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13252 Central Ave NE
D Composite 42.37
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.6/30.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$305,000

13252 Central Ave NE · Blaine, MN 55434
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 958 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1995 7,405 sqft lot $318/sqft · 46% above area Est $397k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This twin home shows pride of ownership! New features include: Air conditioner - 2021 Washer - 2020 Blinds - 2020 Disposal - 2020 Laundry Sink - 2020 Dishwasher - 2018 Refrigerator - 2016 Hot water heater - 2011 Water softener - 2011 Garage door opener - 2014 Gray landscaping rock - 2020 Space guard air filter Humidifier on furnace The main level has an open floor plan kitchen, living and dining room, 2 bedrooms. The lower level is finished with the 3rd bedroom, a large family room and bath with walkup to the garage.

Key facts

  • Newer furnace
  • Newer roof
  • Water softener

Tags

NEWER ROOFANDERSEN WINDOWSNEWER FURNACEAIR CONDITIONERWATER HEATERWATER SOFTENER

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with automatic opener; 2-car garage (approximately 22x19)
  • Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); Natural gas
  • Home design: Residential split-entry (bi-level) home; Main level and lower level living areas; Above- and below-grade finished living areas
  • Construction: Block and frame construction; Block foundation; Roof replaced or is 8 years old or newer
  • Exterior features: Patio; Medium tree coverage; Storage shed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop; Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator; Freezer
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (two on main level, one in lower level)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (one on upper/main level, one in finished basement)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Finished daylight basement with lookout windows; Water softener (owned); Humidifier; Storage shed on property; Informal dining area
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry located on lower level; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $305k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-265 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $258k (15.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $215k (29.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $215k (29.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 4.0% in Blaine — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#315 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Anoka-Hennepin Public School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #71 of 301 in MN (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Johnsville Elementary (math 52% / reading 58%, grade C, #310 of 857 statewide, top 37%, 674 students, 44% FRL); Roosevelt Middle (math 46% / reading 61%, grade C+, #51 of 258 statewide, top 20%, 809 students, 30% FRL); Blaine High School (math 46% / reading 67%, grade C, #77 of 471 statewide, top 17%, 2,969 students, 37% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,083 units permitted in Anoka County in 2024 (134 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Anoka County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $260k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $215,275 (29.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.71%
Cap rate
5.25%
Cash-on-cash
-3.72%
DSCR
0.83
GRM
11.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$396,999
List price
$305,000
Delta
-20.68%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.79% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.8%
Equity multiple
0.27×
Total profit
$-62,403
Equity at exit
$45,476
10-year hold
IRR
-10.8%
Equity multiple
0.30×
Total profit
$-59,491
Equity at exit
$26,371

Cash invested: $85,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55434

Rents YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
114
Price-to-rent
11.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,153 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,599
Tax from tax record
$239 /mo · $2,868/yr
Insurance
$127
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$452
Net cashflow
$-265

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,488
Max offer price $258,205
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-92 -5% $-179 +0% $-265 +5% $-351 +10% $-438
Rent -10% $-435 -5% $-350 +0% $-265 +5% $-180 +10% $-95
Rate -1.0pp $-111 -0.5pp $-187 base $-265 +0.5pp $-344 +1.0pp $-424

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$76,250
Closing costs
$9,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1558 126th Ave NE Unit 1545 Blaine, MN 3.0 1.0 970 $1,675 $1.73 5d 1 0.93mi
12373 Oak Park Blvd NE Blaine, MN 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1023 $2,189 $2.14 0d 1 1.24mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    days on market $305,000 Active 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $305,000 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $305,000 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $305,000 Active 2 DOM
  5. 2026-04-28
    price $314,900 604-char remark
  6. 2026-04-18
    listed $319,900 Active 604-char remark
  7. 2026-04-14
    historical $319,900 604-char remark
  8. 2021-11-30
    soldstatus $260,000
  9. 2021-11-12
    soldstatus $260,000 Sold 527-char remark
    Show marketing remark (527 chars)

    This twin home shows pride of ownership! New features include: Air conditioner - 2021 Washer - 2020 Blinds - 2020 Disposal - 2020 Laundry Sink - 2020 Dishwasher - 2018 Refrigerator - 2016 Hot water heater - 2011 Water softener - 2011 Garage door opener - 2014 Gray landscaping rock - 2020 Space guard air filter Humidifier on furnace The main level has an open floor plan kitchen, living and dining room, 2 bedrooms. The lower level is finished with the 3rd bedroom, a large family room and bath with walkup to the garage.

