- Delta
- -7.67%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5609 Newcastle Ct #5422 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 2,110 (0%) | 1mo | $315,000 | $149 | 100 |
| 5616 Newcastle Ct #5321 | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 2,110 (0%) | 1mo | $315,000 | $149 | 97 |
| 5615 Newcastle Ct #5212 | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 1,741 (-18%) | 1mo | $284,997 | $164 | 73 |
| 5604 Newcastle Ct #5711 | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,741 (-18%) | 0mo | $299,000 | $172 | 73 |
| 5050 Trevi Ave | 1.06mi | 3/2.5 | 2,104 (-0%) | 0mo | $478,000 | $227 | 62 |
| 5174 Julienne Rd | 0.24mi | 3/2.5 | 1,726 (-18%) | 0mo | $405,000 | $235 | 62 |
| 5972 Gala Dr | 1.12mi | 3/2.5 | 2,081 (-1%) | 0mo | $625,000 | $300 | 60 |
| 6244 Harmony Dr | 1.35mi | 3/2.0 | 2,054 (-3%) | 1mo | $500,000 | $243 | 60 |
| 5032 Frattina St | 0.50mi | 3/2.5 | 1,671 (-21%) | 0mo | $510,000 | $305 | 50 |
| 5469 Pikewood Ct | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,850 (-12%) | 1mo | $485,000 | $262 | 42 |
| 5137 Taylor Dr | 1.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,726 (-18%) | 0mo | $439,000 | $254 | 40 |
| 4969 Renzo Ct | 0.84mi | 3/2.5 | 1,726 (-18%) | 1mo | $395,000 | $229 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.05% appreciation · 2.95% rent growth · sell at horizon
5-year hold
- IRR
- 9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $39,313
- Equity at exit
- $76,504
10-year hold
- IRR
- 16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.59×
- Total profit
- $142,659
- Equity at exit
- $79,705
Cash invested: $89,599 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 1 active · 4 under contract
- Median asking
- $350,000 ($201/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 134 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -18.3% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 34142
- Home prices YoY
- -0.5%
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 545
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
↻
- Estimated rent
- $4,823 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,678
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$400 /mo · $4,800/yr
- Insurance
- −$133
- HOA
- −$595
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,013
- Net cashflow
- $1,003
Break-even live
Break-even rent
$3,552
Max offer price
$319,998
Occupancy floor
74%
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,225 | -5% $1,114 | +0% $1,003 | +5% $893 | +10% $782 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $622 | -5% $813 | +0% $1,003 | +5% $1,194 | +10% $1,384 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,165 | -0.5pp $1,085 | base $1,003 | +0.5pp $920 | +1.0pp $836 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $80,000
- Closing costs
- $9,600
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5538 Hampton Links Ct Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2247 | $6,295 | $2.80 | 70d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 5522 Hampton Links Ct Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1850 | $3,995 | $2.16 | 72d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 5445 Double Eagle Cir #3026 Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1569 | $2,350 | $1.50 | 70d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 5427 Double Eagle Cir #2826 Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1569 | $6,495 | $4.14 | 72d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 5427 Double Eagle Cir #2815 Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,700 | $1.93 | 72d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 5545 Hampton Links Ct #5545 Ave Maria, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2400 | $9,000 | $3.75 | 72d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 5545 Hampton Links Ct Ave Maria, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2247 | $8,500 | $3.78 | 72d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 5667 Melbourne Ct #7812 Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1741 | $6,250 | $3.59 | 61d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 5661 Melbourne Ct #8011 Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1741 | $7,295 | $4.19 | 61d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 5661 Melbourne Ct Unit 8012 Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1741 | $2,500 | $1.44 | 41d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 5674 Melbourne Ct Unit 7721 Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2110 | $7,295 | $3.46 | 61d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 5680 Melbourne Ct #7521 Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2110 | $2,650 | $1.26 | 52d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 5704 Melbourne Ct Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1741 | $3,995 | $2.29 | 72d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 5120 Nevola Ave Ave Maria, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2273 | $3,500 | $1.54 | 61d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 5187 Nevola Ave Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1680 | $2,700 | $1.61 | 70d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 5114 Penella Ave Ave Maria, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2599 | $3,195 | $1.23 | 70d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 5739 Oakmont Ct #8412 Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1741 | $7,295 | $4.19 | 19d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 5739 Oakmont Ct Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1710 | $3,700 | $2.16 | 72d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 5376 Fancourt Links Way Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1850 | $6,850 | $3.70 | 70d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 5412 Fancourt Links Way Ave Maria, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2247 | $8,000 | $3.56 | 70d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 5428 Fancourt Links Way Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2247 | $7,895 | $3.51 | 70d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 5728 Oakmont Ct Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2110 | $3,995 | $1.89 | 61d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 5089 Penella Ave Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2028 | $2,300 | $1.13 | 63d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 5444 Fancourt Links Way Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2247 | $3,995 | $1.78 | 70d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 5722 Oakmont Ct Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2110 | $3,995 | $1.89 | 61d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 5414 Espada Ct Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2799 | $10,995 | $3.93 | 70d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 5478 Double Eagle Cir #3521 Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1569 | $4,995 | $3.18 | 72d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 5065 Gambero Way Ave Maria, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2557 | $3,250 | $1.27 | 70d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 5077 Gambero Way Ave Maria, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2256 | $3,950 | $1.75 | 72d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 5856 Sunningdale St Ave Maria, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2247 | $8,995 | $4.00 | 72d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 5039 Frattina St Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2341 | $5,995 | $2.56 | 72d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 5322 Nevola Ave Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1918 | $2,700 | $1.41 | 63d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 5515 Whistling Straights Ct Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2419 | $6,500 | $2.69 | 70d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 4961 Gambero Way Ave Maria, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2851 | $2,995 | $1.05 | 32d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 4957 Gambero Way Unit 4957 Ave Maria, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $3,400 | $2.27 | 61d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 5897 Sunningdale St Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2000 | $7,495 | $3.75 | 72d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 5013 Florence Dr Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2256 | $2,900 | $1.29 | 72d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 5285 Marano Dr Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2256 | $2,600 | $1.15 | 72d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 5476 Katia Ct Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1983 | $4,300 | $2.17 | 72d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 5293 Marano Dr Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2256 | $3,400 | $1.51 | 70d | 1 | 0.59mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Community amenities include clubhouse, community pool, community spa/hot tub, exercise room, attended fitness center, full service spa, golf course, pickleball, putting green, restaurant, sauna, sidewalks, tennis courts, underground utilities, private membership options
- HOA & community
- Mandatory HOAHOA fees charged quarterly (Master HOA $203 quarterly, HOA $610 quarterly, Condo fee $971 quarterly)One-time other fee: $3,750Total annual recurring fees reported: $7,886On-site managementHOA maintenance covers cable, internet/WiFi, irrigation water, lawn/land maintenance, pest control (exterior), street maintenance and lights, recreation facilities, repairs, reserves, manager, legal/accounting
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached 2-car garagePaved driveway
- Security
- Gated community with guard at gate
- Utilities
- Central waterCentral sewerCable available
- Home design
- Residential carriage/coach style in a low-rise (1-3) buildingRear exposure faces westLocated in The National Golf & Country Club at Ave Maria (gated community)
- Construction
- Concrete block constructionStucco exteriorTile roofBuilt in 2026
- Exterior features
- PatioSprinkler system (automatic)LakefrontGolf course viewWater view
Interior
- Kitchen
- Kitchen islandPantryDishwasherDisposalMicrowaveRangeSelf-cleaning ovenRefrigerator/ice makerFreezer
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms (split bedroom floor plan)
- Flooring
- Tile flooring
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathroomsMaster bath with dual sinks and shower (no tub)
- Heating & cooling
- Central electric heatingCentral electric cooling
- Interior features
- Built-in cabinetsCable prewire / high-speed internet availableFire sprinkler systemFoyerFrench doorsPantrySmoke detectorsWalk-in closetHome automationGuest bathHome officeScreened balconyScreened lanai/porchGreat roomFormal and family dining areasBreakfast room
- Laundry & utility
- Laundry in residenceWasher and dryer includedAuto garage door
HOA detail $595/mo · $7,140/yr condo
- Likely covers
- security
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $319,998 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $319,998 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $319,998 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $319,998 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $319,998 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $319,998 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $319,998 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $319,998 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $319,998 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $319,998 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $319,998 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $319,998 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $319,998 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $319,998 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $319,998 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $319,998 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $319,998 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $319,998 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-07-14pricedays on market $319,998 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $322,998 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $322,998 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $322,998 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $322,998 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $322,998 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $322,998 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-07-07pricestatus $322,998 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-18status Pending
-
2026-04-17price $319,998
-
2026-04-16$329,998 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $57,871
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,925
- − Property taxes
- −$4,800
- − Insurance
- −$1,600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,630
- − Management
- −$4,630
- − HOA
- −$7,140
- − Depreciation
- −$9,309
- Taxable income
- $7,838
combined federal + state — saved on this device
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,881
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,160/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos
100/100
None rehab
This move-in-ready condo is in excellent condition with modern amenities and a well-maintained exterior. Potential buyers and renters will appreciate the spacious living areas and the large windows that allow for plenty of natural light.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value. ↑
- Both Painting exterior walls — Fresh paint can make the home more appealing and increase its value. ↑
- Resale Upgrading kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Improves convenience and adds value for both buyers and renters. ↑
D
Composite school gradezoned avg 60/100
Zoned Schools
Elementary
Estates Elementary School
B+
FL #409/2,144
Nat'l #4,125/41,679
Middle
Corkscrew Middle School
B+
FL #109/571
Nat'l #1,406/14,009
High
Palmetto Ridge High School
D-
FL #207/667
Nat'l #6,330/17,239
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Collier
- NCES district ID
- 1200330
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,275
- Composite
- 50.23/100
- National rank
- #1892
- State rank
- #16 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ave Maria
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ave Maria, FL
- County
- Collier County · 420,858 people
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,149
- Household income
- $62,333
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 12% of renters
Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,858 people
- By 2030
- 450,054 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 502,232 · +19.3%
- By 2050
- 544,932 · +29.5%
- By 2075
- 627,203 · +49.0%
- By 2100
- 659,015 · +56.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 63% Two or more races 39% Black 19% White 16% Native American 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 43% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 8% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 32% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 34% English-only · Spanish 53% French/Haitian/Cajun 12%
Political lean MEDSL · Collier
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.05%
- Current HPI
- 226.9105
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.95%
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-3.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — NAPLESMLS
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $319,998 NAPLESMLS
- 2026-04-16 Listed $329,998 NAPLESMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…