945 1900 Ave · Abilene, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$77,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
4.2 Acres! So many possibilies with this property. Doublewide on a permanent foundation. It sits on 4.2 acres 2 miles out of Abilene on back top. 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath and 1 1/2 bath. 2 wells one for the house, one for livestock/garden and its on a septic. Roof was new in 2013 and many newer windows. Shop with several animal departments attached. Fenced in pasture for animals. Call Penny McDonald with Reynolds Real Estate @785-280-0885 for a showing.
Key facts
- 1,320 sq ft lot
- Built 1970
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $78k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $375 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $78k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#62 in KS, #3,932 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Abilene (town): math 25% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #81 of 169 in KS (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Dickinson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $536 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Dickinson County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $78k implies a 94% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.71%
- DSCR
- 1.92
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $11,277
- Equity at exit
- $11,556
- IRR
- 21.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.86×
- Total profit
- $40,463
- Equity at exit
- $6,701
Cash invested: $21,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 67410
- Home prices YoY
- -16.5%
- Active inventory
- 70
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,082 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$406
- Tax from tax record
- −$42 /mo · $500/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$227
- Net cashflow
- $375
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,375
- Closing costs
- $2,325
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-18soldstatus
-
2026-05-26status Pending
-
2026-05-11$77,500
-
2022-04-20soldstatus 456-char remark
Show marketing remark (456 chars)
4.2 Acres! So many possibilies with this property. Doublewide on a permanent foundation. It sits on 4.2 acres 2 miles out of Abilene on back top. 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath and 1 1/2 bath. 2 wells one for the house, one for livestock/garden and its on a septic. Roof was new in 2013 and many newer windows. Shop with several animal departments attached. Fenced in pasture for animals. Call Penny McDonald with Reynolds Real Estate @785-280-0885 for a showing.
-
2021-09-10$99,000 456-char remark
Show marketing remark (456 chars)
4.2 Acres! So many possibilies with this property. Doublewide on a permanent foundation. It sits on 4.2 acres 2 miles out of Abilene on back top. 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath and 1 1/2 bath. 2 wells one for the house, one for livestock/garden and its on a septic. Roof was new in 2013 and many newer windows. Shop with several animal departments attached. Fenced in pasture for animals. Call Penny McDonald with Reynolds Real Estate @785-280-0885 for a showing.
-
2006-07-01soldstatus $40,000
-
2002-05-01soldstatus $52,900
-
1996-10-01soldstatus $43,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $500 · $42/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,093 · $91/mo
- Expected delta
- +$593/yr (+$49/mo · 118.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,985
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,341
- − Property taxes
- −$500
- − Insurance
- −$388
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,039
- − Management
- −$1,039
- − Depreciation
- −$2,255
- Taxable income
- $3,425
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$822
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,672/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Abilene
- NCES district ID
- 2003180
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,477
- Composite
- 28.26/100
- National rank
- #6796
- State rank
- #81 of 169 in KS
Livability — Abilene
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #62
- US rank
- #3932
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,177
Population outlook (Dickinson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,727 people
- By 2030
- 18,312 · -2.2%
- By 2040
- 17,433 · -6.9%
- By 2050
- 16,493 · -11.9%
- By 2075
- 14,441 · -22.9%
- By 2100
- 11,707 · -37.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dickinson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.0) · D 21.8% · R 76.7% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.8pp toward R · 2008: -42.2pp · 2024: -55.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.0 2020: R+54.1 2016: R+54.0 2012: R+47.7 2008: R+42.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -31.84%
- Current HPI
- 161.2453
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+80.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Sold (MLS) — FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-05-26 Pending — FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-05-11 Listed $77,500 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2022-04-20 Sold (MLS) — FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2021-09-10 Listed $99,000 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2006-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 2002-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $52,900 Public Records
- 1996-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $500 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…