233 Groveland Ave · Minneapolis, MN
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$379,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Discover an exceptional property that blends flexibility and function. Originally a single-family home, this building was converted in 2000 to house six offices and two waiting rooms, offering a prime setup for a business seeking turnkey space. With smart zoning that permits live/work use or even a reversion back to a single-family residence, this property gives you multiple pathways. The interior has been maintained with well-laid-out offices, shared areas optimized for flow, and an efficient floor plan throughout. Enjoy sweeping downtown views and step out back to a beautifully executed stamped concrete patio and mature gardens for a calm outdoor retreat.
Key facts
- Mature gardens
- Half bath
- Full bath
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $380k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $904 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $380k).
- Recommended offer: $334k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 3.2% in Minneapolis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#110 in MN, #2,525 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
- Minneapolis Public School District (urban): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #217 of 301 in MN (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Ella Baker Elementary (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #829 of 857 statewide, top 98%, 602 students, 90% FRL); Anwatin Middle (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #234 of 258 statewide, top 92%, 320 students, 81% FRL); Southwest High (math 47% / reading 67%, grade C, #64 of 471 statewide, top 16%, 1,484 students, 29% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 154 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,468/mo this rent would consume 88% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $106k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($334k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 29y ago; this cycle's ask is 65% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $222k; list at $380k implies a 71% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.20%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $630,282
- List price
- $379,900
- Delta
- -38.28%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 13 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3201 Aldrich Ave S | 1.41mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,789 (-2%) | 23mo | $565,000 | $203 | 37 |
| 2018 Sheridan Ave S | 1.52mi | 3/2.0 | 2,278 (-20%) | 11mo | $1,025,000 | $450 | 31 |
| 1724 Dupont Ave S | 0.56mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,350 (-18%) | 14mo | $573,750 | $244 | 28 |
| 1907 Fremont Ave S | 0.63mi | 3/3.0 | 2,002 (-30%) | 18mo | $565,000 | $282 | 27 |
| 600 S 2nd St Unit S104 | 1.57mi | 2/3.0 (-1) | 2,100 (-26%) | 12mo | $950,000 | $452 | 21 |
| 2417 Lyndale Ave S | 0.48mi | 5/5.0 (+2) | 2,228 (-22%) | 14mo | $487,500 | $219 | 21 |
| 3024 James Ave S | 1.57mi | 4/4.0 (+1) | 2,117 (-26%) | 8mo | $720,000 | $340 | 20 |
| 3611 12th Ave S | 2.25mi | 1/1.0 (-2) | 3,089 (+8%) | 21mo | $475,000 | $154 | 20 |
| 3232 Humboldt Ave S | 1.71mi | 4/4.0 (+1) | 2,599 (-9%) | 34mo | $819,000 | $315 | 17 |
| 222 2nd St SE #1203 | 1.98mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 2,100 (-26%) | 22mo | $1,044,000 | $497 | 16 |
| 1020 Portland Ave | 0.84mi | 3/3.0 | 2,409 (-16%) | 26mo | $740,000 | $307 | 16 |
| 3229 Colfax Ave S | 1.50mi | 5/2.0 (+2) | 2,400 (-16%) | 17mo | $545,000 | $227 | 16 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.1% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $5,731
- Equity at exit
- $56,644
- IRR
- 13.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.13×
- Total profit
- $120,701
- Equity at exit
- $32,847
Cash invested: $106,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 34 Tenant-Leaning
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Minneapolis
- 34 Tenant-Leaning · D+50
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 2 active · 2 under contract
- Median asking
- $747,450 ($297/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 18 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -25.6% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 55403
- Rents YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 154
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,468 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,992
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$475 /mo · $5,698/yr
- Insurance
- −$158
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$938
- Net cashflow
- $904
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,167 | -5% $1,035 | +0% $904 | +5% $773 | +10% $642 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $551 | -5% $728 | +0% $904 | +5% $1,081 | +10% $1,257 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,095 | -0.5pp $1,001 | base $904 | +0.5pp $806 | +1.0pp $706 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $94,975
- Closing costs
- $11,397
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2217 Grand Ave S Unit 2215 Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,100 | $1.05 | 93d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 128 E 18th St Unit 24 235 Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1956 | $2,200 | $1.12 | 22d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1369 Spruce Pl Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1365 | $6,550 | $4.80 | 8d | 30 | 0.37mi |
| 2424 Lyndale Ave S Unit 1250774P Minneapolis, MN | 3.0–4.0 | 3.0–4.0 | 1883 | $5,055 | $2.68 | 8d | 2 | 0.51mi |
| 1111 3rd Ave S Unit 1511914P Minneapolis, MN | 5.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1178 | $7,481 | $6.35 | 8d | 6 | 0.69mi |
| 220 E 27th St #1 Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2516 | $3,100 | $1.23 | 67d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1900 Columbus Ave Unit 1 Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 3506 | $2,300 | $0.66 | 93d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 615 S 8th St Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1252 | $6,125 | $4.89 | 10d | 50 | 1.02mi |
| 101 S 5th St Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1249 | $3,712 | $2.97 | 8d | 36 | 1.16mi |
| 512 W 31st St Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 1.5 | 2200 | $2,775 | $1.26 | 38d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 365 Nicollet Mall Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1656 | $9,830 | $5.93 | 8d | 43 | 1.26mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $379,900 Active 121 DOM
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2026-08-07price $379,900 Active 119 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $389,000 Active 119 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $389,000 Active 118 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $389,000 Active 117 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $389,000 Active 116 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $389,000 Active 113 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $389,000 Active 111 DOM
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2026-07-28days on market $389,000 Active 110 DOM
