1006 S Colorado St · Midland, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.4/30.0
- DSCR +9.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- ARV discount +3.3/15.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This charming 2 bedroom , 2 bath home offers comfort in this centrally located location. Close to downtown, schools and shopping. This inviting lay out has a separate studio/ mancave perfect for entertaining. Covered car port with a big backyard.
Key facts
- Covered patio
- Large back yard
- 7,013 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $396 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $131k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 4.7% in Midland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#57 in TX, #2,192 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, commute D+.
- Midland ISD (urban): math 34% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #477 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 113 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,504 units permitted in Midland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Midland County population projected at +83% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.56%
- DSCR
- 1.56
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $123,547
- List price
- $135,000
- Delta
- 9.27%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1409 Johnston St | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 1,008 (+6%) | 10mo | $65,000 | $64 | 49 |
| 1210 S Dallas St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,051 (+11%) | 23mo | $189,900 | $181 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-202
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.49×
- Total profit
- $18,461
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79701
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 113
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,568 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$79 /mo · $949/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$329
- Net cashflow
- $396
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $472 | -5% $434 | +0% $396 | +5% $357 | +10% $319 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $272 | -5% $334 | +0% $396 | +5% $457 | +10% $519 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $464 | -0.5pp $430 | base $396 | +0.5pp $361 | +1.0pp $325 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1001 College Ave Unit B Midland, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 560 | $1,150 | $2.05 | 14d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1206 W Missouri Ave Unit D Midland, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,300 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1210 W Texas Ave Unit 15 Midland, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,250 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2111 W Kentucky Ave Midland, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 981 | $1,400 | $1.43 | 21d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 808 S Madison St Midland, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,000 | $2.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1509 Wayside Dr Midland, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 980 | $1,136 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1402 W Tennessee Ave Midland, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $2,500 | $2.38 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 610 Burleson St Midland, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 617 | $1,000 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2400 College Ave Midland, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 617 | $1,000 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1201 Albert Midland, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1037 | $1,786 | $1.72 | 14d | 20 | 1.28mi |
| 2605 W Washington Ave Midland, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 865 | $1,500 | $1.73 | 21d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1200 Albert Midland, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 925 | $2,011 | $2.17 | 14d | 311 | 1.33mi |
| 2301 Cotton Flat Rd Midland, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 914 | $1,605 | $1.76 | 14d | 3 | 1.36mi |
| 2705 W Kentucky Ave Midland, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 924 | $1,800 | $1.95 | 21d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1101 N Carrizo St Unit 6 Midland, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 915 | $1,500 | $1.64 | 14d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $135,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $135,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $135,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricedays on market $135,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $165,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $165,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $165,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $165,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $165,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-04-20$165,000 Active 247-char remark
Show marketing remark (247 chars)
This charming 2 bedroom , 2 bath home offers comfort in this centrally located location. Close to downtown, schools and shopping. This inviting lay out has a separate studio/ mancave perfect for entertaining. Covered car port with a big backyard.
-
1993-08-18soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $949 · $79/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,470 · $206/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,521/yr (+$127/mo · 160.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,818
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$949
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,505
- − Management
- −$1,505
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $2,694
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$646
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,100/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Midland ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4830570
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,457
- Composite
- 31.63/100
- National rank
- #5938
- State rank
- #477 of 826 in TX
Livability — Midland
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #57
- US rank
- #2192
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Midland, TX
- County
- Midland County · 168,494 people
- City population
- 168,494
- Metro
- Midland, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,131
- Household income
- $57,346
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 938.0
Population outlook (Midland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 220,895 people
- By 2030
- 253,667 · +14.8%
- By 2040
- 325,498 · +47.4%
- By 2050
- 404,168 · +83.0%
- By 2075
- 609,802 · +176.1%
- By 2100
- 760,172 · +244.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 61% Two or more races 28% White 27% Black 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 57%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Ukrainian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 55% English-only · Spanish 44%
Political lean MEDSL · Midland
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.5) · D 19.3% · R 79.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.3pp toward R · 2008: -57.3pp · 2024: -60.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.5 2020: R+56.6 2016: R+55.2 2012: R+61.5 2008: R+57.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -227.32%
- Current HPI
- 234.6111
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.74%
- Metro
- Midland, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Listed $165,000 PBBOR
- 1993-08-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2025): $949 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…