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313 N Church St
D Composite 44.79
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.3/30.0
  • DSCR +6.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,900

313 N Church St · Allentown, PA 18102
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,472 sqft · Townhouse public records · 30 Days on market
Built 1873 1,760 sqft lot $122/sqft · 22% above area Est $147k · 22% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

4 bedroom house, with dining room, eat in kitchen, and laundry room. 2 car off street parking in the rear of the house. Tenant pays $750.00/month in rent.

Key facts

  • New water heater
  • Off-street parking
  • New heating system

Tags

RECENT INTERIOR PAINTINGNEW HEATING SYSTEMNEW WATER HEATEROFF-STREET PARKINGCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: 200+ amp electric service; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Aluminum siding and brick veneer exterior; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
  • Construction: Year built unknown
  • Exterior features: Lot zoned R-MH

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate; Resilient
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Gas heating
  • Interior features: Dining area; Separate/formal dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Has basement (other)
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $262 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
  • Recommended offer: $177k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 5.3% in Allentown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#171 in PA, #1,440 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D.
  • Allentown City SD (urban): math 10% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #513 of 539 in PA (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Central El Sch (math 2% / reading 24%, grade F, #1,354 of 1,518 statewide, top 89%, 662 students, 100% FRL); Francis D Raub Ms (math 2% / reading 24%, grade F, #484 of 512 statewide, top 95%, 909 students, 100% FRL); William Allen Hs (math 29% / reading 10%, grade F, #392 of 437 statewide, top 90%, 2,852 students, 87% FRL) — zoned schools average 96% FRL vs 73% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 170 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 765 units permitted in Lehigh County in 2024 (286 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,814/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 4313% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lehigh County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $54k; list at $180k implies a 232% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1873 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $177,201 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1873 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
8.04%
Cash-on-cash
6.25%
DSCR
1.28
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$146,889
List price
$179,900
Delta
22.47%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
318 N Lumber 0.23mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,440 (-2%) 2mo $132,000 $92 79
613 W Allen St 0.27mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,480 (+0%) 1mo $220,000 $149 78
815 Greenleaf St 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,442 (-2%) 2mo $185,000 $128 65
634 N New St 0.48mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,391 (-6%) 2mo $216,000 $155 62
1029 W Allen St 0.54mi 3/1.5 1,392 (-5%) 2mo $210,000 $151 62
816 W Allen St 0.33mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,328 (-10%) 0mo $165,000 $124 59
384 W Gordon St 0.35mi 3/1.0 1,266 (-14%) 2mo $200,000 $158 59
215 N 10th St 0.41mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,590 (+8%) 1mo $267,000 $168 57
408 N 2nd St 0.60mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,380 (-6%) 0mo $202,500 $147 54
616 N 12th St 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,380 (-6%) 1mo $230,000 $167 52
732 N 10th St 0.61mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,310 (-11%) 1mo $245,000 $187 46
1109 W Washington 0.74mi 3/1.5 1,624 (+10%) 2mo $251,500 $155 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.48% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.0%
Equity multiple
0.84×
Total profit
$-7,822
Equity at exit
$26,824
10-year hold
IRR
8.2%
Equity multiple
1.69×
Total profit
$34,657
Equity at exit
$15,554

Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18102

Rents YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
170
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,814 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$943
Tax from tax record
$152 /mo · $1,825/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$381
Net cashflow
$262

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,482
Max offer price $179,900
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $364 -5% $313 +0% $262 +5% $211 +10% $161
Rent -10% $119 -5% $191 +0% $262 +5% $334 +10% $406
Rate -1.0pp $353 -0.5pp $308 base $262 +0.5pp $216 +1.0pp $168

