CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
2906 Richland Dr
C+ Composite 61.07
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.4/30.0
  • DSCR +9.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.7/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,000

2906 Richland Dr · Little Rock, AR 72206
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,176 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 76 Days on market
Built 1962 6,969 sqft lot $93/sqft · at area comps Est $105k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to Richland Subdivision! This well-maintained 3-bedroom home offers a versatile bonus room that can easily serve as a den, home office, or even a 4th bedroom. Move-in ready and situated on a quiet street, this property provides both comfort and convenience with easy access to downtown Little Rock, major interstates, and is just minutes from the airport. Key updates include a roof approximately 5 years old, a stove and refrigerator purchased last year, and recent HVAC improvements in 2024. Flooring was also updated around 2024, and a new storm door adds to the home’s appeal. Step outside to a spacious backyard featuring a shed with electricity—perfect for storage, hobbies, or a workshop.

Key facts

  • Quiet street
  • Spacious backyard
  • Bonus room

Tags

BONUS ROOMQUIET STREETEASY ACCESS TO DOWNTOWNSPACIOUS BACKYARDSHED WITH ELECTRICITYRECENT HVAC IMPROVEMENTS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $109k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $251 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $109k).
  • Recommended offer: $102k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 4.1% in Little Rock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#22 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Little Rock School District (urban): math 23% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #183 of 238 in AR (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 125 active listings in the ZIP; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $85k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $102,460 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
9.79%
Cash-on-cash
12.49%
DSCR
1.56
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$104,914
List price
$109,000
Delta
3.89%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3006 Bermuda Ln 0.07mi 3/1.0 1,196 (+2%) 12mo $105,000 $88 84
6507 Heather Ln 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,107 (-6%) 3mo $65,000 $59 80
2 Plantation Dr 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,319 (+12%) 11mo $176,000 $133 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.36% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.0%
Equity multiple
0.96×
Total profit
$-1,163
Equity at exit
$16,252
10-year hold
IRR
9.1%
Equity multiple
1.71×
Total profit
$21,639
Equity at exit
$9,424

Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72206

Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
125
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,287 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$572
Tax from tax record
$82 /mo · $980/yr
Insurance
$45
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$270
Net cashflow
$251

Break-even live

Break-even rent $969
Max offer price $109,000
Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,250
Closing costs
$3,270
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $109,000 Active 76 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $109,000 Active 75 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $109,000 Active 74 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $109,000 Active 73 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $109,000 Active 71 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $109,000 Active 70 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $109,000 Active 68 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $109,000 Active 67 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,000 Active 66 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $109,000 Active 62 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $109,000 Active 61 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $109,000 Active 60 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,000 Active 59 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,000 Active 58 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,000 Active 57 DOM
  16. 2026-05-11
    price $109,000 715-char remark
    Show marketing remark (715 chars)

    Welcome to Richland Subdivision! This well-maintained 3-bedroom home offers a versatile bonus room that can easily serve as a den, home office, or even a 4th bedroom. Move-in ready and situated on a quiet street, this property provides both comfort and convenience with easy access to downtown Little Rock, major interstates, and is just minutes from the airport. Key updates include a roof approximately 5 years old, a stove and refrigerator purchased last year, and recent HVAC improvements in 2024. Flooring was also updated around 2024, and a new storm door adds to the home’s appeal. Step outside to a spacious backyard featuring a shed with electricity—perfect for storage, hobbies, or a workshop.

  17. 2026-04-22
    price $119,900 715-char remark
    Show marketing remark (715 chars)

    Welcome to Richland Subdivision! This well-maintained 3-bedroom home offers a versatile bonus room that can easily serve as a den, home office, or even a 4th bedroom. Move-in ready and situated on a quiet street, this property provides both comfort and convenience with easy access to downtown Little Rock, major interstates, and is just minutes from the airport. Key updates include a roof approximately 5 years old, a stove and refrigerator purchased last year, and recent HVAC improvements in 2024. Flooring was also updated around 2024, and a new storm door adds to the home’s appeal. Step outside to a spacious backyard featuring a shed with electricity—perfect for storage, hobbies, or a workshop.

  18. 2026-04-04
    listed $123,900 New Listing 715-char remark
    Show marketing remark (715 chars)

    Welcome to Richland Subdivision! This well-maintained 3-bedroom home offers a versatile bonus room that can easily serve as a den, home office, or even a 4th bedroom. Move-in ready and situated on a quiet street, this property provides both comfort and convenience with easy access to downtown Little Rock, major interstates, and is just minutes from the airport. Key updates include a roof approximately 5 years old, a stove and refrigerator purchased last year, and recent HVAC improvements in 2024. Flooring was also updated around 2024, and a new storm door adds to the home’s appeal. Step outside to a spacious backyard featuring a shed with electricity—perfect for storage, hobbies, or a workshop.

  19. 2022-06-30
    soldstatus $85,000 Sold 22-char remark
    Show marketing remark (22 chars)

    New Listing Going Fast

  20. 2022-06-02
    status Under Contract 22-char remark
    Show marketing remark (22 chars)

    New Listing Going Fast

  21. 2022-05-19
    price $89,900 22-char remark
    Show marketing remark (22 chars)

    New Listing Going Fast

  22. 2022-05-03
    listed $94,900 New Listing 22-char remark
    Show marketing remark (22 chars)

    New Listing Going Fast

  23. 2010-10-07
    soldstatus $228,000
  24. 2003-07-03
    soldstatus $354,939

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$980 · $82/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$980 · $82/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,439
− Mortgage interest
−$6,106
− Property taxes
−$980
− Insurance
−$1,342
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,235
− Management
−$1,235
− Depreciation
−$3,171
Taxable income
$1,370
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$329
After-tax cash flow
$2,687/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Little Rock School District
NCES district ID
0509000
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$43,346
Composite
21.0/100
National rank
#8457
State rank
#183 of 238 in AR

Livability — Little Rock

Score
73/100
State rank
#22
US rank
#5295

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Little Rock, AR
County
Pulaski County · 372,764 people
City population
218,896
Metro
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
Population (ZIP)
22,667
Household income
$52,132
Rent vs Own
29.3% rent · 70.7% own
Severe rent burden
623.0

Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
415,378 people
By 2030
423,720 · +2.0%
By 2040
435,182 · +4.8%
By 2050
440,904 · +6.1%
By 2075
445,521 · +7.3%
By 2100
419,173 · +0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
Black 48% White 43% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
+10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -88.64%
Current HPI
158.3601
Rent YoY
▲ 3.36%
Metro
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-69.3% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $109,000 CARMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $119,900 CARMLS
  • 2026-04-04 Listed $123,900 CARMLS
  • 2022-06-30 Sold (MLS) $85,000 CARMLS
  • 2022-06-02 Pending CARMLS
  • 2022-05-19 Price Changed $89,900 CARMLS
  • 2022-05-03 Listed $94,900 CARMLS
  • 2010-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $228,000 Public Records
  • 2003-07-03 Sold (Public Records) $354,939 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $980 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…