308 Spruce · Athol, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.2/5.0
$45,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Renovated in 1987
- Laundry room
- Covered patio
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $652 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 45/100 on livability (#650 in KS) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Thunder Ridge Schools (rural): math 35% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #120 of 280 in KS (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($311 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Smith County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.71% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 62.10%
- DSCR
- 3.76
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 66.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.73×
- Total profit
- $46,966
- Equity at exit
- $20,234
- IRR
- 66.4%
- Equity multiple
- 9.65×
- Total profit
- $109,029
- Equity at exit
- $31,183
Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 66932
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,219 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$236
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$56 /mo · $675/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$256
- Net cashflow
- $652
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,250
- Closing costs
- $1,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $45,000 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $45,000 Active 16 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $45,000 Active 15 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $45,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $45,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $45,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $45,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $45,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $45,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $45,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $45,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-01$45,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,628
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,521
- − Property taxes
- −$675
- − Insurance
- −$225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,170
- − Management
- −$1,170
- − Depreciation
- −$1,309
- Taxable income
- $7,558
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,814
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,010/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thunder Ridge Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2000346
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,692
- Composite
- 32.38/100
- National rank
- #10878
- State rank
- #120 of 280 in KS
Livability — Athol
- Score
- 45/100
- State rank
- #650
- US rank
- #26694
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Athol, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 118
Population outlook (Smith County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,421 people
- By 2030
- 3,302 · -3.5%
- By 2040
- 3,081 · -9.9%
- By 2050
- 2,805 · -18.0%
- By 2075
- 2,521 · -26.3%
- By 2100
- 1,978 · -42.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (99%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 99%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Smith
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+68.5) · D 15.0% · R 83.5% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.8pp toward R · 2008: -57.8pp · 2024: -68.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+68.5 2020: R+67.2 2016: R+66.5 2012: R+63.2 2008: R+57.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+32.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $45,000 FSBO.com
- 2001-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 1994-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…