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2714 Louisville St
C Composite 57.84
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,900

2714 Louisville St · Fort Smith, AR 72901
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,904 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 125 Days on market
Built 1968 0.28 ac lot Est $223k · 33% under ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This home was built by the current seller and served his family well. It is spacious and has lots of potential for the next family to make it their own. It has some wonderful mid century features such as the family room fireplace, which is a must see! There is lots of storage space. The back yard features a large swimming pool with a pool house that includes a sauna and a full bathroom. There is even a treehouse/playhouse ready for a revamp for the next generation. The home is close to everything one could need in Fort Smith and minutes from the interstate for travel. Call today to see it all for yourself!

Key facts

  • Sauna
  • Pool house
  • Treehouse/playhouse

Tags

FAMILY ROOM FIREPLACELARGE SWIMMING POOLPOOL HOUSESAUNATREEHOUSE/PLAYHOUSESTORAGE SPACE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Cable available; Sewer available; Water available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two stories; House
  • Construction: Cedar construction; Asphalt shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as a residential house
  • Exterior features: Patio; Back yard fencing; Private in-ground pool; Outbuilding; Sloped city lot; Public maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Sauna; Ceiling fans; Storage; Walk-in closets; Drapes; Gas water heater; Wood-burning stove (free standing) in family room; One fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $187 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (10.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.3% in Fort Smith — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#151 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Fort Smith School District (urban): math 35% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #106 of 238 in AR (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Raymond F. Orr Elem. School (math 36% / reading 33%, grade F, #254 of 454 statewide, top 59%, 306 students, 77% FRL); Ramsey Junior High School (math 37% / reading 47%, grade D-, #78 of 201 statewide, top 40%, 832 students, 67% FRL); Southside High School (math 36% / reading 53%, grade F, #31 of 292 statewide, top 12%, 1,956 students, 47% FRL) — zoned schools at 64% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 174 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 388 units permitted in Sebastian County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sebastian County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 125 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $131,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 125 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
7.79%
Cash-on-cash
5.33%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$222,768
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4308 S 25th St 0.16mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,958 (+3%) 7mo $193,000 $99 75
2523 Independence St 0.41mi 3/2.5 1,933 (+2%) 10mo $205,000 $106 68
2823 Jackson St 0.31mi 3/2.5 1,980 (+4%) 12mo $247,500 $125 67
2800 Ionia St 0.31mi 3/2.0 2,002 (+5%) 13mo $90,000 $45 66
3121 S Cliff Dr 0.34mi 3/2.0 2,034 (+7%) 10mo $225,000 $111 65
3404 S 33rd Cir 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,850 (-3%) 2mo $219,000 $118 62
2420 Independence St 0.40mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,011 (+6%) 4mo $249,900 $124 60
4815 S 32nd St 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,730 (-9%) 8mo $168,000 $97 54
5 Old Greenwood Ln 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,799 (-6%) 5mo $205,000 $114 54
2516 Houston St 0.47mi 3/3.0 2,140 (+12%) 8mo $353,000 $165 46
3215 S Fresno St 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,636 (-14%) 13mo $220,000 $134 32
1922 Utica St 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,622 (-15%) 11mo $189,000 $117 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.37% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.7%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-10,610
Equity at exit
$22,351
10-year hold
IRR
4.2%
Equity multiple
1.33×
Total profit
$13,659
Equity at exit
$12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72901

Rents YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
174
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,343 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$26 /mo · $309/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$282
Net cashflow
$187

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,107
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3700 Dallas St Fort Smith, AR 3.0 2.0 1544 $1,795 $1.16 21d 1 1.01mi
2800 Wharton Cir Unit 2323 Fort Smith, AR 2.0 2.0 1240 $925 $0.75 13d 1 1.20mi
2307 S 23rd St Fort Smith, AR 3.0 2.5 1356 $1,595 $1.18 21d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $149,900 Active 125 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,900 Active 124 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,900 Active 123 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,900 Active 122 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,900 Active 121 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $149,900 Active 119 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,900 Active 118 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $149,900 Active 116 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,900 Active 115 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,900 Active 114 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,900 Active 113 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,900 Active 109 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,900 Active 108 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,900 Active 107 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,900 Active 106 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $149,900 Active 105 DOM
  17. 2026-04-04
    price $199,900
  18. 2026-02-13
    listed $224,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$309 · $26/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$959 · $80/mo
Expected delta
+$650/yr (+$54/mo · 210.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,115
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$309
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,289
− Management
−$1,289
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable loss
−$280
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$67
After-tax cash flow
$2,306/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fort Smith School District
NCES district ID
0506330
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$36,066
Composite
30.66/100
National rank
#6183
State rank
#106 of 238 in AR

Livability — Fort Smith

Score
65/100
State rank
#151
US rank
#13185

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fort Smith, AR
County
Sebastian County · 99,312 people
City population
94,356
Metro
Fort Smith, AR-OK
Population (ZIP)
19,819
Household income
$42,851
Rent vs Own
56.7% rent · 43.3% own
Severe rent burden
1117.0

Population outlook (Sebastian County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
133,992 people
By 2030
136,620 · +2.0%
By 2040
140,832 · +5.1%
By 2050
143,301 · +6.9%
By 2075
147,964 · +10.4%
By 2100
145,848 · +8.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 12% Black 10% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam, Guatemala
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sebastian

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.5) · D 30.0% · R 67.6% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-2.9pp toward R · 2008: -34.6pp · 2024: -37.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.5 2020: R+35.5 2016: R+38.1 2012: R+37.1 2008: R+34.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -173.82%
Current HPI
172.3777
Rent YoY
▲ 4.37%
Metro
Fort Smith, AR-OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.1% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-04 Price Changed $199,900 WRVBOR
  • 2026-02-13 Listed $224,900 WRVBOR

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $309 · +7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…