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,975
Closing costs
$5,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
622 W Chew St Unit 2 Allentown, PA 3.0 1.0 1161 $1,600 $1.38 21d 1 0.04mi
347 N 7th St Apt 3 Allentown, PA 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,500 $1.25 45d 1 0.08mi
626 Oak St Allentown, PA 3.0 1.0 1396 $1,900 $1.36 45d 1 0.08mi
432 N Law St Allentown, PA 4.0 1.0 1328 $1,500 $1.13 16d 1 0.17mi
209 N Eighth St Apt 2 Allentown, PA 3.0 1.0 1430 $1,550 $1.08 45d 1 0.17mi
440 N Hall St Unit 2 Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0 989 $1,400 $1.42 45d 1 0.19mi
107 N 7th St Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0–2.0 855 $2,972 $3.47 4d 23 0.21mi
828 W Gordon St Allentown, PA 4.0 2.5 1628 $2,250 $1.38 4d 1 0.23mi
528 N 6th St Allentown, PA 3.0 1.0 967 $1,700 $1.76 16d 1 0.23mi
27 N 7th St Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0–2.0 840 $2,222 $2.64 4d 11 0.24mi
26 N 6th St Allentown, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 953 $2,224 $2.33 4d 9 0.25mi
45 N 6th St Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0–2.0 1002 $3,616 $3.61 4d 13 0.26mi
451 W Liberty St Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0 1126 $1,395 $1.24 45d 1 0.27mi
832 Chestnut St Allentown, PA 3.0 1.0 1124 $2,100 $1.87 25d 1 0.29mi
827 Linden St Unit 829-1 Allentown, PA 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,495 $1.25 23d 1 0.30mi
829 Linden St Apt 1 Rear Allentown, PA 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,495 $1.25 25d 1 0.30mi
407 N 4th St Allentown, PA 3.0 1.5 1321 $1,550 $1.17 25d 1 0.33mi
944 W Gordon St Allentown, PA 3.0 1.5 1146 $1,750 $1.53 25d 1 0.35mi
835 Hamilton St Unit 509 Allentown, PA 2.0 2.0 1052 $2,399 $2.28 21d 1 0.37mi
835 Hamilton St Unit 608 Allentown, PA 2.0 2.0 1411 $2,725 $1.93 16d 1 0.38mi
835 Hamilton St Unit 409 Allentown, PA 2.0 2.0 1052 $2,374 $2.26 21d 1 0.38mi
835 Hamilton St Unit 424 Allentown, PA 2.0 2.0 1411 $2,625 $1.86 16d 1 0.38mi
535 Tilghman St Unit 1ST Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,495 $1.66 4d 1 0.40mi
535 Tilghman St Unit 2ND Allentown, PA 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,750 $1.17 4d 1 0.40mi
635 N Lumber St Allentown, PA 3.0 1.5 1117 $1,750 $1.57 4d 1 0.40mi
517 Elliger St Allentown, PA 3.0 1.5 1235 $1,700 $1.38 25d 1 0.40mi
395 W Allen St Allentown, PA 3.0 1.0 1344 $1,800 $1.34 25d 1 0.42mi
229 Peach St Allentown, PA 3.0 2.0 882 $1,800 $2.04 16d 1 0.47mi
818 Walnut St Apt 5 Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0 936 $1,450 $1.55 21d 1 0.48mi
915 Tilghman St Apt 4 Allentown, PA 3.0 1.0 1250 $1,750 $1.40 25d 1 0.48mi
932 W Hamilton St Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0–2.0 862 $2,350 $2.73 4d 15 0.49mi
814 Washington St #2 Allentown, PA 4.0 1.0 1200 $1,600 $1.33 4d 1 0.52mi
1039 E St Unit Linden St unit Apt Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,500 $1.25 25d 1 0.52mi
1036 Linden St #2 Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,600 $1.33 4d 1 0.53mi
45 N 11th St Unit 3 Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 4d 1 0.54mi
823 W Washington St Allentown, PA 4.0 1.0 1400 $1,950 $1.39 16d 1 0.54mi
408 Washington St Unit 2W Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,395 $1.16 4d 1 0.56mi
1010 W Hamilton St Allentown, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 943 $2,022 $2.14 4d 6 0.57mi
201 N 3rd St Allentown, PA 2.0 2.0 1145 $2,128 $1.86 4d 4 0.57mi
626 N 11th St Allentown, PA 4.0 1.5 1642 $2,200 $1.34 4d 1 0.61mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-14
    statusdays on market $179,900 Pending 30 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $179,900 Active 29 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $179,900 Active 28 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $179,900 Active 27 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $179,900 Active 26 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $179,900 Active 22 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $179,900 Active 21 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $179,900 Active 20 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $179,900 Active 19 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $179,900 Active 18 DOM
  11. 2026-05-12
    listed $179,900 Active 527-char remark
  12. 2006-09-22
    soldstatus $54,200
  13. 2006-09-21
    soldstatus $54,200 154-char remark
    Show marketing remark (154 chars)

    4 bedroom house, with dining room, eat in kitchen, and laundry room. 2 car off street parking in the rear of the house. Tenant pays $750.00/month in rent.

  14. 2006-08-14
    listed $69,900 154-char remark
    Show marketing remark (154 chars)

    4 bedroom house, with dining room, eat in kitchen, and laundry room. 2 car off street parking in the rear of the house. Tenant pays $750.00/month in rent.

  15. 2006-08-12
    historical
  16. 2005-11-11
    listed $69,900
  17. 2005-11-11
    historical
  18. 2005-07-11
    listed $59,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,825 · $152/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,334 · $194/mo
Expected delta
+$508/yr (+$42/mo · 27.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,765
− Mortgage interest
−$10,077
− Property taxes
−$1,825
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,741
− Management
−$1,741
− Depreciation
−$5,233
Taxable income
$247
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$59
After-tax cash flow
$3,089/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Allentown City SD
NCES district ID
4202280
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$36,337
Composite
12.43/100
National rank
#9630
State rank
#513 of 539 in PA

Livability — Allentown

Score
81/100
State rank
#171
US rank
#1440

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Allentown, PA
County
Lehigh County · 333,019 people
City population
172,996
Metro
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
Population (ZIP)
51,001
Household income
$43,085
Rent vs Own
67.9% rent · 32.1% own
Severe rent burden
4313.0

Population outlook (Lehigh County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
392,957 people
By 2030
408,319 · +3.9%
By 2040
440,007 · +12.0%
By 2050
475,940 · +21.1%
By 2075
590,448 · +50.3%
By 2100
690,314 · +75.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 69% Two or more races 28% White 18% Black 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 38% Dominican 22%
Common ancestry
Polish 1% Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
45% English-only · Spanish 52% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lehigh

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 48.0% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-12.9pp toward R · 2008: 15.6pp · 2024: 2.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.7 2020: D+7.6 2016: D+4.4 2012: D+7.5 2008: D+15.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -227.01%
Current HPI
404.834
Rent YoY
▲ 5.48%
Metro
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+200.3% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Pending GLVRMLS
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $179,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2006-09-22 Sold (Public Records) $54,200 Public Records
  • 2006-09-21 Sold (MLS) $54,200 GLVRMLS
  • 2006-08-14 Listed $69,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2006-08-12 Listing Removed GLVRMLS
  • 2005-11-11 Listing Removed GLVRMLS
  • 2005-11-11 Listed $69,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2005-07-11 Listed $59,900 GLVRMLS

Property tax history

-1.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,825 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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