950 CALIFORNIA St #116 · Calimesa, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 10/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 34 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 40 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
~GREAT HOME~NICELY SITUATED IN A CUL-DE-SAC LOCATED IN CALIMESAS 55+ COMMUNITY OF THE CALIFORNIAN. .. LOW SPACE RENT ONLY $613~ ~UPGRADES INCLUDE. .. .NEWER CENTRAL HEATING & AIR ONLY APPROX 8 YEARS OLD PLUS AN EVAPORATIVE COOLER~FULLY UPDATED ELECTRICAL SYSTEM FEATURING NEW WIRING, CIRCUITS AND ELECTRICAL PANEL PLUS ALL NEW OUTLETS AND SWITCHES. .. INSTALLED IN DEC 2025 AT A COST OF $10,000~FRESHLY PAINTED INTERIOR IN 2021~BRIGHT LIVING ROOM WITH WALL-TO-WALL WINDOWS IN THE FRONT PLUS CEILING FAN~FULL SIZE DINING ROOM WITH BUILT-IN HUTCH PLUS CEILING FAN~SPACIOUS GALLEY KITCHEN WITH PLENTY OF CABINET AND COUNTER SPACE~HALLWAY WITH DOUBLE DOOR PANTRY~PRIMARY BEDROOM IS QUEEN SIZE WIT
Key facts
- Central heating
- Ceiling fan
- Galley kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Land lease: $598 per month (seller-provided)
- HOA & community: Senior community; Suburban neighborhood; Manager approval required; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Located in CALIFORNIAN park
- Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
- Home design: Single-story; Mobile home on site (20' x 48'); Entry level: 1
- Construction: Year built per assessor; Mobile home (double-wide)
- Exterior features: Porch; Arizona room; Community pool; Back yard
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central furnace heating; Central air and evaporative cooling
- Interior features: Front/carport entry; Community spa
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry; Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $839 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Cap rate 18.9% vs local median 6.7% in Calimesa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#865 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-, employment B; Watch: health & safety D+, schools D, amenities F.
- Yucaipa-Calimesa Joint Unified (suburban): math 32% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #195 of 517 in CA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 45.00%
- DSCR
- 3.00
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $97,920
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 950 CALIFORNIA St #34 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (0%) | 20mo | $99,000 | $103 | 83 |
| 975 California St #69 | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (0%) | 13mo | $107,000 | $111 | 82 |
| 975 California St #100 | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (0%) | 22mo | $104,000 | $108 | 75 |
| 950 California St #87 | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 | 1,080 (+12%) | 10mo | $159,000 | $147 | 69 |
| 975 California St Spc 46 | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 | 864 (-10%) | 11mo | $88,000 | $102 | 67 |
| 975 California St #12 | 0.13mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 850 (-12%) | 2mo | $61,000 | $72 | 64 |
| 1001 S 3rd St #13 | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 860 (-10%) | 11mo | $55,000 | $64 | 53 |
| 1001 S 3rd St #31 | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 | 860 (-10%) | 13mo | $51,818 | $60 | 50 |
| 1001 S 3rd St #15 | 0.37mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 856 (-11%) | 20mo | $43,500 | $51 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 42.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.81×
- Total profit
- $40,516
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 48.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.66×
- Total profit
- $104,198
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92320
- Home prices YoY
- -22.2%
- Active inventory
- 67
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,761 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$100 /mo · $1,198/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$370
- Net cashflow
- $839
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $894 | -5% $867 | +0% $839 | +5% $811 | +10% $784 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $700 | -5% $769 | +0% $839 | +5% $909 | +10% $978 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $879 | -0.5pp $859 | base $839 | +0.5pp $818 | +1.0pp $797 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1032 California St Unit A Calimesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 748 | $2,125 | $2.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 213 W County Line Rd #5 Calimesa, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,750 | $1.84 | 12d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 213 W County Line Rd #6 Calimesa, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,750 | $1.84 | 0d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 13383 3rd St Unit 3 Yucaipa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,800 | $2.40 | 25d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 13645 5th St #75 Yucaipa, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 890 | $1,700 | $1.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 947 Park Ave Calimesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,600 | $2.00 | 15d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 34063 Avenue J Apt A Yucaipa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,250 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 12710 3rd St Unit 97 Yucaipa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,350 | $2.01 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 12710 3rd St Unit 81 Yucaipa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 560 | $1,495 | $2.67 | 5d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 12710 3rd St Unit 31 Yucaipa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,650 | $2.06 | 25d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 12710 3rd St Spc 3 Yucaipa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $1,595 | $2.49 | 25d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 12710 3rd St #32 Yucaipa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,650 | $2.06 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 12710 3rd St #57 Yucaipa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,495 | $2.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 12710 3rd St Spc 2 Yucaipa, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 660 | $1,650 | $2.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 12710 3rd St #21 Yucaipa, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 760 | $1,650 | $2.17 | 25d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 695-char remark
-
2026-06-08$79,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 10/10 Extreme
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 34 unhealthy d/yr today · 40 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,132
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$1,198
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,691
- − Management
- −$1,691
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $9,353
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,245
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,823/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
The home requires moderate repairs, including a new roof and carpet flooring, to improve its condition and increase its value for resale and rental.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — The satellite image shows signs of wear and tear, indicating a potential need for replacement.
- Major flooring — The carpeted flooring in the living room and kitchen is in poor condition and needs replacement.
Value-add opportunities
- Both replace roof — Replacing the roof will improve the home's overall condition and increase its value for both resale and rental.
- Both replace carpet flooring — Replacing the carpet flooring will improve the home's appearance and increase its value for both resale and rental.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| roof · The satellite image shows signs of wear and tear, indicating a potential need for replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| flooring · The carpeted flooring in the living room and kitchen is in poor condition and needs replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $30,000–100,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both replace roof — Replacing the roof will improve the home's overall condition and increase its value for both resale and rental. ↑
- Both replace carpet flooring — Replacing the carpet flooring will improve the home's appearance and increase its value for both resale and rental. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Yucaipa-Calimesa Joint Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0643560
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,243
- Composite
- 38.09/100
- National rank
- #4277
- State rank
- #195 of 517 in CA
Livability — Calimesa
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #865
- US rank
- #23579
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Calimesa, CA
- City population
- 10,680
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,680
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 12% Asian 3% Black 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 27%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 12% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -104.13%
- Current HPI
- 364.3627
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-07 Listed $79,900 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…