313 N Church St · Allentown, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 15.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.3/30.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
4 bedroom house, with dining room, eat in kitchen, and laundry room. 2 car off street parking in the rear of the house. Tenant pays $750.00/month in rent.
Key facts
- New water heater
- Off-street parking
- New heating system
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: 200+ amp electric service; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Aluminum siding and brick veneer exterior; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Construction: Year built unknown
- Exterior features: Lot zoned R-MH
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate; Resilient
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Gas heating
- Interior features: Dining area; Separate/formal dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Has basement (other)
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $262 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $177k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 5.3% in Allentown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#171 in PA, #1,440 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D.
- Allentown City SD (urban): math 10% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #513 of 539 in PA (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Central El Sch (math 2% / reading 24%, grade F, #1,354 of 1,518 statewide, top 89%, 662 students, 100% FRL); Francis D Raub Ms (math 2% / reading 24%, grade F, #484 of 512 statewide, top 95%, 909 students, 100% FRL); William Allen Hs (math 29% / reading 10%, grade F, #392 of 437 statewide, top 90%, 2,852 students, 87% FRL) — zoned schools average 96% FRL vs 73% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 170 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 765 units permitted in Lehigh County in 2024 (286 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,814/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 4313% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lehigh County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $54k; list at $180k implies a 232% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1873 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1873 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.25%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $146,889
- List price
- $179,900
- Delta
- 22.47%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 318 N Lumber | 0.23mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,440 (-2%) | 2mo | $132,000 | $92 | 79 |
| 613 W Allen St | 0.27mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,480 (+0%) | 1mo | $220,000 | $149 | 78 |
| 815 Greenleaf St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,442 (-2%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $128 | 65 |
| 634 N New St | 0.48mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,391 (-6%) | 2mo | $216,000 | $155 | 62 |
| 1029 W Allen St | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 | 1,392 (-5%) | 2mo | $210,000 | $151 | 62 |
| 816 W Allen St | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,328 (-10%) | 0mo | $165,000 | $124 | 59 |
| 384 W Gordon St | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,266 (-14%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $158 | 59 |
| 215 N 10th St | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,590 (+8%) | 1mo | $267,000 | $168 | 57 |
| 408 N 2nd St | 0.60mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,380 (-6%) | 0mo | $202,500 | $147 | 54 |
| 616 N 12th St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,380 (-6%) | 1mo | $230,000 | $167 | 52 |
| 732 N 10th St | 0.61mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,310 (-11%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $187 | 46 |
| 1109 W Washington | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,624 (+10%) | 2mo | $251,500 | $155 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.48% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-7,822
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- 8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.69×
- Total profit
- $34,657
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18102
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 170
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,814 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$152 /mo · $1,825/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$381
- Net cashflow
- $262
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $364 | -5% $313 | +0% $262 | +5% $211 | +10% $161 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $119 | -5% $191 | +0% $262 | +5% $334 | +10% $406 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $353 | -0.5pp $308 | base $262 | +0.5pp $216 | +1.0pp $168 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 622 W Chew St Unit 2 Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1161 | $1,600 | $1.38 | 21d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 347 N 7th St Apt 3 Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 626 Oak St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1396 | $1,900 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 432 N Law St Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1328 | $1,500 | $1.13 | 16d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 209 N Eighth St Apt 2 Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1430 | $1,550 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 440 N Hall St Unit 2 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 989 | $1,400 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 107 N 7th St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 855 | $2,972 | $3.47 | 4d | 23 | 0.21mi |
| 828 W Gordon St Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1628 | $2,250 | $1.38 | 4d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 528 N 6th St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 967 | $1,700 | $1.76 | 16d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 27 N 7th St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 840 | $2,222 | $2.64 | 4d | 11 | 0.24mi |
| 26 N 6th St Allentown, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 953 | $2,224 | $2.33 | 4d | 9 | 0.25mi |
| 45 N 6th St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1002 | $3,616 | $3.61 | 4d | 13 | 0.26mi |
