Duplex
7742 Walpole Ave · California City, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.0/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.2/15.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.2/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
$310,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
RENOVATED DUPLEX! DUPLEX Price to sell!!! New Tile Flooring throughout, New Roof, New Interior Fresh Paint, New Electric, New Plumbing, New kitchen Appliances, New bathrooms, New Exterior Fresh Paint, New Fence and New Desert Landscaping throughout. 100% Fully Renovated, just finished in June 2023. Seller is Motivated bring offers.
Key facts
- Functional kitchen
- Versatile layout
- Ample parking
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Gross rent multiplier reported as 0.00
- Financial info: Two units total; Price per unit listed at $155,000
Exterior
- Parking: Each unit includes 2 parking spaces
- Utilities: No individual electric metering; No master electric metering; No individual water heater; No master water heater; No individual water service; No master water service
- Home design: Single-story units
- Construction: Stucco exterior; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Lot zoned R1
Interior
- Bedrooms: Each unit has 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Central gas heat
- Interior features: Two-unit property (duplex)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $310k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $154 ($2k/yr) — positive. Per door: $77/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $286k (7.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $286k (7.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 5.2% in California City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 44/100 on livability (#1,329 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Mojave Unified (town): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #411 of 517 in CA (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 703 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,244 units permitted in Kern County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,859/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 883% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $33k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $31k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Kern County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $87k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$53k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 18 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.14%
- DSCR
- 1.10
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $322,240
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8100 Quezon Ave | 0.35mi | 4/4.0 | 1,650 (+9%) | 6mo | $350,000 | $212 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 5.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.14×
- Total profit
- $185,911
- Equity at exit
- $279,273
- IRR
- 24.1%
- Equity multiple
- 7.41×
- Total profit
- $555,958
- Equity at exit
- $602,262
Cash invested: $86,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93505
- Home prices YoY
- 13.0%
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 703
- Price-to-rent
- 18.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,859 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,626
- Tax from tax record
- −$349 /mo · $4,192/yr
- Insurance
- −$129
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$600
- Net cashflow
- $154
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $330 | -5% $242 | +0% $154 | +5% $67 | +10% $-21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-71 | -5% $42 | +0% $154 | +5% $267 | +10% $380 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $311 | -0.5pp $233 | base $154 | +0.5pp $74 | +1.0pp $-8 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,858 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,429 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,429 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,859 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $77,500
- Closing costs
- $9,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7733 Walpole Ave Unit A California City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,000 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 21032 79th St California City, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1228 | $2,100 | $1.71 | 24d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 7317 California City Blvd California City, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1228 | $1,725 | $1.40 | 19d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 7343 Dogwood Ave California City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1301 | $2,250 | $1.73 | 24d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 7113 Victor Pl Unit B California City, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1240 | $1,600 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 8100 Fernwood Ave California City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1336 | $1,850 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 20673 Medio St California City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1690 | $2,075 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 20425 81st St California City, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2215 | $2,900 | $1.31 | 19d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 8307 Charles Pl California City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1498 | $1,750 | $1.17 | 15d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 8332 Rea Ave California City, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1861 | $2,500 | $1.34 | 4d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 6761 California City Blvd California City, CA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1770 | $2,500 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 8160 Kalmia Ave California City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1277 | $1,795 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 20300 Graham St California City, CA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2016 | $2,150 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 21811 69th St California City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $1,700 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 21801 