13615 Ohio St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor special!!! * * Tenant occupied * * 24 hour notice to show. With 4 generously sized bedrooms, 1.5 bathrooms, and approximately 1,500 square feet of above-grade living space, this home offers both comfort and functionality. A newer water heater enhances efficiency and peace of mind. Outside, you’ll find a fenced yard and a detached garage, adding extra convenience and versatility. A solid, move-in ready home with plenty of room to spread out.
Key facts
- Fenced yard
- Newer water heater
- Detached garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $273 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 348 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,359/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($33k/yr) (locally 2172% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.36%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $53,294
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- 134.55%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13558 Pinehurst St | 0.51mi | 4/1.0 | 1,099 (-0%) | 2mo | $135,000 | $123 | 74 |
| 13124 Kentucky St | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,140 (+4%) | 10mo | $31,000 | $27 | 66 |
| 13581 Cloverlawn St | 0.17mi | 4/2.0 | 1,240 (+13%) | 4mo | $143,000 | $115 | 64 |
| 14249 Cloverlawn St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,035 (-6%) | 5mo | $69,000 | $67 | 64 |
| 13903 Cloverlawn Ave | 0.18mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,265 (+15%) | 5mo | $140,000 | $111 | 56 |
| 14628 Ohio St | 0.64mi | 4/1.5 | 1,129 (+2%) | 9mo | $50,000 | $44 | 56 |
| 14203 Cherrylawn St | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,250 (+14%) | 5mo | $58,000 | $46 | 51 |
| 12440 Mendota St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,035 (-6%) | 2mo | $39,999 | $39 | 50 |
| 14256 Ohio St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,242 (+13%) | 10mo | $40,000 | $32 | 50 |
| 12754 Mendota St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,224 (+11%) | 8mo | $28,500 | $23 | 44 |
| 12740 Mendota St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 972 (-12%) | 6mo | $90,000 | $93 | 44 |
| 13503 Monica St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 953 (-13%) | 7mo | $47,500 | $50 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.14% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $1,552
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.23×
- Total profit
- $43,066
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48238
- Home prices YoY
- -14.4%
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 348
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,359 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$93 /mo · $1,118/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$285
- Net cashflow
- $273
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $344 | -5% $309 | +0% $273 | +5% $238 | +10% $202 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $166 | -5% $219 | +0% $273 | +5% $327 | +10% $381 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $336 | -0.5pp $305 | base $273 | +0.5pp $241 | +1.0pp $208 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13979 Cherrylawn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1296 | $1,334 | $1.03 | 21d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 13620 Kentucky St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $1,200 | $0.96 | 6d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 14011 Roselawn St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,450 | $1.12 | 18d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 14011 Roselawn St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,450 | $1.12 | 3d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 14242 Ohio St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,000 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 13620 Tuller St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,374 | $1.29 | 13d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| Ohio St Unit 4 Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $750 | $0.54 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 13965 Mendota St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1222 | $1,294 | $1.06 | 18d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 14550 Northlawn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 17d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 14570 Cherrylawn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,250 | $1.49 | 13d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 12303 Cloverlawn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1454 | $1,400 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 14656 Roselawn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 18d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 12144 Washburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 16d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 4287 W Grand St Unit 4289 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,000 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 14881 Mendota St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $1,100 | $1.07 | 25d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 4336 Buena Vista St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,100 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4045 Clements St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,150 | $1.35 | 25d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 4045 Clements St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,150 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 12032 Santa Rosa Dr Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,423 | $1.58 | 6d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 3824 Tyler St Apt 1 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,523 | $1.69 | 17d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 15457 Cloverlawn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,275 | $0.85 | 25d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3783 Tyler St Unit Lower Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 14847 Cheyenne St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 849 | $1,150 | $1.35 | 19d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 3740 Tyler St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,300 | $1.00 | 6d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 15708 Birwood St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1255 | $1,100 | $0.88 | 6d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 10002 Manor Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,150 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3040 Kendall St Detroit, MI | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1188 | $1,386 | $1.17 | 13d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 11704 Broadstreet Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,050 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 14891 Hartwell St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 7350 Globe St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 4d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 14284 Cruse St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1121 | $1,150 | $1.03 | 17d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 14903 Tracey St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1004 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 17d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 39 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $125,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 118 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 117 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $125,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-02-20$125,000 Active 463-char remark
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
Investor special!!! * * Tenant occupied * * 24 hour notice to show. With 4 generously sized bedrooms, 1.5 bathrooms, and approximately 1,500 square feet of above-grade living space, this home offers both comfort and functionality. A newer water heater enhances efficiency and peace of mind. Outside, you'll find a fenced yard and a detached garage, adding extra convenience and versatility. A solid, move-in ready home with plenty of room to spread out.
-
2026-02-20$125,000 Active 457-char remark
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
Investor special!!! * * Tenant occupied * * 24 hour notice to show. With 4 generously sized bedrooms, 1.5 bathrooms, and approximately 1,500 square feet of above-grade living space, this home offers both comfort and functionality. A newer water heater enhances efficiency and peace of mind. Outside, you'll find a fenced yard and a detached garage, adding extra convenience and versatility. A solid, move-in ready home with plenty of room to spread out.
-
2026-01-29historical
-
2026-01-29historical
-
2025-12-02price $134,900
-
2025-12-01price $134,900
-
2025-09-15$150,000 Active
-
2025-09-15$150,000 Active
-
2023-08-29soldstatus $123,500
-
2023-08-14soldstatus $123,500 Sold
-
2023-08-14soldstatus $123,500 Closed
-
2023-07-20status Pending
-
2023-07-20status Pending
-
2023-07-01price $125,500
-
2023-07-01price $125,500
-
2023-06-25price $135,000
-
2023-06-24price $135,000
-
2023-06-18price $155,000
-
2023-06-18price $155,000
-
2023-06-17$175,000 Active
-
2023-06-17$175,000 Active
-
2014-08-21soldstatus $6,500
-
2014-08-21soldstatus $6,500
-
2014-05-05historical
-
2014-04-25$6,500
-
2014-04-25$6,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,118 · $93/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,522 · $127/mo
- Expected delta
- +$403/yr (+$34/mo · 36.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,313
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,118
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,305
- − Management
- −$1,305
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $1,321
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$317
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,960/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,731
- Household income
- $33,315
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2172.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% Two or more races 3% White 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -31.96%
- Current HPI
- 189.6227
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.14%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+1823.1% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-20 Listed $125,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-20 Listed $125,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-29 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-01-29 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-02 Price Changed $134,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-01 Price Changed $134,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-09-15 Listed $150,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-09-15 Listed $150,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $123,500 Public Records
- 2023-08-14 Sold (MLS) $123,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-08-14 Sold (MLS) $123,500 REALCOMP
- 2023-07-20 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-07-20 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2023-07-01 Price Changed $125,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-07-01 Price Changed $125,500 REALCOMP
- 2023-06-25 Price Changed $135,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-06-24 Price Changed $135,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-06-18 Price Changed $155,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-06-18 Price Changed $155,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-06-17 Listed $175,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-06-17 Listed $175,000 REALCOMP
- 2014-08-21 Sold (MLS) $6,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-08-21 Sold (MLS) $6,500 REALCOMP
- 2014-05-05 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-04-25 Listed $6,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-04-25 Listed $6,500 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,118 · -8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…