233-16 131st Ave · New York, NY
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$229,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This detached, brick home is a co-op with one bedroom and one full bathroom, a living room, dining room and eat-in kitchen. Close to many restaurants and shopping areas. Walking distance to the Q5 bus, J train and a short walking distance to Laurelton Playground., Additional information: Business Located At:,Interior Features:Combo Kitchen,Rental Income:
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- White subway tiles
- New kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Community includes a park
- HOA & community: Laurelton Gardens association; Association provides landscaping, live-in superintendent, maintenance (including grounds), park access, parking, and snow removal; Monthly association includes heat, hot water, sewer, and water; Additional monthly assessment of $80 through 12/31/2026
Exterior
- Parking: Garage; Off-street parking; On-street parking
- Utilities: Public sewer; Private trash collection
- Home design: Stock cooperative; One-level unit (listed as entry level 2); Two-story building; Located on the second floor
- Construction: Brick construction; Updated/remodeled
- Exterior features: Brick construction; Near public transit; Near schools; Near shops; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances; ENERGY STAR qualified appliances; Gas water heater
- Bedrooms: Second floor location
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Radiant heat; No cooling
- Interior features: Quartz/Quartzite counters; Recessed lighting; Updated/remodeled condition; No basement
- Laundry & utility: Common area laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $229k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $407 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $229k).
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Is 227 Louis Armstrong (math 52% / reading 69%, grade B+, #153 of 729 statewide, top 21%, 1,528 students, 68% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
- Market conditions: 109 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $140k; list at $229k implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.61%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-11,179
- Equity at exit
- $34,145
- IRR
- 5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.37×
- Total profit
- $23,759
- Equity at exit
- $19,800
Cash invested: $64,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11422
- Active inventory
- 109
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,518 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,201
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$286 /mo · $3,435/yr
- Insurance
- −$95
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$529
- Net cashflow
- $407
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $565 | -5% $486 | +0% $407 | +5% $327 | +10% $248 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $208 | -5% $307 | +0% $407 | +5% $506 | +10% $605 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $522 | -0.5pp $465 | base $407 | +0.5pp $347 | +1.0pp $287 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,250
- Closing costs
- $6,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
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- Monthly cashflow
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- DSCR
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- Eligible?
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Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 138-41 230th Pl Unit 2ND Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 592 | $2,600 | $4.39 | 26d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1003 Rottkamp St #1 Valley Stream, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $2,400 | $4.36 | 3d | 1 | 0.96mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-01status Pending
-
2026-04-22$229,000 Active
-
2020-02-11soldstatus $140,000 Closed 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
This detached, brick home is a co-op with one bedroom and one full bathroom, a living room, dining room and eat-in kitchen. Close to many restaurants and shopping areas. Walking distance to the Q5 bus, J train and a short walking distance to Laurelton Playground., Additional information: Business Located At:,Interior Features:Combo Kitchen,Rental Income:
-
2020-02-04status Under Contract 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
This detached, brick home is a co-op with one bedroom and one full bathroom, a living room, dining room and eat-in kitchen. Close to many restaurants and shopping areas. Walking distance to the Q5 bus, J train and a short walking distance to Laurelton Playground., Additional information: Business Located At:,Interior Features:Combo Kitchen,Rental Income:
-
2019-12-12status Back On Market 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
This detached, brick home is a co-op with one bedroom and one full bathroom, a living room, dining room and eat-in kitchen. Close to many restaurants and shopping areas. Walking distance to the Q5 bus, J train and a short walking distance to Laurelton Playground., Additional information: Business Located At:,Interior Features:Combo Kitchen,Rental Income:
-
2019-05-24status Under Contract 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
This detached, brick home is a co-op with one bedroom and one full bathroom, a living room, dining room and eat-in kitchen. Close to many restaurants and shopping areas. Walking distance to the Q5 bus, J train and a short walking distance to Laurelton Playground., Additional information: Business Located At:,Interior Features:Combo Kitchen,Rental Income:
-
2019-02-04$149,000 New 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
This detached, brick home is a co-op with one bedroom and one full bathroom, a living room, dining room and eat-in kitchen. Close to many restaurants and shopping areas. Walking distance to the Q5 bus, J train and a short walking distance to Laurelton Playground., Additional information: Business Located At:,Interior Features:Combo Kitchen,Rental Income:
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,214
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,828
- − Property taxes
- −$3,435
- − Insurance
- −$1,145
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,417
- − Management
- −$2,417
- − Depreciation
- −$6,662
- Taxable income
- $1,310
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$314
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,564/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,085
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 78% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% White 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 12%
- Foreign-born
- 40% · Canada, Mexico, China
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 13% Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
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Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -394.74%
- Current HPI
- 284.6464
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+53.7% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-22 Listed $229,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-02-11 Sold (MLS) $140,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-02-04 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-12-12 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-05-24 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-02-04 Listed $149,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…