69th St California City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,700 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 6833 Rea Ave California City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1512 | $1,395 | $0.92 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 21231 Corwin St California City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1632 | $2,500 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 20312 Dean Ct California City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1742 | $1,975 | $1.13 | 15d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 8801 S Loop Blvd California City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1537 | $2,600 | $1.69 | 24d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 8648 Lime Ave California City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1459 | $2,400 | $1.64 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 8560 Nipa Ave California City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1309 | $1,850 | $1.41 | 15d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 20321 88th St California City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1176 | $2,100 | $1.79 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 8124 Underwood Ave California City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1507 | $1,850 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 9019 Evelyn Ave California City, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1731 | $2,600 | $1.50 | 4d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 8312 Tamarack Ave California City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1539 | $1,900 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $310,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $310,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $310,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $310,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $310,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13$310,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,192 · $349/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,192 · $349/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 17 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,308
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,365
- − Property taxes
- −$4,192
- − Insurance
- −$1,550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,745
- − Management
- −$2,745
- − Depreciation
- −$9,018
- Taxable loss
- −$3,306
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$793
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,647/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mojave Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0625230
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,017
- Composite
- 21.4/100
- National rank
- #8350
- State rank
- #411 of 517 in CA
Livability — California City
- Score
- 44/100
- State rank
- #1329
- US rank
- #26753
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- California City, CA
- County
- Kern County · 710,371 people
- City population
- 14,353
- Metro
- Bakersfield, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,353
- Household income
- $59,827
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 883.0
Population outlook (Kern County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 947,286 people
- By 2030
- 978,984 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,045,018 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,105,232 · +16.7%
- By 2075
- 1,229,538 · +29.8%
- By 2100
- 1,238,059 · +30.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 40% White 30% Black 22% Two or more races 16% Native American 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 29%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Spanish 29%
Political lean MEDSL · Kern
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.1) · D 38.2% · R 59.3% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.3pp toward R · 2008: -17.8pp · 2024: -21.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.1 2020: R+10.2 2016: R+15.0 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+17.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 46.32%
- Current HPI
- 402.4192
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.45%
- Metro
- Bakersfield, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
+110.9% since first listed44 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $310,000 AVMLS
- 2023-08-22 Pending — AVMLS
- 2023-08-21 Sold (Public Records) $310,000 Public Records
- 2023-08-21 Sold (MLS) $310,000 CRMLS
- 2023-08-21 Sold (MLS) $310,000 AVMLS
- 2023-06-19 Listed $339,950 CRMLS
- 2023-06-18 Listed $339,950 AVMLS
- 2023-05-31 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2023-04-28 Price Changed $349,950 CRMLS
- 2023-04-26 Price Changed $349,950 AVMLS
- 2023-04-19 Listed $389,000 CRMLS
- 2022-12-19 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2022-08-29 Listed $239,000 CRMLS
- 2022-08-28 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2022-08-13 Listed $245,000 CRMLS
- 2022-02-07 Listing Removed — AVMLS
- 2022-02-04 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
- 2022-02-04 Sold (MLS) $155,000 AVMLS
- 2022-01-06 Relisted — AVMLS
- 2021-11-30 Listed $165,000 AVMLS
- 2020-12-22 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2020-12-10 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2020-12-09 Listing Removed — AVMLS
- 2020-12-07 Price Changed $110,000 AVMLS
- 2020-12-06 Price Changed $110,000 CRMLS
- 2020-12-02 Listed $170,000 AVMLS
- 2020-12-02 Listed $170,000 CRMLS
- 2015-03-18 Listing Removed — AVMLS
- 2015-03-17 Listing Removed — AVMLS
- 2015-03-17 Listing Removed — AVMLS
- 2014-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records
- 2014-06-06 Sold (MLS) $51,000 AVMLS
- 2014-04-23 Listing Removed — AVMLS
- 2014-04-23 Listed $54,900 AVMLS
- 2014-03-14 Listed $59,000 AVMLS
- 2013-08-19 Listed $64,900 AVMLS
- 2012-07-18 Listed $79,900 AVMLS
- 2010-10-21 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records
- 2010-08-31 Listing Removed — AVMLS
- 2010-07-16 Listed $49,900 AVMLS
- 2007-05-03 Listing Removed — AVMLS
- 2007-03-20 Listed $189,500 AVMLS
- 2007-03-20 Listed $179,500 AVMLS
- 2006-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $147,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+19.4%/yrLatest (2025): $4,192 · -5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…