| 451 W Liberty St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1126 | $1,395 | $1.24 | 45d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 832 Chestnut St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1124 | $2,100 | $1.87 | 25d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 827 Linden St Unit 829-1 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,495 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 829 Linden St Apt 1 Rear Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,495 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 407 N 4th St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1321 | $1,550 | $1.17 | 25d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 944 W Gordon St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1146 | $1,750 | $1.53 | 25d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 835 Hamilton St Unit 509 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1052 | $2,399 | $2.28 | 21d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 835 Hamilton St Unit 608 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1411 | $2,725 | $1.93 | 16d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 835 Hamilton St Unit 409 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1052 | $2,374 | $2.26 | 21d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 835 Hamilton St Unit 424 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1411 | $2,625 | $1.86 | 16d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 535 Tilghman St Unit 1ST Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,495 | $1.66 | 4d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 535 Tilghman St Unit 2ND Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,750 | $1.17 | 4d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 635 N Lumber St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1117 | $1,750 | $1.57 | 4d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 517 Elliger St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1235 | $1,700 | $1.38 | 25d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 395 W Allen St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,800 | $1.34 | 25d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 229 Peach St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 882 | $1,800 | $2.04 | 16d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 818 Walnut St Apt 5 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,450 | $1.55 | 21d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 915 Tilghman St Apt 4 Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,750 | $1.40 | 25d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 932 W Hamilton St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 862 | $2,350 | $2.73 | 4d | 15 | 0.49mi |
| 814 Washington St #2 Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 4d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1039 E St Unit Linden St unit Apt Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1036 Linden St #2 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 4d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 45 N 11th St Unit 3 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 4d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 823 W Washington St Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,950 | $1.39 | 16d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 408 Washington St Unit 2W Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,395 | $1.16 | 4d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1010 W Hamilton St Allentown, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 943 | $2,022 | $2.14 | 4d | 6 | 0.57mi |
| 201 N 3rd St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1145 | $2,128 | $1.86 | 4d | 4 | 0.57mi |
| 626 N 11th St Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1642 | $2,200 | $1.34 | 4d | 1 | 0.61mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-14statusdays on market $179,900 Pending 30 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $179,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $179,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $179,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-12$179,900 Active 527-char remark
-
2006-09-22soldstatus $54,200
-
2006-09-21soldstatus $54,200 154-char remark
Show marketing remark (154 chars)
4 bedroom house, with dining room, eat in kitchen, and laundry room. 2 car off street parking in the rear of the house. Tenant pays $750.00/month in rent.
-
2006-08-14$69,900 154-char remark
Show marketing remark (154 chars)
4 bedroom house, with dining room, eat in kitchen, and laundry room. 2 car off street parking in the rear of the house. Tenant pays $750.00/month in rent.
-
2006-08-12historical
-
2005-11-11$69,900
-
2005-11-11historical
-
2005-07-11$59,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,825 · $152/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,334 · $194/mo
- Expected delta
- +$508/yr (+$42/mo · 27.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,765
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$1,825
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,741
- − Management
- −$1,741
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable income
- $247
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$59
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,089/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Allentown City SD
- NCES district ID
- 4202280
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,337
- Composite
- 12.43/100
- National rank
- #9630
- State rank
- #513 of 539 in PA
Livability — Allentown
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #171
- US rank
- #1440
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Allentown, PA
- County
- Lehigh County · 333,019 people
- City population
- 172,996
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,001
- Household income
- $43,085
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4313.0
Population outlook (Lehigh County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,957 people
- By 2030
- 408,319 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 440,007 · +12.0%
- By 2050
- 475,940 · +21.1%
- By 2075
- 590,448 · +50.3%
- By 2100
- 690,314 · +75.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 69% Two or more races 28% White 18% Black 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 38% Dominican 22%
- Common ancestry
- Polish 1% Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 45% English-only · Spanish 52% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lehigh
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 48.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.9pp toward R · 2008: 15.6pp · 2024: 2.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.7 2020: D+7.6 2016: D+4.4 2012: D+7.5 2008: D+15.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -227.01%
- Current HPI
- 404.834
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.48%
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+200.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Pending — GLVRMLS
- 2026-05-12 Listed $179,900 GLVRMLS
- 2006-09-22 Sold (Public Records) $54,200 Public Records
- 2006-09-21 Sold (MLS) $54,200 GLVRMLS
- 2006-08-14 Listed $69,900 GLVRMLS
- 2006-08-12 Listing Removed — GLVRMLS
- 2005-11-11 Listing Removed — GLVRMLS
- 2005-11-11 Listed $69,900 GLVRMLS
- 2005-07-11 Listed $59,900 GLVRMLS
Property tax history
-1.9%/yrLatest (2026): $1,825 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…