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5020 Old Timber Rd
C+ Composite 63.18
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.7/30.0
  • DSCR +9.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$180,000

5020 Old Timber Rd · Hamilton, PA 18360
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,500 sqft · Manufactured · 8 Days on market
Good condition 6,098 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

THE VIEWS HAVE IT! Get ready to fall in love with this S-P-A-C-I-O-U-S. . (1,500 sq. ft) 3-BR, 2-BA “NEW”, 2026 Champion ranch home, located on a corner lot in the community of Hamilton Hills. Custom designed . . . this home features many extras and upgrades! Open floor plan allows you to easily flow throughout the home. An ultimate kitchen features white cabinets with soft-close drawer guides, "Formica" countertops, Apron stainless sink, Whirlpool stainless appliances and a center island that seats 3! Master ensuite includes an interior accent "Tambour" wall, WIC and bathroom with double vanity, tub/shower, bathroom closet and vinyl flooring! A front covered

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Ultimate kitchen
  • Corner lot

Tags

CORNER LOTOPEN FLOOR PLANULTIMATE KITCHENFRONT COVERED WOOD DECKSEASONAL MOUNTAIN VIEWS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Has land lease
  • HOA & community: Association fee of $620 per month

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking pad
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: 200+ amp electrical service with circuit breakers; Community/co-op sewer; Community/co-op water
  • Home design: Single-story home; New construction
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Corner lot; Private road frontage; Has view; Mobile home on property

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Total of 6 rooms (includes bedrooms and other rooms)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Dining area; Mud room; Utility room; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main level; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $180k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $488 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Stroudsburg Area SD (suburban): math 33% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #315 of 539 in PA (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Hamilton Twp El Sch (math 47% / reading 57%, grade C-, #586 of 1,518 statewide, top 42%, 297 students, 38% FRL); Stroudsburg Ms (math 25% / reading 49%, grade F, #298 of 512 statewide, top 60%, 1,056 students, 45% FRL); Stroudsburg Hs (math 71% / reading 24%, grade D, #164 of 437 statewide, top 38%, 1,246 students, 34% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 191 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $180,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
9.55%
Cash-on-cash
11.62%
DSCR
1.52
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.0%
Equity multiple
1.04×
Total profit
$1,946
Equity at exit
$26,839
10-year hold
IRR
10.7%
Equity multiple
1.83×
Total profit
$41,851
Equity at exit
$15,563

Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18360

Active inventory
191
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,192 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$944
Tax est. 1.5%
$225 /mo · $2,700/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$460
Net cashflow
$488

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,575
Max offer price $180,000
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $612 -5% $550 +0% $488 +5% $426 +10% $364
Rent -10% $315 -5% $401 +0% $488 +5% $575 +10% $661
Rate -1.0pp $579 -0.5pp $534 base $488 +0.5pp $441 +1.0pp $394

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$45,000
Closing costs
$5,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $180,000 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $180,000 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $180,000 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $180,000 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $180,000 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on marketlisting id $180,000 Active 1 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $180,000 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $180,000 Active 16 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $180,000 Active 14 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $180,000 Active 13 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $180,000 Active 12 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $180,000 Active 11 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $180,000 Active 8 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $180,000 Active 7 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $180,000 Active 6 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $180,000 Active 5 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $180,000 Active 4 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $180,000 Active 3 DOM
  19. 2026-05-27
    price $180,000
  20. 2026-05-27
    listed $18,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,308
− Mortgage interest
−$10,083
− Property taxes
−$2,700
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,105
− Management
−$2,105
− Depreciation
−$5,236
Taxable income
$3,180
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$763
After-tax cash flow
$5,093/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 2026 Champion ranch home is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a good exterior, good kitchen and bathrooms, and good interior walls and paint. The home is move-in ready and has a good rehab level of cosmetic. The highest-ROI updates that would raise its resale or rental value are painting the interior walls, replacing the carpet with hardwood flooring, and installing smart home features.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's appeal
  • Both Replace carpet with hardwood flooring — Hardwood flooring is more durable and can increase both resale and rental value
  • Both Install smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more modern and convenient

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's appeal
  • Both Replace carpet with hardwood flooring — Hardwood flooring is more durable and can increase both resale and rental value
  • Both Install smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more modern and convenient

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Stroudsburg Area SD
NCES district ID
4222860
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$59,061
Composite
36.13/100
National rank
#4747
State rank
#315 of 539 in PA

Livability — Hamilton

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Monroe County · 59,057 people
Metro
East Stroudsburg, PA
Population (ZIP)
30,080
Household income
$71,481
Rent vs Own
29.8% rent · 70.2% own
Severe rent burden
1020.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,099 people
By 2030
161,412 · -1.6%
By 2040
154,616 · -5.8%
By 2050
146,710 · -10.6%
By 2075
140,830 · -14.2%
By 2100
138,472 · -15.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 8% Black 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Polish 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 8% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -124.01%
Current HPI
152.4388
Rent YoY
Metro
East Stroudsburg, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+900.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Price Changed $180,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $18,000 GLVRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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