5020 Old Timber Rd · Hamilton, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 11.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.7/30.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$180,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
THE VIEWS HAVE IT! Get ready to fall in love with this S-P-A-C-I-O-U-S. . (1,500 sq. ft) 3-BR, 2-BA “NEW”, 2026 Champion ranch home, located on a corner lot in the community of Hamilton Hills. Custom designed . . . this home features many extras and upgrades! Open floor plan allows you to easily flow throughout the home. An ultimate kitchen features white cabinets with soft-close drawer guides, "Formica" countertops, Apron stainless sink, Whirlpool stainless appliances and a center island that seats 3! Master ensuite includes an interior accent "Tambour" wall, WIC and bathroom with double vanity, tub/shower, bathroom closet and vinyl flooring! A front covered
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Ultimate kitchen
- Corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Has land lease
- HOA & community: Association fee of $620 per month
Exterior
- Parking: Parking pad
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: 200+ amp electrical service with circuit breakers; Community/co-op sewer; Community/co-op water
- Home design: Single-story home; New construction
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Corner lot; Private road frontage; Has view; Mobile home on property
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Total of 6 rooms (includes bedrooms and other rooms)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Dining area; Mud room; Utility room; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main level; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $180k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $488 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Stroudsburg Area SD (suburban): math 33% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #315 of 539 in PA (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Hamilton Twp El Sch (math 47% / reading 57%, grade C-, #586 of 1,518 statewide, top 42%, 297 students, 38% FRL); Stroudsburg Ms (math 25% / reading 49%, grade F, #298 of 512 statewide, top 60%, 1,056 students, 45% FRL); Stroudsburg Hs (math 71% / reading 24%, grade D, #164 of 437 statewide, top 38%, 1,246 students, 34% FRL).
- Market conditions: 191 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.62%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $1,946
- Equity at exit
- $26,839
- IRR
- 10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $41,851
- Equity at exit
- $15,563
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18360
- Active inventory
- 191
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,192 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$225 /mo · $2,700/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$460
- Net cashflow
- $488
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $612 | -5% $550 | +0% $488 | +5% $426 | +10% $364 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $315 | -5% $401 | +0% $488 | +5% $575 | +10% $661 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $579 | -0.5pp $534 | base $488 | +0.5pp $441 | +1.0pp $394 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $180,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $180,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $180,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $180,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $180,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $180,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $180,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $180,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $180,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $180,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $180,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $180,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $180,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $180,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $180,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $180,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $180,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $180,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-27price $180,000
-
2026-05-27$18,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,308
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$2,700
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,105
- − Management
- −$2,105
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable income
- $3,180
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$763
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,093/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 2026 Champion ranch home is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a good exterior, good kitchen and bathrooms, and good interior walls and paint. The home is move-in ready and has a good rehab level of cosmetic. The highest-ROI updates that would raise its resale or rental value are painting the interior walls, replacing the carpet with hardwood flooring, and installing smart home features.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's appeal
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood flooring — Hardwood flooring is more durable and can increase both resale and rental value
- Both Install smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more modern and convenient
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's appeal ↑
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood flooring — Hardwood flooring is more durable and can increase both resale and rental value ↑
- Both Install smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more modern and convenient ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Stroudsburg Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4222860
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,061
- Composite
- 36.13/100
- National rank
- #4747
- State rank
- #315 of 539 in PA
Livability — Hamilton
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Monroe County · 59,057 people
- Metro
- East Stroudsburg, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,080
- Household income
- $71,481
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1020.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,099 people
- By 2030
- 161,412 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 154,616 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 146,710 · -10.6%
- By 2075
- 140,830 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 138,472 · -15.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 8% Black 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Polish 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 8% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -124.01%
- Current HPI
- 152.4388
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- East Stroudsburg, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+900.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Price Changed $180,000 GLVRMLS
- 2026-05-27 Listed $18,000 GLVRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…