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Roosevelt Plan 🏗️ New Construction
F Composite 29.11
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.6/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Cash flow +3.5/30.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$372,990

Roosevelt Plan · Captains Cove, VA 23356
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,551 sqft · SingleFamily · 424 Days on market

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

As you walk into the beautiful Roosevelt you are greeted by a large, welcoming foyer with an open formal living room and dining room to either side. The formal living room can be optionally converted to a private study, perfect for use as a home office. The hallway flows to the rear of the home where you are met with an open floorplan of the kitchen, informal breakfast area, and an extensive Great Room. The Kitchen is spacious, allowing ease of mobility and allowing for it to be a comfortable gathering place. An optional island in the heart of the cooking space; enhances the kitchen's storage and counter space. The first floor also features a powder room at the two-car garage entry and a hallway closet. Add even more comfort to the first-level spaces with optional add-ons like a gas fireplace in the Great Room or expand the kitchen area by adding an optional Sunroom. The second floor includes the Owner's Suite, three additional bedrooms, a full bath, and a spacious laundry room. As you move through, The Owner's Suite is accessed by double doors to an open and expansive Owner's Bedroom. The Owner's Suite features two walk-in closets and an Owner's Bath. An additional Owner's Bath option includes a Super Bath, with the added pleasure of a large soaking tub or the Venetian-style or Roman-style bath, which both feature large showers. This home design offers the option of extensions and an alternate second floor that features a sitting room attached to the Owner's Suite. Other

Key facts

  • Open floorplan
  • Extensive great room
  • Private study

Tags

LARGE WELCOMING FOYEROPEN FORMAL LIVING ROOMPRIVATE STUDYOPEN FLOORPLANEXTENSIVE GREAT ROOMOPTIONAL ISLAND

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $372,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $485,202.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $373k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-17k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $274k (26.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $240k (35.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $240k (35.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 2.7% vs local median 3.5% in Captains Cove — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#371 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A-, housing A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Accomack County Public School District (rural): math 44% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #99 of 131 in VA (top 76%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 309 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 181 units permitted in Accomack County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
  • Accomack County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 424 days — a 12% lower offer ($328k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $240,000 (35.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 424 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 36% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.49%
Cap rate
2.69%
Cash-on-cash
-12.87%
DSCR
0.43
GRM
16.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$485,202
List price
$372,990
Delta
-23.13%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3359 Anchor Ct 0.28mi 4/2.5 2,596 (+2%) 3mo $676,000 $260 82
3175 Port Ct 0.24mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,440 (-4%) 5mo $250,000 $102 72
37146 Shark Ct 0.10mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,295 (-10%) 7mo $454,975 $198 68
3312 Navigator Dr 0.55mi 4/2.5 2,550 (-0%) 9mo $412,762 $162 66
2498 Dry Dock Ct 0.61mi 4/3.0 2,570 (+1%) 5mo $408,781 $159 64
3464 Navigator Dr 0.30mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,369 (-7%) 15mo $467,930 $198 56
37369 Keel Ct 0.40mi 4/3.0 2,304 (-10%) 11mo $730,000 $317 54
3047 Dinghy Ct 0.61mi 4/2.5 2,314 (-9%) 2mo $412,000 $178 54
3094 Meridian Dr 0.36mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,349 (-8%) 18mo $275,000 $117 48
37406 Bayside Dr 0.52mi 4/4.0 2,700 (+6%) 19mo $735,000 $272 44
3207 Amidship Dr 0.60mi 4/2.5 2,217 (-13%) 12mo $386,029 $174 41
3374 Navigator Dr 0.45mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,230 (-13%) 17mo $294,000 $132 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.24% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.2%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-78,094
Equity at exit
$171,598
10-year hold
IRR
-5.2%
Equity multiple
0.34×
Total profit
$-89,278
Equity at exit
$232,718

Cash invested: $135,857 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23356

Home prices YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
309
Price-to-rent
13.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,400 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,544
Tax est. 1.5%
$607 /mo · $7,278/yr
Insurance
$202
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$504
Net cashflow
$-1,457

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,244
Max offer price $274,354
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-1,122 -5% $-1,289 +0% $-1,457 +5% $-1,625 +10% $-1,792
Rent -10% $-1,647 -5% $-1,552 +0% $-1,457 +5% $-1,362 +10% $-1,268
Rate -1.0pp $-1,213 -0.5pp $-1,334 base $-1,457 +0.5pp $-1,583 +1.0pp $-1,711

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$121,300
Closing costs
$14,556
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4155 Captains Corridor Greenbackville, VA 3.0 2.5 2380 $2,400 $1.01 14d 1 1.30mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $372,990 Active 424 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $372,990 Active 422 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $372,990 Active 421 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $372,990 Active 420 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $372,990 Active 419 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $372,990 Active 418 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $372,990 Active 417 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $372,990 Active 416 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $372,990 Active 413 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $372,990 Active 412 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $372,990 Active 411 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $372,990 Active 410 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $372,990 Active 407 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $372,990 Active 406 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $372,990 Active 405 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $372,990 Active 404 DOM
  17. 2025-04-22
    listed $372,990 Active 1496-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1496 chars)

    As you walk into the beautiful Roosevelt you are greeted by a large, welcoming foyer with an open formal living room and dining room to either side. The formal living room can be optionally converted to a private study, perfect for use as a home office. The hallway flows to the rear of the home where you are met with an open floorplan of the kitchen, informal breakfast area, and an extensive Great Room. The Kitchen is spacious, allowing ease of mobility and allowing for it to be a comfortable gathering place. An optional island in the heart of the cooking space; enhances the kitchen's storage and counter space. The first floor also features a powder room at the two-car garage entry and a hallway closet. Add even more comfort to the first-level spaces with optional add-ons like a gas fireplace in the Great Room or expand the kitchen area by adding an optional Sunroom. The second floor includes the Owner's Suite, three additional bedrooms, a full bath, and a spacious laundry room. As you move through, The Owner's Suite is accessed by double doors to an open and expansive Owner's Bedroom. The Owner's Suite features two walk-in closets and an Owner's Bath. An additional Owner's Bath option includes a Super Bath, with the added pleasure of a large soaking tub or the Venetian-style or Roman-style bath, which both feature large showers. This home design offers the option of extensions and an alternate second floor that features a sitting room attached to the Owner's Suite. Other

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,800
− Mortgage interest
−$27,179
− Property taxes
−$7,278
− Insurance
−$2,426
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,304
− Management
−$2,304
− Depreciation
−$14,115
Taxable loss
−$26,806
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$6,433
After-tax cash flow
$-11,052/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Accomack County Public School District
NCES district ID
5100060
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -36.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$40,348
Composite
43.05/100
National rank
#3096
State rank
#99 of 131 in VA

Livability — Captains Cove

Score
63/100
State rank
#371
US rank
#14910

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A- Health & safety D- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Captains Cove, VA
Population (ZIP)
1,738

Population outlook (Accomack County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
32,072 people
By 2030
31,425 · -2.0%
By 2040
29,685 · -7.4%
By 2050
27,748 · -13.5%
By 2075
23,396 · -27.1%
By 2100
18,774 · -41.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (98%)
Race & ethnicity
White 98%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Slovak 6% Subsaharan African 2%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Accomack

2024 margin
R (+13.3) · D 43.0% · R 56.3%
2008→2024 swing
-11.9pp toward R · 2008: -1.4pp · 2024: -13.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.3 2020: R+9.4 2016: R+11.7 2012: R+3.5 2008: R+1.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.24%
Current HPI
191.9035
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2025-04-22 Listed $372,990 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…