  10. 2021-10-10
    status Pending 527-char remark
    Show marketing remark (527 chars)

    This twin home shows pride of ownership! New features include: Air conditioner - 2021 Washer - 2020 Blinds - 2020 Disposal - 2020 Laundry Sink - 2020 Dishwasher - 2018 Refrigerator - 2016 Hot water heater - 2011 Water softener - 2011 Garage door opener - 2014 Gray landscaping rock - 2020 Space guard air filter Humidifier on furnace The main level has an open floor plan kitchen, living and dining room, 2 bedrooms. The lower level is finished with the 3rd bedroom, a large family room and bath with walkup to the garage.

  11. 2021-10-05
    listed Contingent - Inspection 527-char remark
    Show marketing remark (527 chars)

    This twin home shows pride of ownership! New features include: Air conditioner - 2021 Washer - 2020 Blinds - 2020 Disposal - 2020 Laundry Sink - 2020 Dishwasher - 2018 Refrigerator - 2016 Hot water heater - 2011 Water softener - 2011 Garage door opener - 2014 Gray landscaping rock - 2020 Space guard air filter Humidifier on furnace The main level has an open floor plan kitchen, living and dining room, 2 bedrooms. The lower level is finished with the 3rd bedroom, a large family room and bath with walkup to the garage.

  12. 2021-10-05
    listed $259,000 527-char remark
    Show marketing remark (527 chars)

    This twin home shows pride of ownership! New features include: Air conditioner - 2021 Washer - 2020 Blinds - 2020 Disposal - 2020 Laundry Sink - 2020 Dishwasher - 2018 Refrigerator - 2016 Hot water heater - 2011 Water softener - 2011 Garage door opener - 2014 Gray landscaping rock - 2020 Space guard air filter Humidifier on furnace The main level has an open floor plan kitchen, living and dining room, 2 bedrooms. The lower level is finished with the 3rd bedroom, a large family room and bath with walkup to the garage.

  13. 1996-03-01
    soldstatus $89,900
  14. 1996-01-27
    historical
  15. 1996-01-17
    listed $89,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,868 · $239/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,142 · $262/mo
Expected delta
+$274/yr (+$23/mo · 9.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,833
− Mortgage interest
−$17,085
− Property taxes
−$2,868
− Insurance
−$1,525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,067
− Management
−$2,067
− Depreciation
−$8,873
Taxable loss
−$8,651
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,076
After-tax cash flow
$-1,102/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Anoka-Hennepin Public School District
NCES district ID
2703180
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$73,837
Composite
46.7/100
National rank
#2400
State rank
#71 of 301 in MN

Livability — Blaine

Score
71/100
State rank
#315
US rank
#7073

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C Crime A Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Blaine, MN
County
Anoka County · 277,116 people
City population
67,472
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
33,029
Household income
$90,336
Rent vs Own
17.8% rent · 82.2% own
Severe rent burden
526.0

Population outlook (Anoka County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
375,223 people
By 2030
387,850 · +3.4%
By 2040
407,239 · +8.5%
By 2050
417,541 · +11.3%
By 2075
448,447 · +19.5%
By 2100
464,954 · +23.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Asian 10% Black 9% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 10% Romanian 5% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Vietnamese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Anoka

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 46.6% · R 51.0% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-2.0pp toward R · 2008: -2.4pp · 2024: -4.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+4.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: R+9.7 2012: R+2.6 2008: R+2.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -230.62%
Current HPI
254.0422
Rent YoY
▲ 4.79%
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+239.3% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $305,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-20 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $314,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-18 Listed $319,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-14 Coming Soon NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-11-30 Sold (Public Records) $260,000 Public Records
  • 2021-11-12 Sold (MLS) $260,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-10-10 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-10-05 Listed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-10-05 Listed $259,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1996-03-01 Sold (MLS) $89,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1996-01-27 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1996-01-17 Listed $89,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+5.1%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,868 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…