9663 Decoursey Pike · Ryland Heights, KY 41015

$125,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,099 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 16 Days on market

1.58 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +28.9/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +8.6/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.0/10.0
• Livability +3.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Super Country Chalet Overlooks Entire Valley!*You'll Love The Walkout Fr With Wood Stove!*Lots Of Trees!*Private Master Suite W/View!*Newer Furnace & Water Heater!*Porch Swing And Frige Don't Stay!*Call Bill At 578-4011!*

Key facts

• 1.58 acre lot
• Parking
• Listed 16 days

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Driveway; Off-street parking
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Water available
• Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; House
• Construction: Stone and wood siding exterior
• Exterior features: Patio; Metal and wood fencing; Shingle roof; Heavily wooded lot; Steep slope; Paved road access; Has a view; Bay windows with wood frames

Interior

• Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Refrigerator; Breakfast room with bay window and ceiling fan
• Bedrooms: Primary bedroom with window AC unit and wooden outward-swinging windows; Second bedroom; Third bedroom
• Bathrooms: One full bathroom; Second bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Heat pump; Wood stove; Central air; Window unit(s)
• Interior features: Breakfast bar; Ceiling fan(s); Natural woodwork; Vaulted ceiling(s); Bay window(s)
• Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $424 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
• Recommended offer: $123k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 60/100 on livability (#395 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• Kenton County (suburban): math 42% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #14 of 165 in KY (top 8%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Ryland Heights Elementary School (math 57% / reading 52%, grade C, #66 of 676 statewide, top 11%, 454 students, 40% FRL); Woodland Middle School (math 38% / reading 50%, grade D, #40 of 217 statewide, top 19%, 616 students, 48% FRL); Scott High School (math 33% / reading 33%, grade F, #94 of 254 statewide, top 37%, 1,071 students, 42% FRL).
• Market conditions: 158 active listings in the ZIP; 699 units permitted in Kenton County in 2024 (287 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Kenton County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $97k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Recommended offer $123,125 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.36% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.37%
• Cash-on-cash: 14.55%
• DSCR: 1.65
• GRM: 6.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 5.0%
• Equity multiple: 1.20×
• Total profit: $6,835
• Equity at exit: $18,638

10-year hold

• IRR: 14.5%
• Equity multiple: 2.17×
• Total profit: $40,994
• Equity at exit: $10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Kentucky: 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 41015

• Active inventory: 158
• Price-to-rent: 6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,696 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$656
• Tax from tax record: −$208 /mo · $2,497/yr
• Insurance: −$52
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$356
• Net cashflow: $424

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,159

Max offer price $125,000

Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $31,250
• Closing costs: $3,750
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 10 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $125,000 Active 16 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $125,000 Active 15 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $125,000 Active 14 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $125,000 Active 13 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $125,000 Active 11 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $125,000 Active 7 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $125,000 Active 6 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   days on market $125,000 Active 5 DOM
9. 2026-06-02
   remarks 420-char remark
10. 2026-06-02
    listed $125,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,497 · $208/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,497 · $208/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $20,356
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,002
• − Property taxes: −$2,497
• − Insurance: −$625
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,628
• − Management: −$1,628
• − Depreciation: −$3,636
• Taxable income: $3,339
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$801
• After-tax cash flow: $4,292/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Kenton County
• NCES district ID: 2103090
• Math proficiency: 42% ▼ -13.00%
• Reading proficiency: 48% ▼ -14.00%
• Median HH income: $66,183
• Composite: 40.17/100
• National rank: #3789
• State rank: #14 of 165 in KY

Livability — Ryland Heights

• Score: 60/100
• State rank: #395
• US rank: #18943

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Ryland Heights, KY
• City population: 20,396
• Population (ZIP): 20,396

Population outlook (Kenton County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 174,205 people
• By 2030: 177,897 · +2.1%
• By 2040: 182,671 · +4.9%
• By 2050: 183,543 · +5.4%
• By 2075: 178,977 · +2.7%
• By 2100: 159,920 · -8.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (90%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 90% Two or more races 6% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Arabic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kenton

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+21.7) · D 38.2% · R 59.9% · Other 1.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -0.9pp no change · 2008: -20.9pp · 2024: -21.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+21.7 2020: R+19.3 2016: R+26.1 2012: R+24.3 2008: R+20.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -110.37%
• Current HPI: 203.7263
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.81%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$118B
▸Food / Beverage	1	$7B

Price history

+56.4% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-02 Listed $125,000 NKMLS
• 2002-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $96,900 Public Records
• 1997-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
• 1997-10-31 Sold (MLS) $78,000 NKMLS
• 1997-03-15 Listed $79,900 NKMLS

Property tax history

+6.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,497 · +42.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.