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1305 N Garvin St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 70.67
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$55,000

1305 N Garvin St · Evansville, IN 47711
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,478 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 76 Days on market
Built 1914 3,510 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home presents a solid investment opportunity for buyers seeking rental income or a longer-term hold. Currently unoccupied, the property was previously rented for $840/month.

Key facts

  • 3,510 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1914

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $55,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$127,108) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $444 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $52k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.0% vs local median 4.6% in Evansville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#416 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation (urban): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #153 of 301 in IN (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Delaware Elementary School (math 22% / reading 16%, grade F, #829 of 994 statewide, top 84%, 338 students, 90% FRL); North Junior High School (math 44% / reading 57%, grade C, #43 of 330 statewide, top 14%, 929 students, 42% FRL); North High School (math 57% / reading 74%, grade B, #29 of 369 statewide, top 8%, 1,674 students, 35% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 229 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 508 units permitted in Vanderburgh County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $51,700 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.96%
Cap rate
15.98%
Cash-on-cash
34.60%
DSCR
2.54
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$127,108
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1305 N Garvin St 0.00mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,478 (0%) 0mo $56,000 $38 95
620 Maxwell Ave 0.31mi 2/1.0 1,488 (+1%) 4mo $139,900 $94 81
328 Keck Ave 0.45mi 2/1.5 1,442 (-2%) 4mo $157,500 $109 70
613 E Louisiana St 0.11mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,296 (-12%) 3mo $25,000 $19 67
1112 1114 Read St 0.65mi 2/2.0 1,456 (-2%) 2mo $17,500 $12 61
20 W Eichel Ave 0.46mi 2/2.0 1,552 (+5%) 6mo $134,000 $86 61
29 E Oregon St 0.40mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,544 (+4%) 7mo $40,000 $26 59
212 E Delaware St 0.46mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,600 (+8%) 1mo $213,250 $133 55
509 E Michigan St 0.62mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,512 (+2%) 7mo $35,000 $23 54
316 Keck Ave 0.46mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,386 (-6%) 11mo $162,000 $117 50
202 W Missouri St 0.60mi 3/3.0 (+1) 1,346 (-9%) 8mo $135,000 $100 38
316 W Maryland St 0.74mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,296 (-12%) 10mo $60,000 $46 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.72% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.4%
Equity multiple
2.53×
Total profit
$23,592
Equity at exit
$8,201
10-year hold
IRR
43.3%
Equity multiple
5.91×
Total profit
$75,672
Equity at exit
$4,755

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47711

Home prices YoY
-32.3%
Rents YoY
6.7%
Active inventory
229
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,080 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax from tax record
$98 /mo · $1,174/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$227
Net cashflow
$444

Break-even live

Break-even rent $518
Max offer price $55,000
Occupancy floor 54%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $475 -5% $460 +0% $444 +5% $428 +10% $413
Rent -10% $359 -5% $401 +0% $444 +5% $487 +10% $529
Rate -1.0pp $472 -0.5pp $458 base $444 +0.5pp $430 +1.0pp $415

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,750
Closing costs
$1,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
200 N Main St Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0–2.0 857 $1,599 $1.86 14d 7 0.84mi
41 W Division St Apt 200 Evansville, IN 2.0 2.0 1083 $1,500 $1.39 22d 1 1.00mi
304 S Grand Ave Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 967 $955 $0.99 22d 1 1.15mi
1303 E Indiana St Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 975 $1,195 $1.23 14d 1 1.19mi
1321 E Indiana St Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 964 $1,050 $1.09 14d 1 1.21mi
706 Court St Evansville, IN 2.0 1.5 1100 $850 $0.77 22d 1 1.22mi
313 NW Martin Luther King Junior Blvd Unit 311 Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 1200 $950 $0.79 22d 1 1.23mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-04-22
    status Pending
  2. 2026-02-10
    status Active
  3. 2026-02-09
    status Pending
  4. 2026-02-04
    listed $55,000 Active
  5. 2018-07-31
    listed $38,700

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,174 · $98/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,174 · $98/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,959
− Mortgage interest
−$3,081
− Property taxes
−$1,174
− Insurance
−$275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,037
− Management
−$1,037
− Depreciation
−$1,600
Taxable income
$4,756
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,141
After-tax cash flow
$4,186/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation
NCES district ID
1803450
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$43,270
Composite
33.41/100
National rank
#5471
State rank
#153 of 301 in IN

Livability — Evansville

Score
63/100
State rank
#416
US rank
#15047

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Evansville, IN
County
Vanderburgh County · 146,793 people
City population
146,793
Metro
Evansville, IN-KY
Population (ZIP)
30,944
Household income
$66,320
Rent vs Own
24.4% rent · 75.6% own
Severe rent burden
659.0

Population outlook (Vanderburgh County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
187,038 people
By 2030
188,907 · +1.0%
By 2040
190,272 · +1.7%
By 2050
188,871 · +1.0%
By 2075
180,751 · -3.4%
By 2100
163,015 · -12.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Black 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Vanderburgh

2024 margin
R (+12.7) · D 43.0% · R 55.6% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-15.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -12.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+12.7 2020: R+9.6 2016: R+16.9 2012: R+10.8 2008: D+2.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -97.98%
Current HPI
205.62
Rent YoY
▲ 6.72%
Metro
Evansville, IN-KY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+42.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Pending IRMLS
  • 2026-02-10 Relisted IRMLS
  • 2026-02-09 Pending IRMLS
  • 2026-02-04 Listed $55,000 IRMLS
  • 2018-07-31 Listed $38,700 IRMLS

Property tax history

-1.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,174 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…