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2026-07-26days on market $389,000 Active 108 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $389,000 Active 106 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $389,000 Active 105 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $389,000 Active 104 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $389,000 Active 103 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $389,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $389,000 Active 100 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $389,000 Active 99 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $389,000 Active 98 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $389,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $389,000 Active 96 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $389,000 Active 95 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $389,000 Active 94 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $389,000 Active 93 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $389,000 Active 92 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $389,000 Active 91 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $389,000 Active 89 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $389,000 Active 88 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $389,000 Active 87 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $389,000 Active 86 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $389,000 Active 85 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $389,000 Active 84 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $389,000 Active 83 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $389,000 Active 82 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $389,000 Active 81 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $389,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $389,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $389,000 Active 78 DOM
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2026-06-24days on market $389,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $389,000 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $389,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $389,000 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $389,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $389,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-15pricedays on market $389,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $399,999 Active 65 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $399,999 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $399,999 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $399,999 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $399,999 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $399,999 Active 55 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $53,614
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,280
- − Property taxes
- −$5,698
- − Insurance
- −$1,900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,289
- − Management
- −$4,289
- − Depreciation
- −$11,052
- Taxable income
- $5,105
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,225
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,625/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos
This property requires extensive renovation and repair, including major work on the roof, exterior walls, and interior walls and paint. The boarded-up windows and overall disrepair suggest a significant investment is needed to bring the property up to a livable condition.
Deferred maintenance Est. $20,000–$60,000 screening
- Major Windows (windows) — Broken windows indicate structural damage or severe weathering
- Major Exterior (exterior) — Signs of decay and damage on the exterior walls and roof
Repairs flagged
- Major Boarded-up windows — The windows are boarded up, indicating a significant issue that needs immediate attention.
- Major Roof repair — The roof appears to be in a state of disrepair, with visible damage and potential leaks.
- Major Exterior wall repair — The exterior walls are in poor condition, with visible cracks and wear.
- Major Flooring replacement — The flooring is not visible in the provided images, but the exterior suggests a need for significant renovation.
- Major Interior wall and paint repair — The interior walls and paint are not visible in the provided images, but the exterior suggests a need for significant renovation.
- Major HVAC and mechanical system replacement — The HVAC and mechanical systems are not visible in the provided images, but the exterior suggests a need for significant renovation.
- Major Landscaping and curb appeal improvement — The landscaping and curb appeal are not visible in the provided images, but the exterior suggests a need for significant renovation.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Boarded-up windows repair — Fixing the boarded-up windows will improve the home's appearance and safety. ↑
- Both Roof repair — Repairing the roof will prevent further damage and improve the home's value. ↑
- Both Exterior wall repair — Repairing the exterior walls will improve the home's appearance and increase its value. ↑
- Both Flooring replacement — Replacing the flooring will improve the home's appearance and increase its value. ↑
- Both Interior wall and paint repair — Repairing the interior walls and paint will improve the home's appearance and increase its value. ↑
- Both HVAC and mechanical system replacement — Replacing the HVAC and mechanical systems will improve the home's comfort and increase its value. ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvement — Improving the landscaping and curb appeal will increase the home's appeal and increase its value. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Extensive scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Minneapolis Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2721240
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,521
- Composite
- 34.92/100
- National rank
- #5067
- State rank
- #217 of 301 in MN
Livability — Minneapolis
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #110
- US rank
- #2525
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Minneapolis, MN
- County
- Hennepin County · 1,405,227 people
- City population
- 417,555
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,601
- Household income
- $60,873
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 11% of renters
Population outlook (Hennepin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,405,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,492,650 · +6.2%
- By 2040
- 1,660,157 · +18.1%
- By 2050
- 1,823,498 · +29.8%
- By 2075
- 2,221,283 · +58.1%
- By 2100
- 2,509,976 · +78.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 14% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 5% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 8% Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Hennepin
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.6) · D 70.2% · R 27.5% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.0pp toward D · 2008: 28.6pp · 2024: 42.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.6 2020: D+43.2 2016: D+35.3 2012: D+27.1 2008: D+28.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -89.40%
- Current HPI
- 127.1575
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.10%
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
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Price history
+123.5% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-04 Price Changed $399,999 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-18 Price Changed $425,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-09-11 Price Changed $399,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-03-16 Sold (MLS) $222,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-02-17 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-01-10 Listed $229,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-12-10 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-08-17 Listed $259,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1998-08-17 Sold (MLS) $47,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1998-08-02 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1998-07-27 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1998-07-21 Listed $47,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1997-01-07 Listed $179,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…