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B- Composite 68.04
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$77,500

945 1900 Ave · Abilene, KS 67410
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,320 sqft · SingleFamily public records
Built 1970 1,320 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

4.2 Acres! So many possibilies with this property. Doublewide on a permanent foundation. It sits on 4.2 acres 2 miles out of Abilene on back top. 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath and 1 1/2 bath. 2 wells one for the house, one for livestock/garden and its on a septic. Roof was new in 2013 and many newer windows. Shop with several animal departments attached. Fenced in pasture for animals. Call Penny McDonald with Reynolds Real Estate @785-280-0885 for a showing.

Key facts

  • 1,320 sq ft lot
  • Built 1970

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $78k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $375 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $78k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#62 in KS, #3,932 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Abilene (town): math 25% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #81 of 169 in KS (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Dickinson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $536 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dickinson County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $78k implies a 94% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $77,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.40%
Cap rate
12.09%
Cash-on-cash
20.71%
DSCR
1.92
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.0%
Equity multiple
1.52×
Total profit
$11,277
Equity at exit
$11,556
10-year hold
IRR
21.9%
Equity multiple
2.86×
Total profit
$40,463
Equity at exit
$6,701

Cash invested: $21,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 67410

Home prices YoY
-16.5%
Active inventory
70
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,082 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$406
Tax from tax record
$42 /mo · $500/yr
Insurance
$32
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$227
Net cashflow
$375

Break-even live

Break-even rent $608
Max offer price $77,500
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,375
Closing costs
$2,325
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    soldstatus
  2. 2026-05-26
    status Pending
  3. 2026-05-11
    listed $77,500
  4. 2022-04-20
    soldstatus 456-char remark
    Show marketing remark (456 chars)

    4.2 Acres! So many possibilies with this property. Doublewide on a permanent foundation. It sits on 4.2 acres 2 miles out of Abilene on back top. 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath and 1 1/2 bath. 2 wells one for the house, one for livestock/garden and its on a septic. Roof was new in 2013 and many newer windows. Shop with several animal departments attached. Fenced in pasture for animals. Call Penny McDonald with Reynolds Real Estate @785-280-0885 for a showing.

  5. 2021-09-10
    listed $99,000 456-char remark
    Show marketing remark (456 chars)

    4.2 Acres! So many possibilies with this property. Doublewide on a permanent foundation. It sits on 4.2 acres 2 miles out of Abilene on back top. 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath and 1 1/2 bath. 2 wells one for the house, one for livestock/garden and its on a septic. Roof was new in 2013 and many newer windows. Shop with several animal departments attached. Fenced in pasture for animals. Call Penny McDonald with Reynolds Real Estate @785-280-0885 for a showing.

  6. 2006-07-01
    soldstatus $40,000
  7. 2002-05-01
    soldstatus $52,900
  8. 1996-10-01
    soldstatus $43,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$500 · $42/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,093 · $91/mo
Expected delta
+$593/yr (+$49/mo · 118.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,985
− Mortgage interest
−$4,341
− Property taxes
−$500
− Insurance
−$388
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,039
− Management
−$1,039
− Depreciation
−$2,255
Taxable income
$3,425
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$822
After-tax cash flow
$3,672/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Abilene
NCES district ID
2003180
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$50,477
Composite
28.26/100
National rank
#6796
State rank
#81 of 169 in KS

Livability — Abilene

Score
75/100
State rank
#62
US rank
#3932

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment C Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
10,177

Population outlook (Dickinson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,727 people
By 2030
18,312 · -2.2%
By 2040
17,433 · -6.9%
By 2050
16,493 · -11.9%
By 2075
14,441 · -22.9%
By 2100
11,707 · -37.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dickinson

2024 margin
Solid R (+55.0) · D 21.8% · R 76.7% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-12.8pp toward R · 2008: -42.2pp · 2024: -55.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+55.0 2020: R+54.1 2016: R+54.0 2012: R+47.7 2008: R+42.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -31.84%
Current HPI
161.2453
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+80.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Sold (MLS) FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2026-05-26 Pending FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $77,500 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2022-04-20 Sold (MLS) FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2021-09-10 Listed $99,000 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2006-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
  • 2002-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $52,900 Public Records
  • 1996-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $500 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…