13252 Central Ave NE · Blaine, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +8.6/30.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.3/10.0
- 1% rule +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$305,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This twin home shows pride of ownership! New features include: Air conditioner - 2021 Washer - 2020 Blinds - 2020 Disposal - 2020 Laundry Sink - 2020 Dishwasher - 2018 Refrigerator - 2016 Hot water heater - 2011 Water softener - 2011 Garage door opener - 2014 Gray landscaping rock - 2020 Space guard air filter Humidifier on furnace The main level has an open floor plan kitchen, living and dining room, 2 bedrooms. The lower level is finished with the 3rd bedroom, a large family room and bath with walkup to the garage.
Key facts
- Newer furnace
- Newer roof
- Water softener
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with automatic opener; 2-car garage (approximately 22x19)
- Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); Natural gas
- Home design: Residential split-entry (bi-level) home; Main level and lower level living areas; Above- and below-grade finished living areas
- Construction: Block and frame construction; Block foundation; Roof replaced or is 8 years old or newer
- Exterior features: Patio; Medium tree coverage; Storage shed
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator; Freezer
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (two on main level, one in lower level)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (one on upper/main level, one in finished basement)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Finished daylight basement with lookout windows; Water softener (owned); Humidifier; Storage shed on property; Informal dining area
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry located on lower level; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $305k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-265 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $258k (15.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $215k (29.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $215k (29.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 4.0% in Blaine — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#315 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Anoka-Hennepin Public School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #71 of 301 in MN (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Johnsville Elementary (math 52% / reading 58%, grade C, #310 of 857 statewide, top 37%, 674 students, 44% FRL); Roosevelt Middle (math 46% / reading 61%, grade C+, #51 of 258 statewide, top 20%, 809 students, 30% FRL); Blaine High School (math 46% / reading 67%, grade C, #77 of 471 statewide, top 17%, 2,969 students, 37% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,083 units permitted in Anoka County in 2024 (134 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Anoka County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $260k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.71% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.72%
- DSCR
- 0.83
- GRM
- 11.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $396,999
- List price
- $305,000
- Delta
- -20.68%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.79% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.27×
- Total profit
- $-62,403
- Equity at exit
- $45,476
- IRR
- -10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.30×
- Total profit
- $-59,491
- Equity at exit
- $26,371
Cash invested: $85,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55434
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 114
- Price-to-rent
- 11.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,153 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,599
- Tax from tax record
- −$239 /mo · $2,868/yr
- Insurance
- −$127
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$452
- Net cashflow
- $-265
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-92 | -5% $-179 | +0% $-265 | +5% $-351 | +10% $-438 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-435 | -5% $-350 | +0% $-265 | +5% $-180 | +10% $-95 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-111 | -0.5pp $-187 | base $-265 | +0.5pp $-344 | +1.0pp $-424 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $76,250
- Closing costs
- $9,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1558 126th Ave NE Unit 1545 Blaine, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $1,675 | $1.73 | 5d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 12373 Oak Park Blvd NE Blaine, MN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1023 | $2,189 | $2.14 | 0d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 15 events
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2026-06-03days on market $305,000 Active 5 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $305,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $305,000 Active 3 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $305,000 Active 2 DOM
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2026-04-28price $314,900 604-char remark
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2026-04-18$319,900 Active 604-char remark
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2026-04-14historical $319,900 604-char remark
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2021-11-30soldstatus $260,000
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2021-11-12soldstatus $260,000 Sold 527-char remark
Show marketing remark (527 chars)
This twin home shows pride of ownership! New features include: Air conditioner - 2021 Washer - 2020 Blinds - 2020 Disposal - 2020 Laundry Sink - 2020 Dishwasher - 2018 Refrigerator - 2016 Hot water heater - 2011 Water softener - 2011 Garage door opener - 2014 Gray landscaping rock - 2020 Space guard air filter Humidifier on furnace The main level has an open floor plan kitchen, living and dining room, 2 bedrooms. The lower level is finished with the 3rd bedroom, a large family room and bath with walkup to the garage.
-
2021-10-10status Pending 527-char remark
Show marketing remark (527 chars)
This twin home shows pride of ownership! New features include: Air conditioner - 2021 Washer - 2020 Blinds - 2020 Disposal - 2020 Laundry Sink - 2020 Dishwasher - 2018 Refrigerator - 2016 Hot water heater - 2011 Water softener - 2011 Garage door opener - 2014 Gray landscaping rock - 2020 Space guard air filter Humidifier on furnace The main level has an open floor plan kitchen, living and dining room, 2 bedrooms. The lower level is finished with the 3rd bedroom, a large family room and bath with walkup to the garage.
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2021-10-05Contingent - Inspection 527-char remark
Show marketing remark (527 chars)
This twin home shows pride of ownership! New features include: Air conditioner - 2021 Washer - 2020 Blinds - 2020 Disposal - 2020 Laundry Sink - 2020 Dishwasher - 2018 Refrigerator - 2016 Hot water heater - 2011 Water softener - 2011 Garage door opener - 2014 Gray landscaping rock - 2020 Space guard air filter Humidifier on furnace The main level has an open floor plan kitchen, living and dining room, 2 bedrooms. The lower level is finished with the 3rd bedroom, a large family room and bath with walkup to the garage.
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2021-10-05$259,000 527-char remark
Show marketing remark (527 chars)
This twin home shows pride of ownership! New features include: Air conditioner - 2021 Washer - 2020 Blinds - 2020 Disposal - 2020 Laundry Sink - 2020 Dishwasher - 2018 Refrigerator - 2016 Hot water heater - 2011 Water softener - 2011 Garage door opener - 2014 Gray landscaping rock - 2020 Space guard air filter Humidifier on furnace The main level has an open floor plan kitchen, living and dining room, 2 bedrooms. The lower level is finished with the 3rd bedroom, a large family room and bath with walkup to the garage.
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1996-03-01soldstatus $89,900
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1996-01-27historical
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1996-01-17$89,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,868 · $239/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,142 · $262/mo
- Expected delta
- +$274/yr (+$23/mo · 9.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,833
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,085
- − Property taxes
- −$2,868
- − Insurance
- −$1,525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,067
- − Management
- −$2,067
- − Depreciation
- −$8,873
- Taxable loss
- −$8,651
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,076
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,102/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Anoka-Hennepin Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2703180
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,837
- Composite
- 46.7/100
- National rank
- #2400
- State rank
- #71 of 301 in MN
Livability — Blaine
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #315
- US rank
- #7073
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Blaine, MN
- County
- Anoka County · 277,116 people
- City population
- 67,472
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,029
- Household income
- $90,336
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 526.0
Population outlook (Anoka County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 375,223 people
- By 2030
- 387,850 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 407,239 · +8.5%
- By 2050
- 417,541 · +11.3%
- By 2075
- 448,447 · +19.5%
- By 2100
- 464,954 · +23.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Asian 10% Black 9% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 10% Romanian 5% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Anoka
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 46.6% · R 51.0% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.0pp toward R · 2008: -2.4pp · 2024: -4.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+4.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: R+9.7 2012: R+2.6 2008: R+2.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -230.62%
- Current HPI
- 254.0422
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.79%
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
+239.3% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $305,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-20 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $314,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-18 Listed $319,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-14 Coming Soon — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-11-30 Sold (Public Records) $260,000 Public Records
- 2021-11-12 Sold (MLS) $260,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-10 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-05 Listed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-05 Listed $259,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1996-03-01 Sold (MLS) $89,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1996-01-27 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1996-01-17 Listed $89,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2026): $2,868 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…