🌊 Lakefront
19212 NE 25th Ave Unit 283D · Ojus, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.73%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.7/30.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$425,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
IF YOU ARE LOOKING FOR A BEAUTIFUL 11 ACRES HIDDEN GEM, THIS IS YOUR PLACE. RIVERWOOD IS A GATED CONDOMINIUM, SECURED WITH SECURITY CAMERAS. THIS 2 STORY 1,693 SF TOWNHOUSE HAS 3 BEDR, 2.5 BATHR, A CATHEDRAL CELLING IN LIVING ROOM, PLENTY OF CLOSETS/WALK IN, FRONT/REAR PATIO, OPEN KITCHEN, WASHER/DRYER IN UNIT, 2PETS/UNIT W/ NO WEIGHT RESTRICTIONS. LOCATED ON OLETA RIVER, KAYAK/JET SKIES LOVERS CAN ENJOY THIS AMAZING AREA. MAINTENANCES INCLUDES WATER/SEWER, TRASH REMOVAL, LANDSCAPING/LAWN MAINTENANCE, ROOFS REPAIRS, BUILDING EXTERIOR, RESERVES, MANAGER, CABLE TV/HBO, HIGH SPEED INTERNET, POOL, BASKETBALL, PLAYGROUND. THIS UNIT 283D IS LOCATED IN THE BEST BUILDING OF RIVERWOOD CONDO, TREES P
Key facts
- Security cameras
- Gated condominium
- Pool
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Lease considered; Pets allowed (no pet restrictions)
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Association amenities include clubhouse, pool, sauna, playground, and basketball court; HOA covers management, amenities, common areas, cable TV, insurance, legal/accounting, grounds and structure maintenance, parking, pools, recreation facilities, reserve fund, roof, sewer, trash, and water
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with 1 assigned covered space; Guest parking available; One assigned space
- Security: Complex fenced; Key card entry; Phone entry; Smoke detectors; Exterior lighting; Wall fencing
- Utilities: Cable available
- Home design: Attached property; 2 stories; Entry on level 1
- Construction: Block construction; Resale property
- Exterior features: Balcony; Courtyard; Open patio; Porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Upper-level primary bedroom; At least one bedroom on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Tile; Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Blinds and drapes on windows; Bedroom on main level; First-floor entry; Living/Dining room; Main living area on entry level; Upper-level primary bedroom; Vaulted ceilings
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $425k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $594 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $425k).
- Recommended offer: $374k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#58 in FL, #1,031 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Virginia A Boone-Highland Oaks School (math 50% / reading 60%, grade C, #872 of 2,144 statewide, top 42%, 600 students, 40% FRL); Highland Oaks Middle School (math 28% / reading 51%, grade F, #373 of 571 statewide, top 66%, 774 students, 50% FRL); Dr. Michael M. Krop Senior High (math 21% / reading 46%, grade F, #400 of 667 statewide, top 61%, 2,235 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 47% FRL vs 64% district-wide (17 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 993 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,570/mo this rent would consume 73% of the median local household income ($91k/yr) (locally 1838% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 154 days — a 12% lower offer ($374k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 12977% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $72k; list at $425k implies a 486% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 154 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.30%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-46,715
- Equity at exit
- $63,369
- IRR
- -8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-52,500
- Equity at exit
- $36,746
Cash invested: $119,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33180
- Rents YoY
- -1.5%
- Active inventory
- 993
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,570 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,229
- Tax from tax record
- −$75 /mo · $903/yr
- Insurance
- −$177
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$898
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,170
- Net cashflow
- $594
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $835 | -5% $715 | +0% $594 | +5% $474 | +10% $-155 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $154 | -5% $374 | +0% $594 | +5% $814 | +10% $1,034 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $808 | -0.5pp $703 | base $594 | +0.5pp $484 | +1.0pp $372 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $106,250
- Closing costs
- $12,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $898 · $10,776/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewertrashinternetcablelandscapingpoolsecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $425,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $425,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $425,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $425,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $425,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $425,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $425,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $425,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $425,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $425,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $425,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $425,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $425,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $425,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-05-02historical $3,250
-
2026-04-24status Pending
-
2026-04-10status Active
-
2026-01-22historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-12-17$3,250
-
2025-12-15$425,000 Active
-
2025-08-20historical
-
2025-03-04price $400,000
-
2024-12-30price $445,000
-
2024-08-20$520,000 Active
-
2024-02-17historical
-
2023-11-03price $400,000
-
2023-09-23price $440,000
-
2023-09-23$44,000 Active
-
1995-02-15soldstatus $72,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $903 · $75/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,528 · $294/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,624/yr (+$219/mo · 290.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 73% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $66,836
- − Mortgage interest
- −$23,807
- − Property taxes
- −$903
- − Insurance
- −$7,244
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,347
- − Management
- −$5,347
- − HOA
- −$10,776
- − Depreciation
- −$12,364
- Taxable income
- $1,049
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$252
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,881/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ojus
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #58
- US rank
- #1031
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ojus, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 34,147
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,147
- Household income
- $91,055
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1838.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Hispanic / Latino 45% Two or more races 28% Black 2% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 7% Dominican 1% Salvadoran 6%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 5% Romanian 5% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 52% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 30% English-only · Spanish 49% Other Indo-European 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -343.81%
- Current HPI
- 234.7715
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.51%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-95.5% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-02 Rental Removed $3,250 MARMLS
- 2026-04-24 Pending — MARMLS
- 2026-04-10 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2026-01-22 Contingent — MARMLS
- 2025-12-17 Listed for Rent $3,250 MARMLS
- 2025-12-15 Listed $425,000 MARMLS
- 2025-08-20 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2025-03-04 Price Changed $400,000 MARMLS
- 2024-12-30 Price Changed $445,000 MARMLS
- 2024-08-20 Listed $520,000 MARMLS
- 2024-02-17 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2023-11-03 Price Changed $400,000 MARMLS
- 2023-09-23 Price Changed $440,000 MARMLS
- 2023-09-23 Listed $44,000 MARMLS
- 1995-02-15 Sold (Public Records) $72,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $903 · -83.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…